Al Ittifaq vs Al Ittihad: match statistics
Al Ittifaq vs Al Ittihad: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Ittifaq played Al Ittihad in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The match was played on 14 May 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Al Ittifaq: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Al Ittihad: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Ittifaq scores 1.53 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Al Ittihad scores 1.58 and concedes 1.26. League average: 3.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Ittifaq 53%, Al Ittihad 55%. Over 2.5: Al Ittifaq 59%, Al Ittihad 45%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Al Ittihad has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.21. Al Ittifaq: 10.3 shots per match, Al Ittihad: 13.2.
Match halves
Al Ittifaq: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.91. Al Ittihad: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Al Ittifaq: 46-60 (11 goals). Al Ittihad: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Professional League: 3.02 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ittifaq sits 7th with 49 goals scored and 51 conceded, while Al Ittihad is 6th with 49 scored and only 39 conceded. In the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 10 goals (2W, 1D, 2L) and average 1.4 points per game, whereas the visitors scored 5 goals (3W, 1D, 1L) and average 2.0 points per game. Al Ittihad generates more chances: on average 12.13 shots and 4.53 on target per match versus Al Ittifaq's 10.19 and 4.13, and average xG of 1.44 vs 1.17, indicating higher quality opportunities for the visitors. The home defence looks weaker across the season — 51 goals conceded and an average xG against of 1.72 at home — while Al Ittihad have 39 conceded and xG against of 1.34, and have allowed only 2 goals in their last 5 matches. Additionally, the visitors failed to score in only 7% of away games, whereas the hosts were goalless at home in 25% of matches, which increases Al Ittihad’s chances to find the net. Considering the superiority in form points, better xG and dominance in possession (58% vs 47%), I predict an Al Ittihad victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Al Ittifaq averages 1.31 goals scored and concedes 1.00 per match, while Al Ittihad averages 1.87 scored and concedes 1.53, indicating both teams possess offensive capability. On xG level the home side has 1.73 vs xG against 1.34 (approximately ~1.54 for Al Ittifaq), and the visitors have xG 1.44 vs xG against 1.26 (approximately ~1.35), so both sides generate around 1.3–1.5 xG per match. Seasonal indicators are mixed: Al Ittifaq has BTTS at 38%, Al Ittihad 73%, and the league sees 59% BTTS matches; additionally Al Ittihad fail to score in only 7% of matches, which strongly supports an away goal. Counterarguments are recent form: in the last 5 matches Al Ittihad have BTTS only 20% and concede on average 0.4 goals (in last 5: scored 5 and conceded 2), whereas Al Ittifaq in last 5 scored 10 and conceded 5 (avg 2.0 and 1.0), producing mixed but still offensive signals. Considering the visitors' high seasonal BTTS (73%), their low share of matches without scoring (7%), and the projected xG ~1.3–1.5 per side, I favor the BTTS - Yes scenario with a probability of 68% vs 32% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Considering xG, Al Ittifaq has xG_for 1.73 and Al Ittihad xG_for 1.44; matched with xG_against (home 1.26, away 1.34) this yields expected goals of ~1.54 for the home side and ~1.35 for the visitors, totaling ~2.89 goals. Al Ittifaq averages 14.13 shots and 5.38 on target with a 9% conversion, while Al Ittihad records 12.13 shots, 4.53 on target and a 15% conversion, indicating higher efficiency from the visitors despite fewer attempts. Seasonal indicators confirm a propensity for goals: Over 1.5 stands at 56% for Al Ittifaq and 93% for Al Ittihad, and Over 0.5 is 94% vs 100%; additionally Al Ittihad has BTTS in 73% of matches. A Poisson model at a total of 2.89 yields ~78% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), ~55% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) and ~33% for at least 4 goals (Over 3.5), therefore the strongest and safest signal from the data is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Al Ittifaq has a clear advantage at the break: they led at half-time in 44% of matches, score on average 0.81 goals by half-time and concede only 0.38, and keep a half-time clean sheet in 75% of games. Over full matches the home side wins 63% of games, posts a higher xG (1.73 vs 1.44) and registers more shots (14.13 vs 12.13), suggesting they can hold a lead. Al Ittihad, however, is dangerous after the break — they average 1.07 goals in the second half and win second halves in 53% of cases, so there is a real risk of an equaliser or a turnaround. Given the hosts’ 44% HT leads and their 63% season win rate, the 1/1 scenario (home leading at half-time and winning the match) is the strongest signal, so I assign it the highest probability (26%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Ittifaq | Al Ittihad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Ittihad is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Al Ittifaq · 2 pts / match - Al Ittihad
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ittihad is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.59 goals / match - Al Ittifaq · 1.26 goals / match - Al Ittihad
Al Ittifaq scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while Al Ittihad keeps a clean sheet in 29% (9 of 31 matches).
Al Ittihad scores in 81% of matches (25 of 31 matches), while Al Ittifaq keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Ittifaq
Over / Under - Al Ittihad
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ittihad is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Al Ittifaq · 1.58 pts / match - Al Ittihad
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Ittifaq - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Ittihad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Ittifaq
Al Ittihad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).
Teams vs league
| Al Ittifaq | Liga | Al Ittihad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.13 | 3.02 | ▼ 2.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 59% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 57% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 23% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 81% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Ittifaq 1 - 0 - 0 Al Ittihad. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Ittifaq vs Al Ittihad?
The Professional League match finished Al Ittifaq 1:3 Al Ittihad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Ittifaq vs Al Ittihad?
Al Ittifaq score 1.53 goals per game on average and Al Ittihad 1.58. The Professional League average is 3.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Al Ittifaq's matches and 55% of Al Ittihad's.
What form are Al Ittifaq and Al Ittihad in?
Over the last 5 games Al Ittifaq have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Al Ittihad 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ittifaq vs Al Ittihad?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Al Ittifaq vs Al Ittihad: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.