Al Draih vs Al Quadisiya: match statistics

Al Quadisiya are in clearly superior away form: they have won both of their away matches so far, scoring an average of 2.5 goals and conceding just 0.5 per game. The hosts are still without a home win, scoring only 0.5 goals per match and failing to score in 50% of their home fixtures. The visitors are also considerably more clinical, converting 21% of their attempts into goals compared with 4% for Al Draih, while their average of 4.5 shots on target is well above the hosts’ 2. In their last five matches, Al Quadisiya have scored 10 goals and conceded 3, whereas Al Draih have a 6:6 record. Although the teams’ xG figures are similar (1.47 for the visitors versus 1.51 for the hosts), the visitors’ superior finishing and more solid defensive structure point to an away win.

BTTS - No is the stronger scenario, as Al Draih have yet to score in the league despite a very high xG of 3.01, 26 shots and 9 shots on target per match. The hosts have not kept a clean sheet, but their lack of finishing is confirmed by 100% of matches ending without them scoring and a season BTTS rate of 0%. Al Quadisiya boast a very solid defence: they concede just 0.5 goals on average, have kept clean sheets in 50% of matches, and have allowed only 0.6 goals per game across their last five matches. The visitors should pose a threat, averaging 2.5 goals scored with a 21% conversion rate, but their strong defence increases the likelihood of the hosts failing to score again. The last five matches produced BTTS in only 40% of Al Draih’s games and 20% of Al Quadisiya’s, both clearly below the league average of 52%.

Al Quadisiya have averaged 2.0 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded over their last five matches, while Al Draih have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The visitors possess greater attacking potential, as reflected by an xG of 1.94 over their last five fixtures compared with the 1.41 xG allowed by the hosts. At the same time, the hosts create an average of 1.53 xG, but Al Quadisiya’s defence allows opponents just 0.80 xG, limiting the prospect of an open game. For both teams, only 40% of their last five matches went Over 2.5 goals, while the projected total of 2.80 goals leaves a solid margin before reaching four goals. Therefore, the strongest selection is Under 3.5 goals, as the visitors’ superiority should be enough to produce a goal-oriented result, but their tight defence reduces the risk of a high-scoring exchange.

Al Quadisiya have a clearly superior season record: they have won 100% of their matches, scoring an average of 2.5 goals and conceding just 0.5, while Al Draih have not won a match and have yet to score. At half-time, the hosts were trailing in 100% of their matches so far, averaging 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, whereas the visitors were leading in 50% of their games and averaged 1.0 goal before the break. Although Al Draih generate a high xG of 3.01 and average 26 shots per match, their 0% conversion rate from 9 shots on target per game highlights a serious finishing problem. Al Quadisiya convert 21% of their shots and have averaged 2.0 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded across their last five matches. After the break, the visitors add an average of 1.5 goals, while the hosts have failed to score in this period, making an Al Quadisiya lead at the break and a win at full-time the most likely outcome: 2/2 in the HT/FT market.