Al Ahli vs Al Shamal: match statistics
Al Shamal demonstrates vastly superior form and statistics this season, occupying 2nd place with a 6-3-2 record. Hosts Al Ahli sit in 9th position with a disastrous home record—only a 20% win rate and an 80% loss rate, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per match. On the road, Al Shamal wins 50% of their fixtures, averaging 2 goals scored and only 1 conceded per game, underscoring their offensive edge (xG 1.88) and defensive stability. The disparity in quality is also reflected in possession (54% for the visitors vs 53% for the hosts) and shot conversion. Considering Al Ahli's catastrophic home streak (4 consecutive losses) and Al Shamal's solid away performance, the visitors are the clear favorites in this matchup.
Al Ahli vs Al Shamal: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Ahli played Al Shamal in Stars League (Qatar). The match was played on 7 January 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Al Ahli: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Al Shamal: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Ahli scores 1.18 and concedes 2.09 goals per match. Al Shamal scores 2.09 and concedes 1.18. League average: 3.35 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Ahli 45%, Al Shamal 45%. Over 2.5: Al Ahli 64%, Al Shamal 64%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Al Shamal has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.27. Al Ahli: 10.1 shots per match, Al Shamal: 15.1.
Match halves
Al Ahli: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.64. Al Shamal: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.18.
Goals by minute
Al Ahli: 16-30 (3 goals). Al Shamal: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Stars League: 3.35 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Shamal demonstrates vastly superior form and statistics this season, occupying 2nd place with a 6-3-2 record. Hosts Al Ahli sit in 9th position with a disastrous home record—only a 20% win rate and an 80% loss rate, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per match. On the road, Al Shamal wins 50% of their fixtures, averaging 2 goals scored and only 1 conceded per game, underscoring their offensive edge (xG 1.88) and defensive stability. The disparity in quality is also reflected in possession (54% for the visitors vs 53% for the hosts) and shot conversion. Considering Al Ahli's catastrophic home streak (4 consecutive losses) and Al Shamal's solid away performance, the visitors are the clear favorites in this matchup.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Ahli | Al Shamal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Shamal is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Al Ahli · 1.4 pts / match - Al Shamal
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Shamal is 77% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Al Ahli · 2.09 goals / match - Al Shamal
Al Shamal is 77% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.09 goals / match - Al Ahli · 1.18 goals / match - Al Shamal
Al Ahli scores in 45% of matches (5 of 11 matches), while Al Shamal keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).
Al Shamal scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Al Ahli keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Ahli
Over / Under - Al Shamal
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Shamal is 77% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.82 pts / match - Al Ahli · 1.45 pts / match - Al Shamal
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Ahli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Shamal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Ahli
Al Shamal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Stars League).
Teams vs league
| Al Ahli | Liga | Al Shamal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.27 | 3.35 | • 3.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 56% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 62% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 24% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 74% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 87% | ▼ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Al ShamalYellow cardAhmad Mohammed Al-Saeed
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Ahli 0 - 0 - 1 Al Shamal. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Ahli vs Al Shamal?
The Stars League match finished Al Ahli 4:2 Al Shamal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Ahli vs Al Shamal?
Al Ahli score 1.18 goals per game on average and Al Shamal 2.09. The Stars League average is 3.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Al Ahli's matches and 45% of Al Shamal's.
What form are Al Ahli and Al Shamal in?
Over the last 5 games Al Ahli have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Al Shamal 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ahli vs Al Shamal?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Al Ahli vs Al Shamal: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.