Al Draih vs Al Raed: match statistics
Al Draih vs Al Raed: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Draih played Al Raed in First Division (Saudi Arabia). The match was played on 21 April 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Al Draih: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Al Raed: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Draih scores 2.38 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Al Raed scores 1.79 and concedes 1.31. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Draih 59%, Al Raed 62%. Over 2.5: Al Draih 69%, Al Raed 52%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Al Draih has higher xG: 1.94 vs 1.63. Al Draih: 16.3 shots per match, Al Raed: 13.4.
Match halves
Al Draih: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 1.31. Al Raed: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.07.
Goals by minute
Al Draih: 76-90+ (19 goals). Al Raed: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Draih has a clear offensive and home advantage: at home they average 2.86 goals per match (69 goals this season) and record an average xG of 2.04, while Al Raed score 1.50 goals away with xG 1.68. The hosts generate significantly more high-quality chances — 7.57 shots on target and 17.29 attempts per home match with a conversion rate of 17%, versus the visitors' 4.93 on target, 13.36 attempts and 11% efficiency. Defensively Al Draih concedes only 0.79 goals per home game and keep 43% clean sheets, whereas Al Raed allow 1.43 goals away and have 21% of away matches without conceding; season totals are 29 goals conceded for the hosts versus 38 for the guests. Form trend confirms the home side's edge: in the last 5 matches Al Draih scored 13 goals and average 2.2 points per match (3 wins, 2 draws), while Al Raed scored 7 goals and 1.4 points (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Considering the advantage in xG, shots on target and higher efficiency (17% vs 11%), I project a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis supports BTTS - Yes: Al Draih has a season BTTS rate of 73% (80% in the last 5 matches), while the league average is 62% of games with both teams scoring. The home side scores 2.07 goals per game with xG for 1.60, whereas Al Raed concedes 1.43 goals on average and has xG against 1.20, suggesting Al Draih has a realistic chance to score (1.60 > 1.20). Conversely, Al Raed posts xG for 1.68 and averages 1.5 goals per game while Al Draih concedes xG against 1.07, so Al Raed should also create scoring opportunities (1.68 > 1.07). Additionally, last 5 matches: Al Draih scored 13 goals (2.6 avg) and conceded 5 (1.0), Al Raed scored 7 (1.4) and conceded 5 (1.0), indicating both teams have been scoring and conceding recently. Considering the high home season BTTS of 73%, the league average 62% and the xG comparisons (1.60 vs 1.20 and 1.68 vs 1.07), I assess the probability of BTTS 'yes' at 72% versus 28% for 'no'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for Al Draih (xG_for 1.60 vs xG_against_away 1.20) and 1.38 for Al Raed (xG_for 1.68 vs xG_against_home 1.07), totaling 2.78 xG. With that aggregate, a Poisson distribution yields approximately a 76.6% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), about 52.6% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) and roughly 30.4% for at least 4 goals (Over 3.5). Seasonal stats support this direction: the home side records Over 1.5 in 80% and Over 2.5 in 60% of matches, the away side has Over 1.5 in 71% and Over 2.5 in 43%, while both teams scored in 73% (home) and 50% (away) of cases respectively. Given the combined xG of 2.78 and the high incidence of matches above 1.5 goals, the strongest signal is the Over 1.5 play (pick: Over at 1.5); Over 2.5 has moderate backing (~53%), and Over 3.5 is less likely (~30%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/1 (Al Draih leads at the break and wins), which I assign a 40% probability. In the last 5 matches the home side led at halftime in 60% of cases (3 of 5) and score an average of 1.0 goals by the break versus 0.4 for Al Raed, strongly favoring an HT lead. Al Draih shows better form and efficiency: season-long 1.87 points per match versus 1.21 for the opponent and 53% wins this season compared to Al Raed’s 29%, hence the advantage on the Full-Time result. After the break the hosts average 1.4 goals versus 0.71 for the visitors, and with similar xG (1.6 vs 1.68) the higher conversion rate for Al Draih (15% vs 11%) suggests maintaining or extending the lead. Additionally, low first-half BTTS (13% for the hosts vs 21% for the visitors) supports the first goal coming from Al Draih, making the HT/FT 1/1 the strongest signal from the data.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Draih | Al Raed | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Draih is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Al Draih · 1.4 pts / match - Al Raed
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Draih is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
2.38 goals / match - Al Draih · 1.79 goals / match - Al Raed
Al Draih is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Al Draih · 1.31 goals / match - Al Raed
Al Draih scores in 93% of matches (27 of 29 matches), while Al Raed keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 matches).
Al Raed scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Al Draih keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Draih
Over / Under - Al Raed
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Draih is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.79 pts / match - Al Draih · 1.45 pts / match - Al Raed
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Draih - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 66%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Raed - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Draih
Al Raed
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Al Draih | Liga | Al Raed | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.38 | 2.91 | ▲ 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 59% | 61% | • 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 59% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 22% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 75% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 83% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Draih 1 - 0 - 0 Al Raed. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Draih vs Al Raed?
The First Division match finished Al Draih 1:3 Al Raed. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Draih vs Al Raed?
Al Draih score 2.38 goals per game on average and Al Raed 1.79. The First Division average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Al Draih's matches and 62% of Al Raed's.
What form are Al Draih and Al Raed in?
Over the last 5 games Al Draih have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Al Raed 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Draih vs Al Raed?
The statistical background for Al Draih vs Al Raed — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.