Al Arabi vs Al Gharafa: match statistics
As league leaders, Al Gharafa display significantly superior overall form with 9 wins this season and 1.8 PPG in their last 5 matches, compared to Al Arabi's 1.4 PPG. While the hosts have won 50% of their home fixtures, their defense is a major concern—conceding an average of 2.33 goals per game at home, a far worse record than the 1.67 conceded by Al Gharafa on the road. Al Gharafa matches Al Arabi's home win rate with a 50% away win rate but holds a distinct advantage in overall form and table positioning. The deciding factor is the hosts' porous defense paired with the visitors' solid scoring efficiency (8 goals in the last 5 games). Statistically, Al Gharafa holds the edge, though the home advantage suggests the outcome is not guaranteed.
Al Arabi vs Al Gharafa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Arabi play Al Gharafa in Stars League (Qatar). The match date is 15 January 2026 at 17:30. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Al Arabi: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Al Gharafa: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Arabi scores 1.68 and concedes 1.86 goals per match. Al Gharafa scores 1.64 and concedes 1.64. League average: 3.33 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Arabi 73%, Al Gharafa 64%. Over 2.5: Al Arabi 68%, Al Gharafa 64%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Al Arabi has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.44. Al Arabi: 13.6 shots per match, Al Gharafa: 12.3.
Match halves
Al Arabi: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.91. Al Gharafa: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 1.09.
Goals by minute
Al Arabi: 31-45+ (11 goals). Al Gharafa: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Stars League: 3.33 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
As league leaders, Al Gharafa display significantly superior overall form with 9 wins this season and 1.8 PPG in their last 5 matches, compared to Al Arabi's 1.4 PPG. While the hosts have won 50% of their home fixtures, their defense is a major concern—conceding an average of 2.33 goals per game at home, a far worse record than the 1.67 conceded by Al Gharafa on the road. Al Gharafa matches Al Arabi's home win rate with a 50% away win rate but holds a distinct advantage in overall form and table positioning. The deciding factor is the hosts' porous defense paired with the visitors' solid scoring efficiency (8 goals in the last 5 games). Statistically, Al Gharafa holds the edge, though the home advantage suggests the outcome is not guaranteed.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Arabi | Al Gharafa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Arabi is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Al Arabi · 0.4 pts / match - Al Gharafa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Gharafa is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.86 goals / match - Al Arabi · 1.64 goals / match - Al Gharafa
Al Arabi scores in 91% of matches (20 of 22 matches), while Al Gharafa keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).
Al Gharafa scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Al Arabi keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Al Arabi
Over / Under — Al Gharafa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Arabi is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Al Arabi · 1.18 pts / match - Al Gharafa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Arabi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Gharafa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Arabi
Al Gharafa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Stars League).
Teams vs league
| Al Arabi | Liga | Al Gharafa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.55 | 3.33 | • 3.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 61% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 64% | • 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 22% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 73% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 88% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Arabi 0 - 0 - 1 Al Gharafa. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Arabi vs Al Gharafa?
The Stars League match finished Al Arabi 1:2 Al Gharafa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Arabi vs Al Gharafa?
Al Arabi score 1.68 goals per game on average and Al Gharafa 1.64. The Stars League average is 3.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Al Arabi's matches and 64% of Al Gharafa's.
What form are Al Arabi and Al Gharafa in?
Over the last 5 games Al Arabi have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Al Gharafa 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Arabi vs Al Gharafa?
The statistical background for Al Arabi vs Al Gharafa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.