Al Khaleej vs Al Ahli: match statistics
Al Khaleej vs Al Ahli: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Khaleej played Al Ahli in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The match was played on 20 May 2026. Venue: EGO STADIUM. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Al Khaleej: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Al Ahli: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Khaleej scores 1.61 and concedes 1.76 goals per match. Al Ahli scores 2.03 and concedes 0.73. League average: 3.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Khaleej 64%, Al Ahli 45%. Over 2.5: Al Khaleej 67%, Al Ahli 52%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Al Ahli has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.30. Al Khaleej: 11.6 shots per match, Al Ahli: 12.9.
Match halves
Al Khaleej: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.94. Al Ahli: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 1.15.
Goals by minute
Al Khaleej: 76-90+ (14 goals). Al Ahli: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Professional League: 3.02 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ahli is the clear favorite: they sit 3rd in the table versus Al Khaleej's 11th and have 24 wins this season compared to the hosts' 10. Recent form also favors the visitors — Al Ahli have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 4, while Al Khaleej have no wins (0-1-4), scoring 4 and conceding 14. The defensive gap is significant: Al Khaleej concede 1.69 goals per home game (avg xG against 1.53), whereas Al Ahli concede only 0.69 goals away (xG against 0.93) and have clean sheets in 63% of away matches versus 19% for the hosts. Offensively the hosts average 1.69 goals at home with xG 1.28 and fail to score in 44% of games, while the visitors have xG 1.38 away and fail to score in 19% of matches; additionally Al Ahli average 4.38 shots on target away compared to 3.94 for the hosts. Considering the advantage in form (an average of 2.4 points in the last 5 matches for Al Ahli versus 0.2 for Al Khaleej), better defense (0.69 conceded vs 1.69) and higher clean sheet rate, I predict an Al Ahli win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I pick 'Yes' — Al Khaleej averages 2.65 goals scored at home this season and has a seasonal BTTS rate of 59%, indicating frequent Goal/Goal outcomes at home. Key signal is form: in the last 5 matches Al Khaleej conceded 14 goals (2.8 per game) and 80% of those matches were BTTS, while Al Ahli scored 12 goals in their last 5 (2.4 per game) and has a recent xG of 1.58, so they should find the net. Seasonally Al Ahli, however, has 63% clean sheets expected (clean sheets), which nominally reduces BTTS likelihood, but their seasonal average goals conceded 0.69 versus recent 0.8 shows they are currently slightly more vulnerable than season average. Technically the combined seasonal xG of both teams is 1.77+1.38=3.15 (above the league average 3.02), and the hosts' shots and shots on target (14.53 and 6.0) versus the visitors (11.25 and 4.38) indicate high goal potential on both sides. Considering Al Khaleej conceded 14 goals in the last 5 and Al Ahli scored 12, I assess BTTS probability at 72% for 'Yes' and 28% for 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for Al Khaleej (attacking xG 1.77 vs opponents’ xG conceded 0.93) and 1.21 for Al Ahli (attacking xG 1.38 vs opponents’ xG conceded 1.03), totaling 2.56 expected goals. Under a Poisson distribution with λ=2.56 the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is approximately 72.5%, while the probability of three or more goals (Over 2.5) is about 47%. Seasonal stats support Over 1.5: Al Khaleej records Over 1.5 in 94% of matches, Al Ahli in 50% (average ~72%); for Over 2.5 the hosts are at 71% and the visitors at 31% (average ~51%), giving a mixed signal for 2.5. The last 5 matches show a combined 16 goals (4 by the hosts and 12 by the visitors), averaging 3.2 goals in recent games, which slightly increases the likelihood of Over 2.5 versus the pure xG model. Therefore I recommend an Over 1.5 bet as the strongest signal (ou_pred_line=1.5, side='over') with an assigned probability of 75% for Over 1.5, moderate support for Over 2.5 (48%) and low chance for Over 3.5 (26%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seasonal statistics favor Al Khaleej: the hosts average 2.65 goals per home match versus Al Ahli's 1.38 away, possess an xG of 1.77 versus the visitors' 1.38, and register more shots (14.53 vs 11.25) and shots on target (6.0 vs 4.38), with conversion rates of 18% compared to 12%. Al Khaleej led at the break in 59% of matches and average 1.06 goals by half-time versus Al Ahli's 0.69; in first halves the hosts scored 26 goals compared to the visitors' 14, indicating they are more likely to have the lead after 45 minutes. Form must be considered: in the last five matches Al Khaleej's sequence is 'lldll' with a 0% win rate, while Al Ahli are 'lwwww' with an 80% win rate in their last five, and the visitors led at the break in 80% of those games, scoring on average 1.6 goals before half-time. Combining the season-long home advantage for Al Khaleej (82% home win rate) and their second-half efficiency (second-half related metrics at 71%), but adjusting the forecast in favor of Al Ahli's current form, the most likely scenario is Al Khaleej leading at half-time and winning the match (HT/FT 1/1), which I assign approximately a 31% probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Khaleej | Al Ahli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Ahli is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Al Khaleej · 2.4 pts / match - Al Ahli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ahli is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.61 goals / match - Al Khaleej · 2.03 goals / match - Al Ahli
Al Ahli is 141% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.76 goals / match - Al Khaleej · 0.73 goals / match - Al Ahli
Al Khaleej scores in 73% of matches (24 of 33 matches), while Al Ahli keeps a clean sheet in 52% (17 of 33 matches).
Al Ahli scores in 91% of matches (30 of 33 matches), while Al Khaleej keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Khaleej
Over / Under - Al Ahli
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ahli is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Al Khaleej · 1.85 pts / match - Al Ahli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Khaleej - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Ahli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +8 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Khaleej
Al Ahli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).
Teams vs league
| Al Khaleej | Liga | Al Ahli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.36 | 3.02 | ▼ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 59% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 57% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 23% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 81% | • 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Khaleej 0 - 0 - 1 Al Ahli. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Khaleej vs Al Ahli?
The Professional League match finished Al Khaleej 1:4 Al Ahli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Khaleej vs Al Ahli?
Al Khaleej score 1.61 goals per game on average and Al Ahli 2.03. The Professional League average is 3.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Al Khaleej's matches and 45% of Al Ahli's.
What form are Al Khaleej and Al Ahli in?
Over the last 5 games Al Khaleej have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Al Ahli 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Khaleej vs Al Ahli?
The statistical background for Al Khaleej vs Al Ahli — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.