Akritas vs Paphos: match statistics
Paphos is the clear favorite for this fixture. The visiting team sits 4th in the table and shows excellent form, averaging 2.2 points per game over their last five matches (3 wins, 2 draws). Akritas is in 11th position and performs very poorly at home – only a 25% home win rate, 50% loss rate, and a staggering 42% of matches without scoring a goal. Paphos has vastly superior offensive stats (1.58 goals per game away vs Akritas's 0.83 at home) and defensive metrics (1.25 goals conceded vs 1.67). Furthermore, Paphos is undefeated in their last five outings, while Akritas has managed only one win. The visitors' technical superiority (54% ball possession, 4.92 shots on target per game) alongside the difference in efficiency (15% vs 10%) further points to a Paphos victory.
Akritas vs Paphos: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Akritas played Paphos in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
Akritas: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Paphos: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Akritas scores 0.92 and concedes 1.76 goals per match. Paphos scores 1.96 and concedes 0.96. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Akritas 36%, Paphos 44%. Over 2.5: Akritas 52%, Paphos 56%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Paphos has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.02. Akritas: 7.8 shots per match, Paphos: 11.9.
Match halves
Akritas: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.52. Paphos: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 1.08.
Goals by minute
Akritas: 76-90+ (7 goals). Paphos: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paphos is the clear favorite for this fixture. The visiting team sits 4th in the table and shows excellent form, averaging 2.2 points per game over their last five matches (3 wins, 2 draws). Akritas is in 11th position and performs very poorly at home – only a 25% home win rate, 50% loss rate, and a staggering 42% of matches without scoring a goal. Paphos has vastly superior offensive stats (1.58 goals per game away vs Akritas's 0.83 at home) and defensive metrics (1.25 goals conceded vs 1.67). Furthermore, Paphos is undefeated in their last five outings, while Akritas has managed only one win. The visitors' technical superiority (54% ball possession, 4.92 shots on target per game) alongside the difference in efficiency (15% vs 10%) further points to a Paphos victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Akritas | Paphos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paphos is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Akritas · 1.6 pts / match - Paphos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paphos is 113% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Akritas · 1.96 goals / match - Paphos
Paphos is 83% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.76 goals / match - Akritas · 0.96 goals / match - Paphos
Akritas scores in 56% of matches (14 of 25 matches), while Paphos keeps a clean sheet in 48% (12 of 25 matches).
Paphos scores in 88% of matches (22 of 25 matches), while Akritas keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Akritas
Over / Under - Paphos
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paphos is 81% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / match - Akritas · 1.96 pts / match - Paphos
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Akritas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Paphos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Akritas
Paphos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Akritas | Liga | Paphos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.68 | 2.57 | ▲ 2.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 39% | ▲ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 48% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 33% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 72% | • 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 80% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Akritas 0 - 0 - 1 Paphos. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Akritas vs Paphos?
The First Division match finished Akritas 0:4 Paphos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Akritas vs Paphos?
Akritas score 0.92 goals per game on average and Paphos 1.96. The First Division average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Akritas's matches and 44% of Paphos's.
What form are Akritas and Paphos in?
Over the last 5 games Akritas have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Paphos 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Akritas vs Paphos?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Akritas vs Paphos: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.