Al Feiha vs Al Faisaly: match statistics

Al Feiha have a slight home advantage: they have won 20% of their home matches, while Al Faisaly are yet to win away. The hosts also create more chances, averaging 11.2 shots per home match compared with the visitors’ 6.75 shots away, and their xG stands at 1.15 and 0.91, respectively. However, both defences are prone to errors: Al Feiha concede an average of 2.2 goals at home, while Al Faisaly concede 2.25 away. Recent form does not give the hosts a strong case, as they have failed to win any of their last five matches, while the visitors have recorded one win during that spell. Given these numbers, an Al Feiha win is slightly more likely, but a draw remains a realistic outcome—both teams have drawn at least 40% of their matches under the conditions analysed.

Both teams regularly feature in matches where both sides score: 67% of Al Feiha’s matches and 75% of Al Faisaly’s ended in BTTS, compared with 52% across the league. In their last 5 matches, the figures were 60% and 80%, respectively, while the teams conceded an average of 1.6 and 2.0 goals, boosting the chances of both sides finding the net. Al Feiha score an average of 1.0 goals, while the visitors’ defence allows chances worth 1.90 xG per match; meanwhile, Al Faisaly score 1.25 goals, with the hosts conceding an average of 1.83. Caution is warranted given that Al Feiha failed to score in 33% of their matches. However, the high BTTS frequency and both teams’ weak defences support the BTTS - Yes pick.

The strongest signal is for Over 1.5 goals: this line has been exceeded in 83% of Al Feiha matches and 75% of Al Faisaly matches. Both defences concede plenty of goals—the hosts average 1.83 conceded per match, while the visitors average 2.25—which increases the likelihood of at least two goals. In their last five matches, Al Feiha conceded 8 goals and Al Faisaly 10, although their average attacking xG stands at just 0.98 and 1.12, respectively. Therefore, the forecast of 2.80 goals supports backing Over 1.5, while the higher Over 2.5 line offers less of an edge: it has been hit in 50% of the hosts’ matches and 75% of the visitors’.

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Al Feiha were level at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches, while Al Faisaly did not lead at half-time in any of their five. Although the visitors were trailing at the break in 3 of those 5 matches, the hosts have won only 1 of 6 matches over the full period analysed, so any advantage before half-time may not translate into a full-time result. After the break, the stronger signal points to Al Faisaly: in their last five matches, the visitors scored an average of 0.8 goals in the second half, while Al Feiha conceded 1.2. The visitors won the second half in 40% of their last five matches, while the hosts did not do so in any, supporting the scenario of an Al Faisaly win after a draw at half-time. The X/2 pick remains uncertain, however, as Al Feiha have a higher average xG over the full period analysed—1.10 compared with their opponents’ 0.91.