Aktobe vs Irtysh: match statistics
Aktobe vs Irtysh: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aktobe played Irtysh in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Aktobe: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Irtysh: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aktobe scores 1.17 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Irtysh scores 1.33 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.14 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aktobe 50%, Irtysh 83%. Over 2.5: Aktobe 33%, Irtysh 67%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Aktobe has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.31. Aktobe: 13.5 shots per match, Irtysh: 10.0.
Match halves
Aktobe: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.67. Irtysh: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Aktobe: 16-30 (2 goals). Irtysh: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.14 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aktobe shows strong home metrics: at home they average 2.00 goals per game, have a 67% win rate, concede 1.67 goals on average and post xG 1.85 versus opponent xG 1.29. Irtysh have yet to win away (0% away wins), record 67% draws on the road, score 1.67 and concede 2.00 with xG 1.33 and xG against 1.91. Aktobe averages 17 shots and 6.67 on target at home versus Irtysh’s 10.33 shots and 5.33 on target away, and also maintain higher possession (57% vs 50%), indicating an advantage in chance creation. Both teams earn 1.4 points in their last 5 matches, and neither side had a match without scoring in the analysed period (0% such games), so I expect goals from both teams. Considering Aktobe’s higher quality of chances (xG 1.85 vs 1.33) and Irtysh’s lack of away wins, I tip a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Irtysh has a season-long BTTS rate of 100%, while Aktobe sits at 67%, a strong indicator that both teams regularly score and concede. In the last 5 matches Irtysh registered BTTS in 60% of games, Aktobe in 40%, with average goals scored of 1.6 and 1.4 respectively and both conceding 1.2 goals per game over that period. xG and shot metrics confirm open play: xG for Irtysh is 1.33 versus 1.28 for Aktobe, while xG against is 1.91 for Irtysh and 1.02 for Aktobe; Irtysh averages 5.33 shots on target versus 3.67 and has a conversion rate of 16% compared to 10%. This season Aktobe have scored 7 and conceded 8, Irtysh have scored 8 and conceded 9, and Irtysh have 0% clean sheets this season, which further increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Considering these figures and the fact that Irtysh matches are 100% over 2.5 goals versus a league average of 2.17, I rate BTTS - Yes at 85% and No Goal at 15%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Combined xG and seasonal statistics point to a higher-than-average scoring game: Aktobe has xG_for 1.28 while Irtysh concedes xG_against 1.91, yielding an estimated 1.60 goals for the home side. For the visitors, the combination of xG_for 1.33 and the home xG_against 1.02 gives an estimated 1.18 goals, with total projected goals of 2.78 (1.60+1.18). Irtysh concedes on average 2.0 goals per match and has 100% of its games over 2.5 goals this season, whereas Aktobe has 33% of such matches, which increases the scoring likelihood. Additionally, Irtysh records 5.33 SOT with 16% conversion, Aktobe 3.67 SOT with 10% conversion, and both teams have high BTTS rates (67% and 100%), so the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (≈77%), with a moderate probability for Over 2.5 (≈53%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis supports Aktobe having the lead at the break: in the last 5 matches they led at half-time in 60% of cases (3 of 5) and score an average of 1.0 first-half goals versus 0.25 for Irtysh. Additionally, Aktobe produces 1.28 xG per match, while Irtysh concedes opponents’ xG of 1.91 and loses an average of 2.0 goals per match, which increases the likelihood of goals for the hosts. Irtysh frequently draws (67% draws this season) and all their matches this season have seen both teams score (BTTS 100%), which raises the risk of stalemates, but Aktobe’s season average points of 1.33 versus 0.67 for Irtysh and an average half-time points of 2.0 for Aktobe over the last 5 fixtures suggest the hosts will maintain the advantage. Therefore, the most likely scenario based on available data is Aktobe leading at half-time and the hosts winning (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aktobe | Irtysh | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Irtysh is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Aktobe · 1 pts / match - Irtysh
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Irtysh is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Aktobe · 1.33 goals / match - Irtysh
Aktobe is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Aktobe · 1.5 goals / match - Irtysh
Aktobe scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Irtysh keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
Irtysh scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Aktobe keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aktobe
Over / Under - Irtysh
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aktobe is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / match - Aktobe · 1.17 pts / match - Irtysh
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aktobe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Irtysh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aktobe
Irtysh
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Aktobe | Liga | Irtysh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.50 | 2.14 | ▲ 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 83% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 35% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 30% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 69% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Aktobe vs Irtysh?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Aktobe 1:0 Irtysh. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Aktobe vs Irtysh?
Aktobe score 1.17 goals per game on average and Irtysh 1.33. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Aktobe's matches and 83% of Irtysh's.
What form are Aktobe and Irtysh in?
Over the last 5 games Aktobe have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Irtysh 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aktobe vs Irtysh?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.