Al Ittifaq vs Al Fateh: match statistics
Al Ittifaq are showing significantly better form and results at their home stadium, where they achieve a 45% win rate and maintain a positive goal difference (+1). The hosts have averaged 1.8 points per game in their last five matches, winning three games, while Al Fateh have not won any of their last five matches (0.6 PPG) and have a negative goal difference away from home (-7). Al Fateh lose as many as 40% of their away matches and score an average of only 0.9 goals per game on the road, which puts them in a difficult position. Additionally, the hosts have a better shooting accuracy (15% vs 9%) and keep clean sheets in 45% of their home matches. Taking all statistics into account, Al Ittifaq have a clear advantage; however, the inconsistent form of both teams and relatively balanced xG values suggest a draw is possible, hence a moderate probability of a home win.
Al Ittifaq vs Al Fateh: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Ittifaq played Al Fateh in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The match was played on 19 February 2026. Final score: 4:3.
Current form
Al Ittifaq: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Al Fateh: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Ittifaq scores 1.43 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Al Fateh scores 1.24 and concedes 1.76. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Ittifaq 52%, Al Fateh 67%. Over 2.5: Al Ittifaq 57%, Al Fateh 48%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Al Fateh has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.15. Al Ittifaq: 9.6 shots per match, Al Fateh: 11.8.
Match halves
Al Ittifaq: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.90. Al Fateh: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Al Ittifaq: 76-90+ (8 goals). Al Fateh: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Professional League: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ittifaq are showing significantly better form and results at their home stadium, where they achieve a 45% win rate and maintain a positive goal difference (+1). The hosts have averaged 1.8 points per game in their last five matches, winning three games, while Al Fateh have not won any of their last five matches (0.6 PPG) and have a negative goal difference away from home (-7). Al Fateh lose as many as 40% of their away matches and score an average of only 0.9 goals per game on the road, which puts them in a difficult position. Additionally, the hosts have a better shooting accuracy (15% vs 9%) and keep clean sheets in 45% of their home matches. Taking all statistics into account, Al Ittifaq have a clear advantage; however, the inconsistent form of both teams and relatively balanced xG values suggest a draw is possible, hence a moderate probability of a home win.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Ittifaq | Al Fateh | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Ittifaq is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Al Ittifaq · 0.6 pts / match - Al Fateh
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ittifaq is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.43 goals / match - Al Ittifaq · 1.24 goals / match - Al Fateh
Al Ittifaq is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.52 goals / match - Al Ittifaq · 1.76 goals / match - Al Fateh
Al Ittifaq scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Al Fateh keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
Al Fateh scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Al Ittifaq keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Ittifaq
Over / Under - Al Fateh
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Ittifaq - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Fateh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Ittifaq
Al Fateh
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).
Teams vs league
| Al Ittifaq | Liga | Al Fateh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.95 | 2.93 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 58% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 55% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 24% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 72% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 80% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Ittifaq 0 - 0 - 1 Al Fateh. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Ittifaq vs Al Fateh?
The Professional League match finished Al Ittifaq 4:3 Al Fateh. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Ittifaq vs Al Fateh?
Al Ittifaq score 1.43 goals per game on average and Al Fateh 1.24. The Professional League average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Al Ittifaq's matches and 67% of Al Fateh's.
What form are Al Ittifaq and Al Fateh in?
Over the last 5 games Al Ittifaq have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Al Fateh 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ittifaq vs Al Fateh?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Al Ittifaq vs Al Fateh: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.