Al Ahli vs Al Najma: match statistics
Al Ahli displays impressive home form with a 73% win rate at home and a +15 goal difference, scoring an average of 2.27 goals per match. The hosts have not lost any home match this season and have scored in every home game. Al Najma is in terrible away form - 82% losses, zero away wins, and a negative goal difference of -15. The visitors in their last five away matches have recorded four defeats and one draw, scoring only 0.64 goals on average per match while conceding 2 goals. The quality gap between both teams is drastic, which is reflected in their league positions (3rd vs 18th) and xG metrics, where Al Ahli dominates both in offense (1.67 vs 1.00) and defense (1.06 vs 1.74). All statistics clearly point to a certain victory for the hosts.
Al Ahli vs Al Najma: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Ahli played Al Najma in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The match was played on 19 February 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Al Ahli: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Al Najma: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Ahli scores 1.90 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Al Najma scores 0.95 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Ahli 43%, Al Najma 67%. Over 2.5: Al Ahli 43%, Al Najma 62%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Al Ahli has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.10. Al Ahli: 13.5 shots per match, Al Najma: 9.6.
Match halves
Al Ahli: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.24. Al Najma: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Al Ahli: 76-90+ (11 goals). Al Najma: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Professional League: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ahli displays impressive home form with a 73% win rate at home and a +15 goal difference, scoring an average of 2.27 goals per match. The hosts have not lost any home match this season and have scored in every home game. Al Najma is in terrible away form - 82% losses, zero away wins, and a negative goal difference of -15. The visitors in their last five away matches have recorded four defeats and one draw, scoring only 0.64 goals on average per match while conceding 2 goals. The quality gap between both teams is drastic, which is reflected in their league positions (3rd vs 18th) and xG metrics, where Al Ahli dominates both in offense (1.67 vs 1.00) and defense (1.06 vs 1.74). All statistics clearly point to a certain victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Ahli | Al Najma | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Ahli is 225% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Al Ahli · 0.8 pts / match - Al Najma
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ahli is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
1.9 goals / match - Al Ahli · 0.95 goals / match - Al Najma
Al Ahli is 199% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Al Ahli · 2 goals / match - Al Najma
Al Ahli scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Al Najma keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 matches).
Al Najma scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Al Ahli keeps a clean sheet in 57% (12 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Ahli
Over / Under - Al Najma
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ahli is 127% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / match - Al Ahli · 0.67 pts / match - Al Najma
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Ahli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Al Najma - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 5%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Ahli
Al Najma
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).
Teams vs league
| Al Ahli | Liga | Al Najma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.57 | 2.93 | • 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 58% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 55% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 57% | 24% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Ahli 1 - 0 - 0 Al Najma. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Ahli vs Al Najma?
The Professional League match finished Al Ahli 4:1 Al Najma. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Ahli vs Al Najma?
Al Ahli score 1.90 goals per game on average and Al Najma 0.95. The Professional League average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Al Ahli's matches and 67% of Al Najma's.
What form are Al Ahli and Al Najma in?
Over the last 5 games Al Ahli have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Al Najma 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ahli vs Al Najma?
The statistical background for Al Ahli vs Al Najma — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.