Al Fateh vs Al Najma: match statistics
Al Fateh vs Al Najma: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Fateh played Al Najma in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The match was played on 14 May 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Al Fateh: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Al Najma: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Fateh scores 1.22 and concedes 1.72 goals per match. Al Najma scores 0.97 and concedes 2.31. League average: 3.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Fateh 66%, Al Najma 69%. Over 2.5: Al Fateh 47%, Al Najma 72%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Al Fateh has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.04. Al Fateh: 12.5 shots per match, Al Najma: 9.0.
Match halves
Al Fateh: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.75. Al Najma: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Al Fateh: 31-45+ (10 goals). Al Najma: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Professional League: 3.02 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Fateh is the clear favorite: they have scored 39 goals this season (1.44 per home game) versus Al Najma’s 31 (0.69 per away game). The hosts generate 1.61 xG at home while the visitors average only 0.94 xG on the road — a 0.67 xG gap (approx. 71% more in Al Fateh’s favor), indicating markedly better quality of chances. Al Fateh averages 14.25 shots and 5.19 on target in home matches versus Al Najma’s 8.06 shots and 2.75 on target away, with conversion rates of 10% versus 9%. Defensively, the hosts concede 1.63 goals per home match while Al Najma concedes 2.38 on the road; the visitors suffer defeats in 81% of away games, have 0% away wins and fail to score in 44% of away trips, whereas Al Fateh fail to score in only 19% of home matches. Despite similar point returns in the last 5 matches (both averaging 1 point per game), the seasonal advantage in xG, shot volume and a lower goals-against figure favor a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The data strongly supports BTTS: Al Fateh has a seasonal BTTS rate of 81% versus 56% for Al Najma, while the league average is 59%. Both teams concede heavily — Al Fateh averages 2.25 goals conceded per match (55 conceded this season), Al Najma 2.38 (74 conceded) — which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. In the last 5 matches Al Najma had BTTS in 80% of games, Al Fateh in 60%, and xG against is 1.78 (Al Fateh) and 1.92 (Al Najma), meaning the defenses allow about 1.8–1.9 xG per match. Additionally Al Fateh has 0% clean sheets this season, and the share of matches over 2.5 goals is 75% and 69% respectively, therefore I tip BTTS - Yes with a probability of 75% (No 25%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a high-scoring game: Al Fateh averages 1.25 goals per match, Al Najma 0.69, while Al Fateh concedes 2.25 and Al Najma 2.38 goals per match. xG confirms attacking potential and defensive weaknesses — Al Fateh xG is 1.14 vs 0.94 for Al Najma, while Al Najma allows 1.92 xG and Al Fateh 1.78 xG; this projects 1.53 goals for the home side and 1.36 for the away side (total 2.89). Seasonal percentages show Over 1.5 in 88% of Al Fateh’s matches and 69% of Al Najma’s, and Over 2.5 in 75% and 69% of matches respectively. In the last 5 fixtures, the Over 2.5 rate was 80% for Al Najma and 40% for Al Fateh, and Both Teams To Score occurred seasonally in 81% (home) and 56% (away) of matches. Based on this, the strongest signal is Over on the 1.5 line (estimated probability 90%), the 2.5 line is also well supported (~72%), whereas Over 3.5 is less certain (~48%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I predict a Half-Time draw and a Full-Time win for the home team (X/1). Both teams record relatively high rates of draws at the break: the home side 44% and the visitors 38%, which favors a draw HT. In the second half Al Fateh hold the advantage – the hosts score on average 0.88 goals after the break versus 0.31 for Al Najma, and the percentage of matches with a goal after the break is 88% for the hosts and 75% for the visitors, so the decision should come after the break. Over the full match Al Fateh are more efficient: 1.25 goals per game vs 0.69 for their opponents, xG 1.14 vs 0.94 and a higher shot conversion rate (13% versus 9%), while the visitors still have no wins in the league (0%), which increases the likelihood of an Al Najma loss late on.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Fateh | Al Najma | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Fateh is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Al Fateh · 0.97 goals / match - Al Najma
Al Fateh is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.72 goals / match - Al Fateh · 2.31 goals / match - Al Najma
Al Fateh scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while Al Najma keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 32 matches).
Al Najma scores in 69% of matches (22 of 32 matches), while Al Fateh keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Fateh
Over / Under - Al Najma
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Fateh is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Al Fateh · 0.78 pts / match - Al Najma
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Fateh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Najma - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 6%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (23). Late-goal balance (76-90): -18 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Fateh
Al Najma
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).
Teams vs league
| Al Fateh | Liga | Al Najma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.94 | 3.02 | ▲ 3.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 59% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 57% | ▲ 72% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 23% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 75% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 81% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Al NajmaSubstitutionOn: Majed Mohammed SharrahiOff: Sultan Al Essa
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Fateh 0 - 1 - 0 Al Najma. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Fateh vs Al Najma?
The Professional League match finished Al Fateh 2:0 Al Najma. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Fateh vs Al Najma?
Al Fateh score 1.22 goals per game on average and Al Najma 0.97. The Professional League average is 3.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Al Fateh's matches and 69% of Al Najma's.
What form are Al Fateh and Al Najma in?
Over the last 5 games Al Fateh have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Al Najma 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Fateh vs Al Najma?
The statistical background for Al Fateh vs Al Najma — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.