Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad: match statistics
Al Hilal is the clear favorite in this match, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 16 wins and just 5 draws without a single loss this season. The hosts are in dominant form at home with an 82% win rate in home matches, scoring an average of 2.27 goals while conceding just 0.73 per game. Al Ittihad, despite good recent form (4 wins in the last 5 matches), has a much weaker away record with only a 40% win rate and concedes an average of 1.5 goals per game on the road. The difference in possession is minimal (61% vs 60%), but Al Hilal's efficiency in chance conversion (15% vs 16%) and their significantly better goal difference (+17 vs +7) speaks in their favor. Considering the hosts' advantage in every aspect of home play and their spotless unbeaten record, the most likely outcome is an Al Hilal victory, although Al Ittihad's good form could cause problems, justifying a 25% chance of a draw.
Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Hilal played Al Ittihad in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Al Hilal: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Al Ittihad: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Hilal scores 2.62 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. Al Ittihad scores 1.71 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Hilal 57%, Al Ittihad 52%. Over 2.5: Al Hilal 67%, Al Ittihad 48%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Al Hilal has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.74. Al Hilal: 16.0 shots per match, Al Ittihad: 14.4.
Match halves
Al Hilal: half-time lead 62%, second-half goals 1.43. Al Ittihad: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Al Hilal: 31-45+ (14 goals). Al Ittihad: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Professional League: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Hilal is the clear favorite in this match, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 16 wins and just 5 draws without a single loss this season. The hosts are in dominant form at home with an 82% win rate in home matches, scoring an average of 2.27 goals while conceding just 0.73 per game. Al Ittihad, despite good recent form (4 wins in the last 5 matches), has a much weaker away record with only a 40% win rate and concedes an average of 1.5 goals per game on the road. The difference in possession is minimal (61% vs 60%), but Al Hilal's efficiency in chance conversion (15% vs 16%) and their significantly better goal difference (+17 vs +7) speaks in their favor. Considering the hosts' advantage in every aspect of home play and their spotless unbeaten record, the most likely outcome is an Al Hilal victory, although Al Ittihad's good form could cause problems, justifying a 25% chance of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Hilal | Al Ittihad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Ittihad is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Al Hilal · 2 pts / match - Al Ittihad
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Hilal is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
2.62 goals / match - Al Hilal · 1.71 goals / match - Al Ittihad
Al Hilal is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.86 goals / match - Al Hilal · 1.24 goals / match - Al Ittihad
Al Hilal scores in 95% of matches (20 of 21 matches), while Al Ittihad keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
Al Ittihad scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Al Hilal keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Hilal
Over / Under - Al Ittihad
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Hilal is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.1 pts / match - Al Hilal · 1.67 pts / match - Al Ittihad
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Hilal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 62% of matches and wins 76%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Al Ittihad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Hilal
Al Ittihad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).
Teams vs league
| Al Hilal | Liga | Al Ittihad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.48 | 2.99 | • 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 58% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 56% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 24% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 95% | 73% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 80% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Hilal 1 - 0 - 0 Al Ittihad. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad?
The Professional League match finished Al Hilal 1:1 Al Ittihad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad?
Al Hilal score 2.62 goals per game on average and Al Ittihad 1.71. The Professional League average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Al Hilal's matches and 52% of Al Ittihad's.
What form are Al Hilal and Al Ittihad in?
Over the last 5 games Al Hilal have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Al Ittihad 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.