Al Draih vs Al Ahli: match statistics

Al Ahli come into the match with a slightly stronger run of form: they have scored 13 goals in their last five games, winning 4 times and avoiding defeat throughout. Al Draih also have 4 wins in their last five matches, but suffered one defeat and conceded 7 goals, compared with just 4 for the visitors. During this period, Al Ahli averaged 2.6 goals per game, while the hosts averaged 2.4, and the visitors’ defence allowed opponents just 0.8 goals per match. Another factor in Al Ahli’s favour is their higher position in the table: second, compared with Al Draih in third. The hosts are effective enough to pose a genuine threat to the favourites, but the visitors’ more stable defence and unbeaten run in their last five appearances tilt the prediction towards an away win.

Recent form clearly supports goals from both sides: Al Draih recorded BTTS in 60% of their last 5 matches, while Al Ahli did so in as many as 80%. During this period, the hosts averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while the visitors scored 2.6 goals per match. Their attacking potential is further confirmed by xG figures of 1.77 for Al Draih and 1.54 for Al Ahli, with Al Ahli allowing opponents 1.32 xG. Al Draih conceded 7 goals in five matches, so even Al Ahli’s excellent run, with 13 goals during this period, gives the visitors strong grounds to find the net. Therefore, the most likely scenario is that both teams will score at least one goal — BTTS - Yes / Goal-Goal.

Both teams are in highly productive form: Al Draih have scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches, while Al Ahli have netted 13, averaging 2.4 and 2.6 goals per game, respectively. Al Draih conceded an average of 1.4 goals during this period, further highlighting the visitors’ attacking potential, while Al Ahli have allowed just 0.8 goals per match. However, the hosts are creating quality chances at 1.77 xG. At least 3 goals were scored in 80% of each team’s last five matches, while both teams found the net in 60% of Al Draih’s games and 80% of Al Ahli’s. The strongest signal remains Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 3.10 goals and both teams’ high current scoring efficiency clearly reduce the risk of a match ending with zero or just one goal.

Al Ahli have shown more consistent form over their last five matches, recording four wins, one draw and no defeats, while Al Draih have posted four wins and one loss. The visitors have been particularly strong at the start of matches, leading at the break in 80% of their recent outings, scoring an average of 1.6 goals before half-time and conceding just 0.4. Al Draih were ahead at half-time in 60% of their matches, but in as many as 40% they went into the interval behind, while their defence conceded an average of 0.8 goals before the break. Although the hosts score 1.4 goals per match after half-time, Al Ahli have avoided defeat in each of their last five second halves and conceded just 0.4 goals during them, strengthening the HT/FT scenario of the visitors leading at the break and securing the final victory (2/2).