Al Ahly vs Ismaily SC: match statistics
Al Ahly decisively outperforms Ismaily SC in every statistical aspect. The hosts sit in 4th place with an impressive 71% home win rate, while the guests are at the bottom in 21st place with just 14% away wins and a staggering 86% loss rate. Al Ahly displays great home form, scoring an average of 1.71 goals per match with 59% possession, whereas Ismaily SC records a dramatically poor away efficiency with an average of just 0.14 goals per match and 86% of games without scoring. The difference in expected goals (xG) is huge: 1.83 for Al Ahly at home versus 0.88 for Ismaily away. The form of both teams in the last five matches further confirms the hosts' advantage, as they earned 1.8 points per game compared to the guests' 0.4. All indicators unequivocally point to a certain victory for Al Ahly.
Al Ahly vs Ismaily SC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Ahly played Ismaily SC in Egyptian Premier League (Egypt). The match was played on 11 February 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Al Ahly: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Ismaily SC: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Ahly scores 1.71 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. Ismaily SC scores 0.53 and concedes 1.27. League average: 2.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Ahly 71%, Ismaily SC 27%. Over 2.5: Al Ahly 50%, Ismaily SC 33%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Al Ahly has higher xG: 1.89 vs 0.99. Al Ahly: 17.0 shots per match, Ismaily SC: 7.9.
Match halves
Al Ahly: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.93. Ismaily SC: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Al Ahly: 61-75 (5 goals). Ismaily SC: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Egyptian Premier League: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ahly decisively outperforms Ismaily SC in every statistical aspect. The hosts sit in 4th place with an impressive 71% home win rate, while the guests are at the bottom in 21st place with just 14% away wins and a staggering 86% loss rate. Al Ahly displays great home form, scoring an average of 1.71 goals per match with 59% possession, whereas Ismaily SC records a dramatically poor away efficiency with an average of just 0.14 goals per match and 86% of games without scoring. The difference in expected goals (xG) is huge: 1.83 for Al Ahly at home versus 0.88 for Ismaily away. The form of both teams in the last five matches further confirms the hosts' advantage, as they earned 1.8 points per game compared to the guests' 0.4. All indicators unequivocally point to a certain victory for Al Ahly.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Ahly | Ismaily SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Ahly is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Al Ahly · 1.2 pts / match - Ismaily SC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ahly is 223% better for: goals scored per match.
1.71 goals / match - Al Ahly · 0.53 goals / match - Ismaily SC
Al Ahly is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.07 goals / match - Al Ahly · 1.27 goals / match - Ismaily SC
Al Ahly scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Ismaily SC keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
Ismaily SC scores in 33% of matches (5 of 15 matches), while Al Ahly keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Ahly
Over / Under - Ismaily SC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ahly is 71% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / match - Al Ahly · 1 pts / match - Ismaily SC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Ahly - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ismaily SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Ahly
Ismaily SC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Egyptian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Al Ahly | Liga | Ismaily SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.79 | 2.02 | ▼ 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 46% | ▼ 27% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 35% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 35% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 58% | ▼ 47% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 68% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Ahly vs Ismaily SC?
The Egyptian Premier League match finished Al Ahly 2:0 Ismaily SC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Ahly vs Ismaily SC?
Al Ahly score 1.71 goals per game on average and Ismaily SC 0.53. The Egyptian Premier League average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Al Ahly's matches and 27% of Ismaily SC's.
What form are Al Ahly and Ismaily SC in?
Over the last 5 games Al Ahly have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Ismaily SC 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ahly vs Ismaily SC?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Al Ahly vs Ismaily SC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.