Al Feiha vs Al Hilal: match statistics

Al Hilal head into the match in significantly better form: they have recorded 4 wins and 1 draw in their last five games, while Al Feiha have won just once and suffered 4 defeats. The visitors scored 10 goals during this period—4 more than the hosts—while conceding only 4 compared to Al Feiha’s 10. The difference is also reflected in the average points tally from the last five matches: 2.6 for Al Hilal versus just 0.6 for Al Feiha. Al Hilal also began the current season with a 4:2 victory, whereas Al Feiha lost their opening match 1:2. With clearly superior attacking efficiency and a more stable defence, the visitors should control the game and are firm favourites to win.

BTTS - Yes is primarily supported by the teams’ recent form, with both sides recording this outcome in 60% of their last five matches. Al Feiha scored an average of 1.2 goals during this period, but also conceded as many as 2.0 goals per match, with an xG against them of 1.76. Al Hilal averaged 2.0 goals and generated 1.48 xG, which significantly increases the visitors’ chances of exploiting the hosts’ defensive weaknesses. However, the hosts generate 1.14 xG per match, while Al Hilal have conceded 4 goals in their last five appearances despite their strong run, meaning a clean sheet for the favourites is not the most likely scenario. An additional argument is the league BTTS average of 67%, so the most likely outcome remains a goal for both teams.

Al Feiha have averaged 1.2 goals scored in their last five matches but conceded as many as 2.0 per game, clearly increasing the opponent’s scoring potential. Over the same period, Al Hilal averaged 2.0 goals per match and allowed opponents just 0.8, while their average xG stands at 1.48 compared with 1.14 for the hosts. Al Feiha’s matches went Over 2.5 goals in 80% of their last five appearances, while the league-wide average is a high 3.11 goals per match. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected 2.75 goals and Al Hilal’s attacking potential should produce at least two goals despite the visitors’ relatively solid recent defensive record.

Al Hilal have been clearly stronger in their last five matches: they won 80% of them, scoring an average of 2.0 goals and conceding just 0.8, while Al Feiha lost 80% of their matches, scored 1.2 goals and allowed opponents to score 2.0. The visitors should have the advantage already before half-time, having led at the break in 80% of their last five matches, while the hosts were trailing at half-time in 80% of theirs; the average number of goals before the break was 1.4 for Al Hilal and 0.4 for Al Feiha, respectively. Al Hilal's defence continues to look solid after the interval, conceding an average of just 0.4 goals and keeping a clean sheet in 80% of matches during this period, which limits the hosts' chances of a turnaround. The most likely scenario is therefore for Al Hilal to take the lead in the first half and hold it until the final whistle.