Akritas vs Ethnikos Achna: match statistics
Akritas vs Ethnikos Achna: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Akritas played Ethnikos Achna in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 1 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Akritas: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Ethnikos Achna: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Akritas scores 0.93 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. Ethnikos Achna scores 1.00 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Akritas 37%, Ethnikos Achna 43%. Over 2.5: Akritas 53%, Ethnikos Achna 53%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Ethnikos Achna has higher xG: 1.18 vs 1.05. Akritas: 8.2 shots per match, Ethnikos Achna: 9.4.
Match halves
Akritas: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.57. Ethnikos Achna: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Akritas: 76-90+ (9 goals). Ethnikos Achna: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Akritas (12th) and Ethnikos Achna (13th) occupy the lower end of the table, but at home Akritas shows marginally better defensive metrics: the hosts concede 1.86 goals per home match and keep 14% clean sheets, while the visitors concede 2.27 on the road and have only 7% clean sheets. Offensively both sides underperform — Akritas scores 0.71 goals per home match, Ethnikos averages 0.80 away, and both teams have 5 goals in their last 5 fixtures. In the short term Ethnikos looks slightly more stable (last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, 1.4 points per game) whereas Akritas is 2-0-3 averaging 1.2 points per game; despite higher away xG for the visitors (1.23 vs 1.07) and more shots on target (3.2 vs 2.36), they rarely win on the road (7% away wins). Additionally Akritas fail to score in 50% of home matches (versus 40% scoreless away matches for Ethnikos), pointing to a low-scoring, tight affair; given the hosts' superior defense and the visitors' dramatically poor away finishing, I tip a narrow Akritas victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Away team (Ethnikos Achna) has BTTS at 53% for the season and 60% in the last 5 matches, while hosts (Akritas) register 33% for the season and 40% in the last 5. In the last 5 fixtures the hosts conceded on average 2.0 goals per game and the away side 1.4; seasonally the away team concedes 2.27 goals on average, which aligns with a low clean sheet percentage for the visitors (7%) versus the hosts (27%). Both teams generate similar xG: Akritas 1.12 xG and Ethnikos 1.23 xG, while defenses allow on average 1.36 xG (hosts) and 1.69 xG (away), suggesting chances will be created at both ends. Hosts have higher shot conversion (14% vs 8%) and slightly more shots on target (3.47 vs 3.2), and the league average BTTS is 42% as a benchmark, so the balance of indicators points to a moderately likely BTTS. The weight of signals — 53% away BTTS, 2.0 goals conceded by hosts in the last 5 and the low clean sheet rate for the away team — leads me to select BTTS - Yes with a probability of 60% versus 40% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis gives 1.41 expected goals for Akritas (attacking xG 1.12 vs xG conceded by Ethnikos 1.69) and 1.29 for Ethnikos (attacking xG 1.23 vs xG conceded by Akritas 1.36), totaling 2.70 goals. Seasonal averages are 1.2 goals for Akritas and 0.8 for Ethnikos, but Ethnikos featured in 80% of matches with over 1.5 goals and 67% with over 2.5 goals, while Akritas registers 53% and 40% respectively. Akritas has a higher shot conversion rate of 14% versus Ethnikos’s 8%, and both teams have low clean sheet rates (27% and 7%), which favors goals. In the last 5 matches Akritas conceded on average 2.0 goals and Ethnikos 1.4, further supporting an expectation of more scoring. Based on this, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (highest probability), with moderate backing for Over 2.5, since the expected 2.70 goals exceeds the 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The home side are clearly stronger this season: they average 1.2 goals per match versus the visitors' 0.8 and collect 1.67 points per home game compared to 0.33 points away, with home wins at 53% versus just 7% for the away team. At Half-Time draws are most common — the hosts are level at the break in 53% of matches while leading in only 33%, which increases the likelihood of a draw in the first half. Ethnikos’s defence is vulnerable after the break: the visitors concede an average of 2.27 goals per match and have shipped as many as 12 goals in minutes 76–90 compared to 4 for the hosts, and the home side’s shot conversion is 14% versus 8% for the visitors. The hosts’ xG is 1.12 against the defence of the visitors allowing on average 1.69 xG, therefore the strongest signal appears to be HT/FT “X/1” — a draw at Half-Time and a home turnaround to win Full-Time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Akritas | Ethnikos Achna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ethnikos Achna is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Akritas · 1.4 pts / match - Ethnikos Achna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethnikos Achna is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
0.93 goals / match - Akritas · 1 goals / match - Ethnikos Achna
Ethnikos Achna is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.8 goals / match - Akritas · 1.63 goals / match - Ethnikos Achna
Akritas scores in 57% of matches (17 of 30 matches), while Ethnikos Achna keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
Ethnikos Achna scores in 57% of matches (17 of 30 matches), while Akritas keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Akritas
Over / Under - Ethnikos Achna
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethnikos Achna is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Akritas · 1.17 pts / match - Ethnikos Achna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Akritas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ethnikos Achna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Akritas
Ethnikos Achna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Akritas | Liga | Ethnikos Achna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.73 | 2.61 | • 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 42% | • 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 48% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 31% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 73% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 79% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Akritas 1 - 1 - 0 Ethnikos Achna. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Akritas vs Ethnikos Achna?
The First Division match finished Akritas 1:0 Ethnikos Achna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Akritas and Ethnikos Achna?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Akritas won 1, Ethnikos Achna won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Akritas vs Ethnikos Achna?
Akritas score 0.93 goals per game on average and Ethnikos Achna 1.00. The First Division average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Akritas's matches and 43% of Ethnikos Achna's.
What form are Akritas and Ethnikos Achna in?
Over the last 5 games Akritas have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Ethnikos Achna 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Akritas vs Ethnikos Achna?
The statistical background for Akritas vs Ethnikos Achna — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.