Al Gharafa vs Al Rayyan: match statistics
The match promises to be very balanced, suggesting a draw. Al Gharafa has an impressive home record with 75% wins and an average of 1.88 goals per match, yet their recent form is alarming – only 1 victory in the last 5 matches and as many as 11 goals conceded. Al Rayyan presents solid away form with 50% wins and an average of 2.4 goals scored per match, without a single goalless match on the road. The visitors' recent form is significantly better (1.6 points per game vs 0.6 for the hosts), which balances out Al Gharafa's home ground advantage. The identical goal difference of both teams (+6) and similar xG values (1.69 vs 1.70) confirm the even character of the clash. Considering the hosts' form crisis and the guests' good disposition, the most probable result is a draw, although a slight advantage for Al Gharafa stems from the home ground factor.
Al Gharafa vs Al Rayyan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Gharafa played Al Rayyan in Stars League (Qatar). The match was played on 26 February 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Al Gharafa: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Al Rayyan: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Gharafa scores 1.63 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Al Rayyan scores 2.06 and concedes 1.56. League average: 3.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Gharafa 56%, Al Rayyan 75%. Over 2.5: Al Gharafa 63%, Al Rayyan 69%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Al Rayyan has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.52. Al Gharafa: 13.3 shots per match, Al Rayyan: 14.5.
Match halves
Al Gharafa: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.13. Al Rayyan: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.06.
Goals by minute
Al Gharafa: 76-90+ (9 goals). Al Rayyan: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Stars League: 3.27 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very balanced, suggesting a draw. Al Gharafa has an impressive home record with 75% wins and an average of 1.88 goals per match, yet their recent form is alarming – only 1 victory in the last 5 matches and as many as 11 goals conceded. Al Rayyan presents solid away form with 50% wins and an average of 2.4 goals scored per match, without a single goalless match on the road. The visitors' recent form is significantly better (1.6 points per game vs 0.6 for the hosts), which balances out Al Gharafa's home ground advantage. The identical goal difference of both teams (+6) and similar xG values (1.69 vs 1.70) confirm the even character of the clash. Considering the hosts' form crisis and the guests' good disposition, the most probable result is a draw, although a slight advantage for Al Gharafa stems from the home ground factor.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Gharafa | Al Rayyan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Rayyan is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Al Gharafa · 1.6 pts / match - Al Rayyan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Rayyan is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Al Gharafa · 2.06 goals / match - Al Rayyan
Al Gharafa is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.31 goals / match - Al Gharafa · 1.56 goals / match - Al Rayyan
Al Gharafa scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Al Rayyan keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).
Al Rayyan scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while Al Gharafa keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Gharafa
Over / Under - Al Rayyan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Rayyan is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Al Gharafa · 1.44 pts / match - Al Rayyan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Gharafa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Rayyan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Gharafa
Al Rayyan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Stars League).
Teams vs league
| Al Gharafa | Liga | Al Rayyan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.94 | 3.27 | ▲ 3.63 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 56% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 61% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 24% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 71% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 85% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Gharafa 1 - 0 - 0 Al Rayyan. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Gharafa vs Al Rayyan?
The Stars League match finished Al Gharafa 3:2 Al Rayyan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Gharafa vs Al Rayyan?
Al Gharafa score 1.63 goals per game on average and Al Rayyan 2.06. The Stars League average is 3.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Al Gharafa's matches and 75% of Al Rayyan's.
What form are Al Gharafa and Al Rayyan in?
Over the last 5 games Al Gharafa have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Al Rayyan 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Gharafa vs Al Rayyan?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.