Saudi Arabia - Professional LeagueData current as of 23 July 2026

Al Ahli vs Al Fateh: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Al Ahli vs Al Fateh: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Al Ahli play Al Fateh in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 18:20.

Current form

Al Ahli: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Al Fateh: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Al Ahli scores 2.09 and concedes 0.74 goals per match. Al Fateh scores 1.21 and concedes 1.62. League average: 3.01 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Al Ahli 47%, Al Fateh 62%. Over 2.5: Al Ahli 53%, Al Fateh 44%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Al Ahli has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.42. Al Ahli: 12.9 shots per match, Al Fateh: 12.4.

Match halves

Al Ahli: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.18. Al Fateh: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.74.

Goals by minute

Al Ahli: 76-90+ (18 goals). Al Fateh: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Professional League: 3.01 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.09Goals scored / match1.21
Al AhliAl Fateh
0.74Goals conceded / match1.62
Al AhliAl Fateh
50%Average possession46%
Al AhliAl Fateh
5.26Shots on target / match4.71
Al AhliAl Fateh

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.94Shots per match12.41
Al AhliAl Fateh
5.26Shots on target4.71
Al AhliAl Fateh
16.1%Shot conversion9.7%
Al AhliAl Fateh
50%Possession46%
Al AhliAl Fateh
1.58xG for1.42
Al AhliAl Fateh
0.99xG against1.61
Al AhliAl Fateh

Shooting quality

Al Ahli: Efficient finishingAl Fateh: Balanced
Al AhliAl Fateh
Accuracy (shots on target)41%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Al Ahli is 200% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - Al Ahli · 1 pts / match - Al Fateh

Al Ahli
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
74% W18% R9% P
Season (W-D-L)
25-6-3
2.38 pts / match · goal difference +46
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
14-3-0
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.77Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 100%
Al Fateh
DLLWD
Season result split
26% W29% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-10-15
1.09 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-6-9
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LDLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.75BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Al Ahli is 73% better for: goals scored per match.

2.09 goals / match - Al Ahli · 1.21 goals / match - Al Fateh

Al Ahli is 119% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.74 goals / match - Al Ahli · 1.62 goals / match - Al Fateh

Al Ahli scoring profile: very strong

Al Ahli scores in 91% of matches (31 of 34 matches), while Al Fateh keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).

Al Fateh scoring profile: strong

Al Fateh scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Al Ahli keeps a clean sheet in 50% (17 of 34 matches).

71Goals scored (season)41
Al AhliAl Fateh
25Goals conceded (season)55
Al AhliAl Fateh
2.82Average goals in match2.82
Al AhliAl Fateh
16Goals scored (last 5)5
Al AhliAl Fateh
3Goals conceded (last 5)6
Al AhliAl Fateh

How often they score at least...

91%1 goal76%
Al AhliAl Fateh
59%2 goals38%
Al AhliAl Fateh
38%3 goals6%
Al AhliAl Fateh
18%4 goals0%
Al AhliAl Fateh

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal79%
Al AhliAl Fateh
18%2 goals38%
Al AhliAl Fateh
6%3 goals21%
Al AhliAl Fateh
0%4 goals15%
Al AhliAl Fateh

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time21%
Al AhliAl Fateh
0%BTTS in both halves9%
Al AhliAl Fateh
32%Scored in both halves24%
Al AhliAl Fateh

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
Al AhliAl Fateh
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Al AhliAl Fateh
60%BTTS - last 540%
Al AhliAl Fateh

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
Al AhliAl Fateh
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
Al AhliAl Fateh
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
Al AhliAl Fateh

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
Al AhliAl Fateh
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time41%
Al AhliAl Fateh
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time26%
Al AhliAl Fateh

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Al Ahli is 77% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.88 pts / match - Al Ahli · 1.06 pts / match - Al Fateh

Al Ahli - half-time state
50% leading38% draw12% trailing
Al Fateh - half-time state
24% leading35% draw41% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.88Points per match (1st half)1.06
Al AhliAl Fateh
0.91Goals scored (1st half)0.47
Al AhliAl Fateh
0.35Goals conceded (1st half)0.74
Al AhliAl Fateh
1.26Average goals (1st half)1.21
Al AhliAl Fateh
76%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Al AhliAl Fateh
44%No goal before half-time56%
Al AhliAl Fateh

After half-time (2nd half)

2.03Points per match (2nd half)1.26
Al AhliAl Fateh
1.18Goals scored (2nd half)0.74
Al AhliAl Fateh
0.38Goals conceded (2nd half)0.88
Al AhliAl Fateh
1.56Average goals (2nd half)1.62
Al AhliAl Fateh
71%Clean sheet after half-time38%
Al AhliAl Fateh
32%No goal after half-time44%
Al AhliAl Fateh

Al Ahli - second-half results

59% W26% R15% P
64
Half-time points
31
Half-time goals
+19
Goal difference (1st half)
69
Second-half points
+27
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding148%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 74%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Al Fateh - second-half results

29% W38% R32% P
36
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding108%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Al Ahli - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.002.20
Goals scored / match2.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match2.21.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal0%20%
Goal difference+9+4
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 10
Al Fateh - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.61.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Al Ahli
ScoredConceded
8
1
0-15
14
4
16-30
9
7
31-45
10
5
46-60
12
2
61-75
18
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.

Al Fateh
ScoredConceded
5
6
0-15
1
10
16-30
10
9
31-45
8
9
46-60
8
9
61-75
9
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.83
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+6%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Al Ahli

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.59
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.76
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
131%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
52%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.62
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Al Fateh

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).

Teams vs league

Al AhliLigaAl Fateh
Average goals in match 2.823.01 2.82
Both teams scored 47%58% 62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%56% 44%
Clean sheets 50%23% 21%
Goal before half-time 68%75% 74%
Goal after half-time 82%80% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.01
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.59
Home goals / match
1.42
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Al Ahli 0 - 0 - 1 Al Fateh. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Al Ahli and Al Fateh play?

Al Ahli face Al Fateh on 11 April 2026 in Professional League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Al Ahli vs Al Fateh?

Al Ahli score 2.09 goals per game on average and Al Fateh 1.21. The Professional League average is 3.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Al Ahli's matches and 62% of Al Fateh's.

What form are Al Ahli and Al Fateh in?

Over the last 5 games Al Ahli have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Al Fateh 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ahli vs Al Fateh?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.