Al Arabi vs Al Bukayriyah: match statistics
Al Arabi vs Al Bukayriyah: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Arabi played Al Bukayriyah in First Division (Saudi Arabia). The match was played on 21 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Al Arabi: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Al Bukayriyah: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Arabi scores 0.52 and concedes 1.86 goals per match. Al Bukayriyah scores 1.10 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Arabi 38%, Al Bukayriyah 55%. Over 2.5: Al Arabi 45%, Al Bukayriyah 59%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Al Arabi has higher xG: 1.15 vs 0.98. Al Arabi: 9.6 shots per match, Al Bukayriyah: 7.9.
Match halves
Al Arabi: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.38. Al Bukayriyah: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Al Arabi: 76-90+ (5 goals). Al Bukayriyah: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Bukayriyah appears to be the favorite: Al Arabi sits 17th with only 4 wins and 15 goals this season, while Al Bukayriyah has 12 wins and 32 goals. In the last 5 matches Al Arabi lost all 5, scoring 3 and conceding 12 (2.4 goals conceded per match on average), whereas the visitors over that span have a 2-3 record with a 5:7 goal difference and 1.2 points per game. At home Al Arabi attempts 10.14 shots per match but converts only 6%, averaging 0.57 goals with an xG of 1.21, indicating a significant finishing problem; Al Bukayriyah away averages 7.07 shots, 14% conversion and 1.0 goal per match. Defensively the visitors also look better in form metrics — Al Arabi concedes 1.71 goals at home versus 1.5 conceded by Al Bukayriyah away, and the home-side loss rate is 71% compared to 43% for the opponents, therefore I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have seasonal BTTS rates: Al Arabi 53% and Al Bukayriyah 57%, and in the last 5 matches both teams recorded BTTS at 60%, which is a strong signal for the "both teams to score" option (BTTS - Yes). Al Arabi concedes on average 2.4 goals per match in the last 5 fixtures while scoring only 0.6, whereas Al Bukayriyah scores 1.0 and concedes 1.4 — this suggests the home side is likely to concede and the visitors have the capability to score. Seasonal xG stands at 1.02 for Al Arabi and 0.94 for Al Bukayriyah, and the league BTTS rate is 62% with an average of 2.93 goals per match, so match conditions favor goal exchange. Additionally, Al Arabi keeps a clean sheet in only 27% of matches and Al Bukayriyah in 14%, making shutouts rare. Based on this, I favor BTTS = Yes and estimate the probability of this scenario at about 70% versus 30% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected goals are derived from averaging xG and xG against: Al Arabi xG 1.02 paired with xG against Al Bukayriyah 1.67 yields an expectation of 1.35 for the home side, while Al Bukayriyah xG 0.94 paired with xG against Al Arabi 1.29 yields 1.12 for the away side (total 2.47). A Poisson model with lambda = 2.47 gives probability of Over 1.5 around 71% and Over 2.5 around 45%, but seasonal rates elevate expectations: Over 1.5 is 60% for Al Arabi and 86% for Al Bukayriyah, and Over 2.5 is 53%/64% (home/away); the league has 59% of matches Over 2.5, so averaging I rate Over 2.5 at 52%. Over 3.5 looks less likely: Poisson shows ~24%, and seasonal percentages 27% (home) and 7% (away) confirm low probability, which I assess at 24%. Consequently the strongest signal is Over 1.5 with my rating 71% — the combination of xG (1.35 vs 1.12), high seasonal Over 1.5 rates (60% and 86%) and the Poisson model supports at least two goals in the match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I predict HT/FT 2/1 (away team leads at the break, home team wins after the match) as the most likely outcome. In the first half the away side has the greater probability of leading — Al Bukayriyah led at half-time in 36% of matches versus 27% for Al Arabi, and in the last five fixtures Al Arabi were leading at the break in 0% and were behind at half-time in 80% (4 of 5). However, in second halves the hosts perform better: they score on average 0.67 goals after the break and register 40% of second-half wins, whereas the away team scores 0.43 goals and has only 14% of wins after half-time. Seasonally Al Arabi also hold a slight edge in quality of play — they score 1.20 goals per game versus 1.00 for the away side, xG is 1.02 versus 0.94 for Al Bukayriyah, and the home win percentage is 47% versus 36% for the away team. The combination of a higher probability of the away team leading at half-time (36% vs 27%) with stronger home second-half performance (an average of 1.33 points in the second half versus 0.79 for the away team) gives a strong signal for a turnaround and the 2/1 Half-Time/Full-Time scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Arabi | Al Bukayriyah | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Bukayriyah is 112% better for: goals scored per match.
0.52 goals / match - Al Arabi · 1.1 goals / match - Al Bukayriyah
Al Bukayriyah is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.86 goals / match - Al Arabi · 1.41 goals / match - Al Bukayriyah
Al Arabi scores in 48% of matches (14 of 29 matches), while Al Bukayriyah keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
Al Bukayriyah scores in 72% of matches (21 of 29 matches), while Al Arabi keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Arabi
Over / Under - Al Bukayriyah
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Bukayriyah is 78% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.72 pts / match - Al Arabi · 1.28 pts / match - Al Bukayriyah
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Arabi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Bukayriyah - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Arabi
Al Bukayriyah
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Al Arabi | Liga | Al Bukayriyah | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.38 | 2.92 | ▼ 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 62% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 59% | • 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 22% | • 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 75% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 83% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Arabi 0 - 0 - 1 Al Bukayriyah. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Arabi vs Al Bukayriyah?
The First Division match finished Al Arabi 1:1 Al Bukayriyah. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Arabi vs Al Bukayriyah?
Al Arabi score 0.52 goals per game on average and Al Bukayriyah 1.10. The First Division average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Al Arabi's matches and 55% of Al Bukayriyah's.
What form are Al Arabi and Al Bukayriyah in?
Over the last 5 games Al Arabi have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Al Bukayriyah 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Arabi vs Al Bukayriyah?
The statistical background for Al Arabi vs Al Bukayriyah — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.