Al Ahed vs Tadamon Sour: match statistics
Al Ahed holds a strong 2nd place in the table and, despite a weaker recent form (1.4 pts/match), boasts a solid record of 10 wins this season. The hosts have an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.4 vs 1.22 at home), indicating higher-quality chance creation. Tadamon Sour is in very poor form, averaging just 0.2 points per match in their last 5 games, with only a 29% away win rate. The visitors score an average of just 0.86 goals away from home with low efficiency (18% shot conversion). Given Al Ahed's 50% clean sheet rate at home, this provides the hosts with a realistic chance of victory. The disparity in form and quality of play favors an Al Ahed win, although their own inconsistent home form (50% home losses) increases the probability of a draw.
Al Ahed vs Tadamon Sour: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Ahed played Tadamon Sour in Lebanese Premier League (Lebanon). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Al Ahed: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Tadamon Sour: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Ahed scores 1.60 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Tadamon Sour scores 0.64 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Ahed 27%, Tadamon Sour 36%. Over 2.5: Al Ahed 47%, Tadamon Sour 29%. League level: BTTS 31%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Al Ahed has higher xG: 1.39 vs 0.80. Al Ahed: 10.1 shots per match, Tadamon Sour: 4.1.
Match halves
Al Ahed: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.87. Tadamon Sour: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.29.
Goals by minute
Al Ahed: 0-15 (6 goals). Tadamon Sour: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Lebanese Premier League: 2.22 goals per match, BTTS 31%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ahed holds a strong 2nd place in the table and, despite a weaker recent form (1.4 pts/match), boasts a solid record of 10 wins this season. The hosts have an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.4 vs 1.22 at home), indicating higher-quality chance creation. Tadamon Sour is in very poor form, averaging just 0.2 points per match in their last 5 games, with only a 29% away win rate. The visitors score an average of just 0.86 goals away from home with low efficiency (18% shot conversion). Given Al Ahed's 50% clean sheet rate at home, this provides the hosts with a realistic chance of victory. The disparity in form and quality of play favors an Al Ahed win, although their own inconsistent home form (50% home losses) increases the probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Ahed | Tadamon Sour | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Ahed is 350% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Al Ahed · 0.4 pts / match - Tadamon Sour
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ahed is 150% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Al Ahed · 0.64 goals / match - Tadamon Sour
Al Ahed is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Al Ahed · 1.14 goals / match - Tadamon Sour
Al Ahed scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Tadamon Sour keeps a clean sheet in 43% (6 of 14 matches).
Tadamon Sour scores in 50% of matches (7 of 14 matches), while Al Ahed keeps a clean sheet in 53% (8 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Ahed
Over / Under - Tadamon Sour
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ahed is 68% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - Al Ahed · 1.07 pts / match - Tadamon Sour
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Ahed - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tadamon Sour - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Ahed
Tadamon Sour
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Lebanese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Al Ahed | Liga | Tadamon Sour | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.60 | 2.22 | ▼ 1.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 31% | ▲ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 39% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 41% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 57% | ▲ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 73% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Ahed 1 - 0 - 0 Tadamon Sour. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Ahed vs Tadamon Sour?
The Lebanese Premier League match finished Al Ahed 0:0 Tadamon Sour. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Ahed vs Tadamon Sour?
Al Ahed score 1.60 goals per game on average and Tadamon Sour 0.64. The Lebanese Premier League average is 2.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Al Ahed's matches and 36% of Tadamon Sour's.
What form are Al Ahed and Tadamon Sour in?
Over the last 5 games Al Ahed have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Tadamon Sour 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ahed vs Tadamon Sour?
The statistical background for Al Ahed vs Tadamon Sour — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.