Al Hazm vs Al Draih: match statistics

Al Hazm enter the match from the higher position of 6th in the table, while Al Draih sit 12th. The hosts won their only league game so far 2:1, whereas the visitors began the campaign with a 0:1 defeat, strengthening the case for Al Hazm. In their last five matches, Al Hazm scored 9 goals and recorded 3 wins and a draw, while Al Draih did score 10 goals but lost 2 of their 5 matches. Neither defence has been flawless, with Al Hazm conceding 7 and Al Draih 8 goals recently, giving the visitors a realistic chance of finding the net. The hosts’ slight advantage is based on their stronger start to the season, higher league position and home advantage.

Both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of their last 5 matches, only slightly below the league average of 67%. During this period, Al Hazm averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Al Draih scored 2.0 goals and conceded 1.6. Their attacking potential is supported by the xG figures: 1.39 for the home side and 1.67 for the visitors, while both defences allowed opponents an xG above 1.25. The hosts scored 9 goals in their last five matches, compared with 10 for the visitors, so both sides have clear arguments for scoring at least once. Seasonal data is very limited, so greater weight should be given to current form, which points towards a BTTS - Yes scenario.

Both teams are showing strong attacking form: Al Hazm averaged 1.8 goals in their last five matches, while Al Draih averaged exactly 2.0. At the same time, the hosts conceded 1.4 goals per game during this period, compared with 1.6 for the visitors, strengthening the case for goals at both ends. Average xG stands at 1.39 for Al Hazm and 1.67 for Al Draih, while their opponents recorded 1.31 and 1.26 xG respectively, giving the projected total of 3.15 goals a sound statistical basis. The Over 2.5 goals line landed in 60% of the hosts’ last five matches and 80% of the visitors’ games, against a league average of 3.11 goals. However, the strongest pick remains Over 1.5 goals, as it would take an exceptionally tight match to lose this bet despite the combined average of 6.8 goals across both teams’ last five appearances.

The strongest scenario is Al Hazm leading at the break and securing a home win, as they have averaged 1.2 goals before half-time in their last five matches, compared with Al Draih’s 0.8. The visitors were trailing at half-time in 60% of their last five games, while their average number of goals conceded before the break stands at 1.0; by contrast, Al Hazm led at half-time in 40% of their matches. Al Hazm also have the better record in this phase of the game, averaging 1.6 points at half-time with a goal difference of +2, compared with 1.2 points and a -1 goal difference for Al Draih. After the break, however, the opponents are more dangerous, averaging 1.2 goals, which is why the draw at half-time and home win at full-time scenarios also remain relevant. Home advantage and Al Hazm’s form, having won three of their last five matches, marginally strengthen the 1/1 pick, although the current-season data is based on a very small sample.