Al Ain vs Al Nasr: match statistics
Al Ain displays impressive home form with a 71% win rate at home and remains unbeaten this season at their own stadium (11 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses). The hosts score an average of 2.14 goals per home match while conceding only 0.57, resulting in a goal difference of +11. Al Nasr shows a much weaker away performance with only a 43% win rate and 29% losses, conceding an average of 1.14 goals per match. The form of both teams in the last five matches also favors the hosts – Al Ain has earned 13 points (2.6 PPG), while Al Nasr only 5 points (1.0 PPG). Al Ain's advantage in ball possession (55% vs 51%), shot accuracy and clean sheets (57% vs 43%) further strengthens the prediction for a home win. Considering all statistics, Al Ain is the clear favorite for this match.
Al Ain vs Al Nasr: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Ain played Al Nasr in Arabian Gulf League (United Arab Emirates). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Al Ain: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Al Nasr: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Ain scores 2.07 and concedes 0.73 goals per match. Al Nasr scores 1.20 and concedes 1.27. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Ain 53%, Al Nasr 53%. Over 2.5: Al Ain 60%, Al Nasr 40%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Al Ain has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.25. Al Ain: 15.4 shots per match, Al Nasr: 10.9.
Match halves
Al Ain: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.20. Al Nasr: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Al Ain: 46-60 (8 goals). Al Nasr: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Arabian Gulf League: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ain displays impressive home form with a 71% win rate at home and remains unbeaten this season at their own stadium (11 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses). The hosts score an average of 2.14 goals per home match while conceding only 0.57, resulting in a goal difference of +11. Al Nasr shows a much weaker away performance with only a 43% win rate and 29% losses, conceding an average of 1.14 goals per match. The form of both teams in the last five matches also favors the hosts – Al Ain has earned 13 points (2.6 PPG), while Al Nasr only 5 points (1.0 PPG). Al Ain's advantage in ball possession (55% vs 51%), shot accuracy and clean sheets (57% vs 43%) further strengthens the prediction for a home win. Considering all statistics, Al Ain is the clear favorite for this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Ain | Al Nasr | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Ain is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Al Ain · 1 pts / match - Al Nasr
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ain is 72% better for: goals scored per match.
2.07 goals / match - Al Ain · 1.2 goals / match - Al Nasr
Al Ain is 74% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.73 goals / match - Al Ain · 1.27 goals / match - Al Nasr
Al Ain scores in 100% of matches (15 of 15 matches), while Al Nasr keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 matches).
Al Nasr scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Al Ain keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Ain
Over / Under - Al Nasr
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ain is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.87 pts / match - Al Ain · 1.6 pts / match - Al Nasr
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Ain - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Nasr - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Ain
Al Nasr
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Arabian Gulf League).
Teams vs league
| Al Ain | Liga | Al Nasr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.80 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 49% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 48% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 28% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 69% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 79% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Al NasrSubstitutionOn: Salem Abdullah Abdulqader AlsomhiOff: Zayed Sultan Ahmed Jassim Ibrahim Al Zaabi
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Al Ain 2 - 1 - 0 Al Nasr. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Ain vs Al Nasr?
The Arabian Gulf League match finished Al Ain 1:1 Al Nasr. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Al Ain and Al Nasr?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Al Ain won 2, Al Nasr won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Ain vs Al Nasr?
Al Ain score 2.07 goals per game on average and Al Nasr 1.20. The Arabian Gulf League average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Al Ain's matches and 53% of Al Nasr's.
What form are Al Ain and Al Nasr in?
Over the last 5 games Al Ain have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Al Nasr 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ain vs Al Nasr?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Al Ain vs Al Nasr: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.