Al Ittihad vs El Geish: match statistics
Al Ittihad vs El Geish: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Ittihad played El Geish in Egyptian Premier League (Egypt). The match was played on 13 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Al Ittihad: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. El Geish: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Ittihad scores 0.79 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. El Geish scores 0.66 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Ittihad 45%, El Geish 28%. Over 2.5: Al Ittihad 41%, El Geish 28%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
El Geish has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.23. Al Ittihad: 10.3 shots per match, El Geish: 11.1.
Match halves
Al Ittihad: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.55. El Geish: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.34.
Goals by minute
Al Ittihad: 76-90+ (10 goals). El Geish: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Egyptian Premier League: 1.98 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ittihad holds an advantage in chance quality and finishing efficiency: at home they average 10.77 shots per game, 3.77 on target, convert at roughly 9% and score 1.00 goals per match with xG 1.36, whereas El Geish away average 9.93 shots (2.67 on target), have about 5% conversion and score only 0.47 goals per game with xG 1.16. The visitors struggle to finish — they failed to score in 67% of away matches versus 31% of home matches without a goal, which significantly limits their chances of winning on the road. Defensively both teams are similar on the season (Al Ittihad concedes 1.15 goals at home vs El Geish 1.13 away), however Al Ittihad conceded 8 goals in the last 5 matches compared to El Geish’s 4, indicating short-term instability for the hosts. In the last 5 games Al Ittihad scored 4 goals and have not won any (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses), averaging 0.6 points per match, while El Geish has 1 win and averages 1.0 point, giving the visitors a slight form edge. Nevertheless, the hosts’ superiority in shots on target, higher conversion and greater season goal tally (23 vs 19) leads to identifying Al Ittihad as the favorite for this fixture.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS rates for both teams are low: Al Ittihad 29% and El Geish 27%, clearly below the league average of 46% and indicating a bias toward No Goal outcomes. Additionally, the home side keep a clean sheet in 43% of matches and the visitors in 40%, while the league average goals per game is only 1.98, favoring single-goal or 0-0 scenarios. Offensive signals are moderate: home xG 1.35 vs away 1.16, average shots 12.36 vs 9.93 and shots on target 3.36 vs 2.67, yet seasonal goal averages are low at 0.86 and 0.47 with shot conversion only 7% and 5%. The last 5 matches paint a mixed picture — homes have 60% BTTS in the last 5, visitors only 20%, with recent 5-game goal averages of 0.8 (home) and 0.4 (away), which lowers the probability of Goal/Goal. Based on this I back BTTS - No at an estimated 72% vs 28% for Yes, since the low seasonal BTTS (29%/27%), high clean sheet rates (43%/40%) and poor shot conversion favor a scenario where at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model estimates expected goals of 1.25 for Al Ittihad and 1.20 for El Geish, totaling 2.45 goals. Al Ittihad averages 0.86 goals per home game, but xG=1.35 indicates more chances; El Geish averages 0.47 goals with xG=1.16. Season stats show 93% of home matches have over 0.5 goals, while Over 2.5 occurs in only 29% for hosts and 27% for guests, reducing the appeal of higher lines. A Poisson model with lambda=2.45 yields roughly 70% for Over 1.5, ~44% for Over 2.5 and ~23% for Over 3.5, so the strongest signal is Over 1.5. I recommend backing Over 1.5 given both teams' higher xG and the probability edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Al Ittihad has a clear advantage in the first half: the hosts led at the break in 6 matches (43%) and average 0.64 goals before the interval, while El Geish average 0.0 first-half goals and have never led at the break (0%). In the second half the visitors show stronger offensive numbers — El Geish average 1.13 second-half goals versus 0.64 for the hosts, giving them a real chance of a turnaround after the break. Over the full match the stats favor Al Ittihad: xG 1.35 versus 1.16, on average 12.36 shots to 9.93, a higher win percentage 43% to 13% and a superior conversion rate 7% to 5%. Based on this, the most likely HT/FT scenario is 1/1 (30%), with a moderate risk of a draw or a loss in the second half (X/X 20% and 1/X 15%), while El Geish leading at half-time or holding a lead through to full-time is unlikely (2/2 3%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Ittihad | El Geish | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
El Geish is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Al Ittihad · 1 pts / match - El Geish
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ittihad is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
0.79 goals / match - Al Ittihad · 0.66 goals / match - El Geish
El Geish is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Al Ittihad · 1 goals / match - El Geish
Al Ittihad scores in 62% of matches (18 of 29 matches), while El Geish keeps a clean sheet in 41% (12 of 29 matches).
El Geish scores in 48% of matches (14 of 29 matches), while Al Ittihad keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Ittihad
Over / Under - El Geish
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
El Geish is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.79 pts / match - Al Ittihad · 1.07 pts / match - El Geish
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Ittihad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
El Geish - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Ittihad
El Geish
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Egyptian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Al Ittihad | Liga | El Geish | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.00 | 1.98 | ▼ 1.66 |
| Both teams scored | • 45% | 46% | ▼ 28% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 33% | ▼ 28% |
| Clean sheets | • 34% | 35% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | • 55% | 56% | ▲ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 72% | 69% | ▼ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Ittihad 1 - 0 - 0 El Geish. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Ittihad vs El Geish?
The Egyptian Premier League match finished Al Ittihad 1:0 El Geish. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Ittihad vs El Geish?
Al Ittihad score 0.79 goals per game on average and El Geish 0.66. The Egyptian Premier League average is 1.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Al Ittihad's matches and 28% of El Geish's.
What form are Al Ittihad and El Geish in?
Over the last 5 games Al Ittihad have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and El Geish 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ittihad vs El Geish?
The statistical background for Al Ittihad vs El Geish — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.