Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli: match statistics
Al Gharafa clearly dominates this matchup, sitting in 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 78% home wins and only 22% losses at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per match in home games, with a 13% conversion rate and a solid xG of 1.69. Al Ahli shows very poor away form with 67% away losses, no clean sheets, and a negative goal difference of -6. The visitors struggle to maintain their defense, conceding an average of 1.78 goals per away match, and their form in the last 5 matches (0.8 PTS/match) is significantly worse than that of the hosts (1.2 PTS/match). All key statistical indicators point to a certain victory for Al Gharafa on home soil.
Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Gharafa played Al Ahli in Stars League (Qatar). The match was played on 18 March 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Al Gharafa: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Al Ahli: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Gharafa scores 1.61 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Al Ahli scores 1.28 and concedes 2.11. League average: 3.29 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Gharafa 56%, Al Ahli 61%. Over 2.5: Al Gharafa 61%, Al Ahli 67%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Al Gharafa has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.30. Al Gharafa: 13.1 shots per match, Al Ahli: 10.5.
Match halves
Al Gharafa: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.17. Al Ahli: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Al Gharafa: 76-90+ (10 goals). Al Ahli: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Stars League: 3.29 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Gharafa clearly dominates this matchup, sitting in 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 78% home wins and only 22% losses at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2 goals per match in home games, with a 13% conversion rate and a solid xG of 1.69. Al Ahli shows very poor away form with 67% away losses, no clean sheets, and a negative goal difference of -6. The visitors struggle to maintain their defense, conceding an average of 1.78 goals per away match, and their form in the last 5 matches (0.8 PTS/match) is significantly worse than that of the hosts (1.2 PTS/match). All key statistical indicators point to a certain victory for Al Gharafa on home soil.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Gharafa | Al Ahli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Gharafa is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Al Gharafa · 0.2 pts / match - Al Ahli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Gharafa is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.61 goals / match - Al Gharafa · 1.28 goals / match - Al Ahli
Al Gharafa is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - Al Gharafa · 2.11 goals / match - Al Ahli
Al Gharafa scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Al Ahli keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 18 matches).
Al Ahli scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Al Gharafa keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Gharafa
Over / Under - Al Ahli
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Gharafa is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Al Gharafa · 1 pts / match - Al Ahli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Gharafa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Ahli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Gharafa
Al Ahli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Stars League).
Teams vs league
| Al Gharafa | Liga | Al Ahli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.29 | ▲ 3.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 59% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 61% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 87% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Gharafa 1 - 0 - 0 Al Ahli. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli?
The Stars League match finished Al Gharafa 1:4 Al Ahli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli?
Al Gharafa score 1.61 goals per game on average and Al Ahli 1.28. The Stars League average is 3.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Al Gharafa's matches and 61% of Al Ahli's.
What form are Al Gharafa and Al Ahli in?
Over the last 5 games Al Gharafa have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Al Ahli 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.