Al Ahly vs El Gounah: match statistics
Al Ahly boasts an impressive home form with a 75% win rate and only a 13% loss rate at their home ground. The hosts have a decisive advantage in ball possession (60% vs 43%) and a significantly higher number of shots on target (6 vs 3.38), highlighting their offensive dominance. El Gounah, despite a decent away record (50% wins), in their last five overall matches averages only 1 point per game and shows weaker form (lwldd). The difference in xG quality (1.76 for Al Ahly vs 1.06 for El Gounah) and the clear advantage in average goals scored (1.75 vs 1.0) further favor the hosts. Considering all statistics, Al Ahly should confidently win this encounter, although the visitors' solid defense (63% clean sheets away) could result in a relatively low scoreline.
Al Ahly vs El Gounah: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Ahly played El Gounah in Egyptian Premier League (Egypt). The match was played on 19 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Al Ahly: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. El Gounah: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Ahly scores 1.73 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. El Gounah scores 0.80 and concedes 0.80. League average: 2.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Ahly 67%, El Gounah 47%. Over 2.5: Al Ahly 47%, El Gounah 13%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Al Ahly has higher xG: 1.85 vs 1.14. Al Ahly: 16.5 shots per match, El Gounah: 10.1.
Match halves
Al Ahly: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.87. El Gounah: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Al Ahly: 31-45+ (6 goals). El Gounah: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Egyptian Premier League: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ahly boasts an impressive home form with a 75% win rate and only a 13% loss rate at their home ground. The hosts have a decisive advantage in ball possession (60% vs 43%) and a significantly higher number of shots on target (6 vs 3.38), highlighting their offensive dominance. El Gounah, despite a decent away record (50% wins), in their last five overall matches averages only 1 point per game and shows weaker form (lwldd). The difference in xG quality (1.76 for Al Ahly vs 1.06 for El Gounah) and the clear advantage in average goals scored (1.75 vs 1.0) further favor the hosts. Considering all statistics, Al Ahly should confidently win this encounter, although the visitors' solid defense (63% clean sheets away) could result in a relatively low scoreline.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Ahly | El Gounah | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Ahly is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Al Ahly · 1.6 pts / match - El Gounah
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ahly is 116% better for: goals scored per match.
1.73 goals / match - Al Ahly · 0.8 goals / match - El Gounah
El Gounah is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Al Ahly · 0.8 goals / match - El Gounah
Al Ahly scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while El Gounah keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).
El Gounah scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Al Ahly keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Ahly
Over / Under - El Gounah
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ahly is 94% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - Al Ahly · 0.93 pts / match - El Gounah
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Ahly - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
El Gounah - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Ahly
El Gounah
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Egyptian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Al Ahly | Liga | El Gounah | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.73 | 2.01 | ▼ 1.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 46% | • 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 34% | ▼ 13% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 35% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 57% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 73% | 68% | ▲ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Ahly vs El Gounah?
The Egyptian Premier League match finished Al Ahly 1:0 El Gounah. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Ahly vs El Gounah?
Al Ahly score 1.73 goals per game on average and El Gounah 0.80. The Egyptian Premier League average is 2.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Al Ahly's matches and 47% of El Gounah's.
What form are Al Ahly and El Gounah in?
Over the last 5 games Al Ahly have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and El Gounah 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ahly vs El Gounah?
The statistical background for Al Ahly vs El Gounah — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.