Al Fahaheel vs Al Tadhamon: match statistics

Al Fahaheel come into this match on the back of five consecutive defeats, scoring just 3 goals and conceding as many as 11. Al Tadhamon have collected 7 points from their last five games through 2 wins and a draw, which stands in clear contrast to the hosts’ zero-point return over the same period. The visitors should control the game more often, as they average 62% possession away from home compared with Al Fahaheel’s 36% at home, while their average xG stands at 1.39 against 0.98 for the hosts. Both defences are prone to errors: the hosts concede 2 goals per home game and the visitors 3, with neither side having kept a clean sheet yet. However, the stronger current form and superior quality of chances created point towards a narrow Al Tadhamon victory.

The BTTS - Yes pick is primarily supported by the league, where both teams have scored in 80% of matches, with an average of 3.1 goals per game. In their last five appearances, each team recorded BTTS in 60% of matches, while Al Fahaheel conceded as many as 2.2 goals per game, clearly increasing Al Tadhamon’s chances of scoring. The visitors averaged 1.0 goals and created 1.27 xG over their last five matches, while the hosts allowed opponents 1.53 xG. Al Fahaheel scored only 3 goals in their last five games, but Al Tadhamon conceded 7 goals during this period—1.4 per match—and their average xG against was 1.56. The hosts’ weaker finishing limits confidence in the prediction, but defensive issues on both sides and the league’s high BTTS rate give a slight edge to the Goal/Goal scenario.

The strongest signal points to Over 1.5 goals, as Al Fahaheel conceded an average of 2.2 goals in their last five matches, while Al Tadhamon scored 1.0 goal per game over the same period. The hosts created an average of 1.18 xG, whereas the visitors allowed opponents 1.56 xG, giving Al Fahaheel a realistic chance to score despite their five-match losing streak. Al Tadhamon, in turn, generated 1.27 xG, while the hosts’ defense allowed opponents 1.53 xG, resulting in a projection of 1.55 goals for the visitors. The league records a high average of 3.1 goals per match, with 70% of games exceeding the 2.5-goal line, although the inconsistent attacking form of both teams reduces confidence in Over 2.5. The total projection of 2.65 goals clearly supports Over 1.5, while the 2.5 and 3.5 lines are significantly riskier.

The strongest scenario is Al Tadhamon leading at the break and the visitors winning after the final whistle. Al Fahaheel have lost their last five matches, scoring just 0.6 goals per game and conceding as many as 2.2, while Al Tadhamon have averaged 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The difference is particularly evident before half-time: the hosts have averaged 0.2 goals and been behind at the break in 60% of their last matches, whereas the visitors have led at half-time in 60%, scoring 0.8 goals and conceding only 0.2. Al Tadhamon have won 40% of their last five matches, while the hosts have collected no points during this period, strengthening the forecast that the visitors will maintain their lead. After the break, both teams concede an average of 1.2 goals, but Al Fahaheel’s poor second-half scoring rate of 0.4 goals limits the hosts’ chances of completing a turnaround.