Al Ahly vs Wadi Degla: match statistics
Al Ahly displays solid home form with 67% of home matches won and just one defeat all season. The hosts hold an advantage in possession (61% vs 55%) and a higher average xG in home games (1.76 vs 1.33 xG for the visitors away). Wadi Degla shows better recent overall form (2.0 PPG vs 1.2 PPG for Al Ahly); however, their efficiency is lower on the road, confirmed by shot conversion rates (13% vs 10%). Both teams share an identical goal difference in their matches (+4), suggesting even quality, but home advantage and superior xG metrics favor a marginal victory for Al Ahly. Nevertheless, there is a real chance of a draw given the visitors' good disposition in their last five matches.
Al Ahly vs Wadi Degla: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Ahly played Wadi Degla in Egyptian Premier League (Egypt). The match was played on 27 January 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Al Ahly: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Wadi Degla: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Ahly scores 1.67 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Wadi Degla scores 1.29 and concedes 0.93. League average: 1.95 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Ahly 67%, Wadi Degla 64%. Over 2.5: Al Ahly 50%, Wadi Degla 43%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Al Ahly has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.31. Al Ahly: 16.8 shots per match, Wadi Degla: 10.9.
Match halves
Al Ahly: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.92. Wadi Degla: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Al Ahly: 61-75 (4 goals). Wadi Degla: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Egyptian Premier League: 1.95 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ahly displays solid home form with 67% of home matches won and just one defeat all season. The hosts hold an advantage in possession (61% vs 55%) and a higher average xG in home games (1.76 vs 1.33 xG for the visitors away). Wadi Degla shows better recent overall form (2.0 PPG vs 1.2 PPG for Al Ahly); however, their efficiency is lower on the road, confirmed by shot conversion rates (13% vs 10%). Both teams share an identical goal difference in their matches (+4), suggesting even quality, but home advantage and superior xG metrics favor a marginal victory for Al Ahly. Nevertheless, there is a real chance of a draw given the visitors' good disposition in their last five matches.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Ahly | Wadi Degla | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Ahly is 38% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Al Ahly · 1.6 pts / match - Wadi Degla
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ahly is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Al Ahly · 1.29 goals / match - Wadi Degla
Wadi Degla is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.08 goals / match - Al Ahly · 0.93 goals / match - Wadi Degla
Al Ahly scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Wadi Degla keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 matches).
Wadi Degla scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Al Ahly keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Ahly
Over / Under - Wadi Degla
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ahly is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / match - Al Ahly · 1 pts / match - Wadi Degla
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Ahly - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Wadi Degla - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Ahly
Wadi Degla
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Egyptian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Al Ahly | Liga | Wadi Degla | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.75 | 1.95 | ▲ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 44% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 35% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 37% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 67% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Ahly vs Wadi Degla?
The Egyptian Premier League match finished Al Ahly 3:1 Wadi Degla. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Ahly vs Wadi Degla?
Al Ahly score 1.67 goals per game on average and Wadi Degla 1.29. The Egyptian Premier League average is 1.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Al Ahly's matches and 64% of Wadi Degla's.
What form are Al Ahly and Wadi Degla in?
Over the last 5 games Al Ahly have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Wadi Degla 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ahly vs Wadi Degla?
The statistical background for Al Ahly vs Wadi Degla — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.