Qatar - Stars LeagueGrand Hamad StadiumData current as of 15 October 2026

Al Ahli vs Al Wakrah: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Al Ahli vs Al Wakrah: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Al Ahli play Al Wakrah in Stars League (Qatar). The match date is 16 October 2026. Venue: Grand Hamad Stadium.

Current form

Al Ahli: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Al Wakrah: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Al Ahli scores 2.00 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. Al Wakrah scores 1.40 and concedes 2.20. League average: 3.50 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Al Ahli 40%, Al Wakrah 80%. Over 2.5: Al Ahli 80%, Al Wakrah 80%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

Al Ahli has higher xG: 2.04 vs 1.91. Al Ahli: 16.4 shots per match, Al Wakrah: 16.8.

Match halves

Al Ahli: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.20. Al Wakrah: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.80.

Goals by minute

Al Ahli: 76-90+ (3 goals). Al Wakrah: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Stars League: 3.50 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 6.50, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.45)
(3.70)
(2.27)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2Goals scored / match1.4
Al AhliAl Wakrah
1.8Goals conceded / match2.2
Al AhliAl Wakrah
58%Average possession51%
Al AhliAl Wakrah
6.6Shots on target / match4.4
Al AhliAl Wakrah

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.4Shots per match16.8
Al AhliAl Wakrah
6.6Shots on target4.4
Al AhliAl Wakrah
12.2%Shot conversion8.3%
Al AhliAl Wakrah
58%Possession51%
Al AhliAl Wakrah
2.04xG for1.91
Al AhliAl Wakrah
1.73xG against1.85
Al AhliAl Wakrah

Shooting quality

Al Ahli: DominantAl Wakrah: Attacking
Al AhliAl Wakrah
Accuracy (shots on target)40%26%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Al Ahli is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Al Ahli · 1 pts / match - Al Wakrah

Al Ahli
LDWLW
Season result split
40% W20% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
DWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 2.04Opponent xG: 1.73BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Al Wakrah
DLLDW
Season result split
20% W40% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 away
0-1-1
LD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.91Opponent xG: 1.85BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Al Ahli is 43% better for: goals scored per match.

2 goals / match - Al Ahli · 1.4 goals / match - Al Wakrah

Al Ahli is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.8 goals / match - Al Ahli · 2.2 goals / match - Al Wakrah

Al Ahli scoring profile: very strong

Al Ahli scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Al Wakrah keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).

Al Wakrah scoring profile: strong

Al Wakrah scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Al Ahli keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

10Goals scored (season)7
Al AhliAl Wakrah
9Goals conceded (season)11
Al AhliAl Wakrah
3.8Average goals in match3.6
Al AhliAl Wakrah
10Goals scored (last 5)7
Al AhliAl Wakrah
9Goals conceded (last 5)11
Al AhliAl Wakrah

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal80%
Al AhliAl Wakrah
40%2 goals40%
Al AhliAl Wakrah
40%3 goals20%
Al AhliAl Wakrah
20%4 goals0%
Al AhliAl Wakrah

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal100%
Al AhliAl Wakrah
60%2 goals80%
Al AhliAl Wakrah
60%3 goals20%
Al AhliAl Wakrah
0%4 goals20%
Al AhliAl Wakrah

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time60%
Al AhliAl Wakrah
20%BTTS in both halves40%
Al AhliAl Wakrah
40%Scored in both halves40%
Al AhliAl Wakrah

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
Al AhliAl Wakrah
40%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
Al AhliAl Wakrah
40%BTTS - last 580%
Al AhliAl Wakrah

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Al AhliAl Wakrah
80%Min. 2 goals before half-time80%
Al AhliAl Wakrah
60%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
Al AhliAl Wakrah

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Al AhliAl Wakrah
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
Al AhliAl Wakrah
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Al AhliAl Wakrah

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Al Ahli is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.8 pts / match - Al Ahli · 0.6 pts / match - Al Wakrah

Al Ahli - half-time state
20% leading20% draw60% trailing
Al Wakrah - half-time state
0% leading60% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.8Points per match (1st half)0.6
Al AhliAl Wakrah
0.8Goals scored (1st half)0.6
Al AhliAl Wakrah
1.4Goals conceded (1st half)1.4
Al AhliAl Wakrah
2.2Average goals (1st half)2
Al AhliAl Wakrah
40%Clean sheet before half-time0%
Al AhliAl Wakrah
60%No goal before half-time40%
Al AhliAl Wakrah

After half-time (2nd half)

2.4Points per match (2nd half)1.2
Al AhliAl Wakrah
1.2Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
Al AhliAl Wakrah
0.4Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
Al AhliAl Wakrah
1.6Average goals (2nd half)1.6
Al AhliAl Wakrah
60%Clean sheet after half-time20%
Al AhliAl Wakrah
20%No goal after half-time40%
Al AhliAl Wakrah

Al Ahli - second-half results

80% W0% D20% L
4
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-1.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Al Wakrah - second-half results

20% W60% D20% L
3
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.60
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.6

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Al Ahli - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.40
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match1.40.4
Average goals in match2.21.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-3+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Al Wakrah - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.20
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match1.40.8
Average goals in match2.01.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet0%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-40
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Al Ahli
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
4
31-45
2
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Al Wakrah
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
3
16-30
3
3
31-45
0
2
46-60
2
0
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.70
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.1 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+76%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Al Ahli

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Al Wakrah

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.86
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Stars League).

Teams vs league

Al AhliLigaAl Wakrah
Average goals in match▲ 3.803.50▲ 3.60
Both teams scored▼ 40%60%▲ 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 80%63%▲ 80%
Clean sheets▲ 40%23%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 80%70%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%87%▼ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.50
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.87
Home goals / match
1.63
Away goals / match
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
33%
3 goals
17%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Al Ahli 1 - 0 - 1 Al Wakrah. Average goals 6.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Al Wakrah SC
3 : 2
Al Ahli SC Doha
Al Ahli SC Doha
5 : 3
Al Wakrah SC

FAQ

When do Al Ahli and Al Wakrah play?

Al Ahli face Al Wakrah on 16 October 2026 in Stars League at Grand Hamad Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Al Ahli and Al Wakrah?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Al Ahli won 1, Al Wakrah won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 6.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Al Ahli vs Al Wakrah?

Al Ahli score 2.00 goals per game on average and Al Wakrah 1.40. The Stars League average is 3.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Al Ahli's matches and 80% of Al Wakrah's.

What form are Al Ahli and Al Wakrah in?

Over the last 5 games Al Ahli have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Al Wakrah 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ahli vs Al Wakrah?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Al Ahli vs Al Wakrah: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.