Akritas vs AEL: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a highly balanced encounter between two sides in similar shape. Both Akritas and AEL hold an identical goal difference in their respective contexts (-8), averaging 0.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per match. Both teams have shown poor efficiency in their last five outings, securing 1.2 and 1.4 points per game respectively. AEL holds a slight edge with better shot conversion (12% vs 10%) and a higher away win rate (38% vs 25% for the hosts at home); however, their high failure-to-score rate on the road (63%) is concerning. Taking all factors into account, I anticipate a tight, defensive affair with few goals, making a draw the most likely outcome.
Akritas vs AEL: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Akritas played AEL in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Akritas: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. AEL: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Akritas scores 0.94 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. AEL scores 1.18 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.50 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Akritas 35%, AEL 29%. Over 2.5: Akritas 53%, AEL 47%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
AEL has higher xG: 1.08 vs 0.98. Akritas: 7.3 shots per match, AEL: 8.0.
Match halves
Akritas: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.47. AEL: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Akritas: 0-15 (5 goals). AEL: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a highly balanced encounter between two sides in similar shape. Both Akritas and AEL hold an identical goal difference in their respective contexts (-8), averaging 0.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per match. Both teams have shown poor efficiency in their last five outings, securing 1.2 and 1.4 points per game respectively. AEL holds a slight edge with better shot conversion (12% vs 10%) and a higher away win rate (38% vs 25% for the hosts at home); however, their high failure-to-score rate on the road (63%) is concerning. Taking all factors into account, I anticipate a tight, defensive affair with few goals, making a draw the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Akritas | AEL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AEL is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Akritas · 1.4 pts / match - AEL
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEL is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Akritas · 1.18 goals / match - AEL
AEL is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.65 goals / match - Akritas · 1.41 goals / match - AEL
Akritas scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while AEL keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
AEL scores in 53% of matches (9 of 17 matches), while Akritas keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Akritas
Over / Under - AEL
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Akritas is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Akritas · 1.06 pts / match - AEL
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Akritas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AEL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Akritas
AEL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Akritas | Liga | AEL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.59 | 2.50 | • 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | • 35% | 36% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 47% | • 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 35% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 71% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 80% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Akritas 1 - 0 - 0 AEL. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Akritas vs AEL?
The First Division match finished Akritas 0:2 AEL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Akritas vs AEL?
Akritas score 0.94 goals per game on average and AEL 1.18. The First Division average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Akritas's matches and 29% of AEL's.
What form are Akritas and AEL in?
Over the last 5 games Akritas have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and AEL 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Akritas vs AEL?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Akritas vs AEL: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.