Al Draih vs Al Ula: match statistics
Al Draih vs Al Ula: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Draih played Al Ula in First Division (Saudi Arabia). The match was played on 23 May 2026. Venue: Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Al Draih: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Al Ula: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Draih scores 2.34 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Al Ula scores 2.20 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.96 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Draih 60%, Al Ula 63%. Over 2.5: Al Draih 71%, Al Ula 69%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Al Draih has higher xG: 1.96 vs 1.57. Al Draih: 16.7 shots per match, Al Ula: 13.4.
Match halves
Al Draih: half-time lead 51%, second-half goals 1.31. Al Ula: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.97.
Goals by minute
Al Draih: 76-90+ (23 goals). Al Ula: 31-45+ (25 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Draih is a slight favorite due to dominance in home metrics: at home they score 2.72 goals on average with 7 shots on target and 57% possession, and their home xG is 1.94; across the season they have 82 goals. Al Ula on the road averages 2.06 goals, records 4.71 shots on target per match and xG 1.49, with 12% of their away fixtures ending goalless, whereas the hosts have had no such matches at home (0%). In the last 5 matches both teams have scored 12 goals, but Al Ula’s form is 4 wins and 1 draw (2.6 points per game) versus Al Draih’s 4 wins and 1 loss (2.4 points per game). Seasonally Al Ula have conceded fewer goals (31 vs 39 for Al Draih), however xG against favors the hosts (0.95 vs 1.27), suggesting Al Draih better limits the quality of opponent chances. Considering the higher volume of shots (16.44 vs 12.59) and the clear advantage in shots on target (7 vs 4.71), I give a narrow edge to the home side.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Al Draih averages 2.33 goals per home game (82 goals this season), while Al Ula scores 2.06 goals away (77 goals); their xG is 1.65 versus 1.49, which confirms both teams create scoring opportunities. Season BTTS rates are 72% for Al Draih and 53% for Al Ula, with a league average of 62%; in the last 5 matches BTTS is 60% for the home side and 80% for the visitors, yielding a recent combined ~70% likelihood of both teams scoring. Additionally the proportion of matches without scoring is low: 6% for Al Draih and 12% for Al Ula; assuming independence a simple estimate 1 - 0.06 - 0.12 gives ~0.82, i.e. 82% chance of BTTS. Against this stands Al Ula’s higher clean sheet rate (41%) and a high league clean sheet percentage of 43%, so after a risk adjustment I assess the final BTTS probability at ~78% (No 22%) and choose 'yes' (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Al Draih scores an average of 2.33 goals per match and produces xG 1.65 while conceding 0.89 goals per match (xG against 1.09), whereas Al Ula scores 2.06 goals and has xG 1.49 while conceding 0.88 (xG against 1.27). The expected goals derived from these values are roughly 1.46 for the home side ((1.65+1.27)/2) and 1.29 for the away side ((1.49+1.09)/2), totaling 2.75 expected goals. In the last 5 matches both teams averaged 2.4 goals each (12 goals in 5 matches) and the rate of matches over 2.5 goals was 80% for both sides, reinforcing a high-scoring scenario. Seasonally Al Draih has 78% of home games over 2.5, and Al Ula 59% away; the 3.5 line is significantly less likely (28% and 41% respectively), therefore the strongest signal from the data is Over 2.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal from the data indicates Al Ula leading at the break and maintaining the win to full-time (scenario 2/2). Al Ula led at half-time in 71% of their away matches and in 80% of their last five games, keeping a clean sheet at the break in those five; additionally they have a 65% win rate this season and average 2.06 goals per match, which supports converting a lead. Al Draih, however, has a higher xG (1.65 vs 1.49) and a strong second half — averaging 1.11 goals after the break — so I also assigned significant weight to turnaround scenarios (X/1 12%, 1/1 18%). Both teams score freely (Al Draih 2.33, Al Ula 2.06) and the league records goals after half-time in 85% of matches, therefore the distribution prioritizes an away victory following a lead at the break while retaining realistic alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Draih | Al Ula | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Ula is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Al Draih · 3 pts / match - Al Ula
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Draih is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
2.34 goals / match - Al Draih · 2.2 goals / match - Al Ula
Al Ula is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Al Draih · 0.89 goals / match - Al Ula
Al Draih scores in 94% of matches (33 of 35 matches), while Al Ula keeps a clean sheet in 34% (12 of 35 matches).
Al Ula scores in 91% of matches (32 of 35 matches), while Al Draih keeps a clean sheet in 37% (13 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Draih
Over / Under - Al Ula
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ula is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.77 pts / match - Al Draih · 2.23 pts / match - Al Ula
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Draih - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 51% of matches and wins 66%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Ula - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 66%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (23 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (25 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Draih
Al Ula
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Al Draih | Liga | Al Ula | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.46 | 2.96 | ▲ 3.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 62% | • 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 61% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 22% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 76% | • 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 85% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Al Draih 0 - 0 - 2 Al Ula. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Draih vs Al Ula?
The First Division match finished Al Draih 2:1 Al Ula. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Al Draih and Al Ula?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Al Draih won 0, Al Ula won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Draih vs Al Ula?
Al Draih score 2.34 goals per game on average and Al Ula 2.20. The First Division average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Al Draih's matches and 63% of Al Ula's.
What form are Al Draih and Al Ula in?
Over the last 5 games Al Draih have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Al Ula 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Draih vs Al Ula?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Al Draih vs Al Ula: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.