Al Ittihad Kalba vs Bani Yas: match statistics
Al Ittihad Kalba vs Bani Yas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Ittihad Kalba played Bani Yas in Arabian Gulf League (United Arab Emirates). The match was played on 23 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Al Ittihad Kalba: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Bani Yas: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Ittihad Kalba scores 1.18 and concedes 1.77 goals per match. Bani Yas scores 1.00 and concedes 1.55. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Ittihad Kalba 68%, Bani Yas 41%. Over 2.5: Al Ittihad Kalba 64%, Bani Yas 45%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Al Ittihad Kalba has higher xG: 1.21 vs 1.14. Al Ittihad Kalba: 11.3 shots per match, Bani Yas: 10.1.
Match halves
Al Ittihad Kalba: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.86. Bani Yas: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Al Ittihad Kalba: 76-90+ (9 goals). Bani Yas: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Arabian Gulf League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I expect a draw: Al Ittihad Kalba record as many as 55% draws at home and only 9% wins at their stadium, and in the last 5 matches the hosts haven’t won (0 W, 4 D, 1 L), yielding 0.8 points per game in that period. Bani Yas show better short-term form (2 W, 2 D, 1 L in last 5) and collect 1.6 points per game, while conceding only 4 goals in their last 5 matches versus 12 conceded by the hosts (averages 0.8 vs 2.4 per game). Seasonal offensive indicators and xG are nearly identical: average goals at home 1.00 for Al Ittihad vs 1.09 for Bani Yas away, and xG 1.14 vs 1.13, suggesting a similar number of created chances. The hosts have slightly more shots on target (3.18 vs 2.73) but lower possession (42% vs 44%) and worse season defensive record (1.55 goals conceded at home vs 1.45 conceded by the visitors away), therefore the most likely outcome is a low-scoring, balanced draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes (70% vs 30%), primarily due to a clear recent trend from the home side, who have had BTTS in 100% of their last 5 matches. This season both teams have similar xG: 1.15 for Al Ittihad Kalba and 1.13 for Bani Yas, and average goals scored of 0.91 and 1.09 per match respectively, indicating they create scoring opportunities. Both defenses are prone to concessions: they concede 1.64 and 1.45 goals per match on average this season, and the home team conceded an average of 2.4 goals in their last 5 matches (12 in 5), which increases the opponent’s chance to score. Seasonal BTTS rates are 45% for the home side and 36% for the away side, but the league average BTTS is 54%, so the overall league context also favors Both Teams To Score. Additionally, clean sheets occur in only 18% and 27% of matches for home and away sides, and opposing xG is 1.53 and 1.67, suggesting risk of conceding from both teams; therefore I choose Yes as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: Al Ittihad Kalba has xG_for 1.15, Bani Yas 1.13, and defensive xG_against of 1.53 (home) and 1.67 (away), yielding projected 1.50 goals for the home side and 1.25 for the visitors (total 2.75). A Poisson model with lambda=2.75 gives ~76% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), ~53% for Over 2.5 and ~31% for Over 3.5. Seasonal metrics support this: Over 1.5 occurred in 73% of home matches and 82% of away matches, Over 2.5 in 45% for both, and Over 3.5 in 27%/18% of matches; combining model and season yields adjusted probabilities of ~77% (1.5), ~51% (2.5) and ~28% (3.5). Additionally, home sides average 0.91 scored and 1.64 conceded per game this season, visitors 1.09 scored and 1.45 conceded; in the last 5 matches the home team scored 8 and conceded 12, the visitors 6 and 4, indicating an open fixture with goal risk. As a result the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (recommendation), since the expected 2.75 goals clearly exceed the 1.5 threshold and offer the highest value probability.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and an away win (X/2). The visitors have a higher win percentage (36% vs. the hosts' 18%) and a higher season scoring average (1.09 vs. 0.91), giving them the edge for the full-time result. At half-time both teams record an identical average goals figure (AVGHT 1.27); the hosts average 0.55 goals by the break versus 0.45 for the visitors, and in the last five matches the visitors led at the break in 60% of games compared to 20% for the hosts, increasing the likelihood of a draw or a minimal lead at HT. After the break the visitors’ advantage is pronounced: points gained after half-time 15 versus the hosts’ 6 and average points after half-time 1.36 versus 0.55, which suggests Bani Yas are more effective at closing out the match. Additionally, the visitors’ shooting efficiency (11% vs. the hosts’ 9%) and comparable xG (1.13 vs. 1.15) indicate that with similar chance creation the visitors convert better and are the favorites to produce a turnaround after a HT draw.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Ittihad Kalba | Bani Yas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bani Yas is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Al Ittihad Kalba · 1.6 pts / match - Bani Yas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ittihad Kalba is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Al Ittihad Kalba · 1 goals / match - Bani Yas
Bani Yas is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.77 goals / match - Al Ittihad Kalba · 1.55 goals / match - Bani Yas
Al Ittihad Kalba scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Bani Yas keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
Bani Yas scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Al Ittihad Kalba keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Ittihad Kalba
Over / Under - Bani Yas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bani Yas is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.91 pts / match - Al Ittihad Kalba · 1.32 pts / match - Bani Yas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Ittihad Kalba - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bani Yas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Ittihad Kalba
Bani Yas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Arabian Gulf League).
Teams vs league
| Al Ittihad Kalba | Liga | Bani Yas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.95 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 54% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 50% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 25% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 69% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 80% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Al Ittihad KalbaSubstitutionOn: Ahmed Amir Saeed Amir Rashid Al NaqbiOff: Ali Hassan Salmeen Al Balushi
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Al Ittihad Kalba 1 - 1 - 1 Bani Yas. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Ittihad Kalba vs Bani Yas?
The Arabian Gulf League match finished Al Ittihad Kalba 1:2 Bani Yas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Al Ittihad Kalba and Bani Yas?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Al Ittihad Kalba won 1, Bani Yas won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Ittihad Kalba vs Bani Yas?
Al Ittihad Kalba score 1.18 goals per game on average and Bani Yas 1.00. The Arabian Gulf League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Al Ittihad Kalba's matches and 41% of Bani Yas's.
What form are Al Ittihad Kalba and Bani Yas in?
Over the last 5 games Al Ittihad Kalba have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Bani Yas 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ittihad Kalba vs Bani Yas?
The statistical background for Al Ittihad Kalba vs Bani Yas — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.