Al Mabarrah vs Al Ahed: match statistics
Al Ahed clearly dominates in this clash in terms of all key statistics. The visitors occupy 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 10 wins and only 4 defeats, achieving an 88% win rate on the road. Al Mabarrah are only in 8th position with a very modest goal tally – just 7 goals in the entire season and an average of 1 goal per match at home. Al Ahed score an average of 2.13 goals away from home with a 22% conversion rate and ball possession dominance at 60%, which translates into a qualitative advantage also visible in xG (1.38 vs 0.88). The visitors' form confirms their strength – a series of "wwwwlwww" on the road and a goal difference of +13 in away matches point to a clear favorite. Considering all statistical data, an Al Ahed victory is the most likely scenario for this match.
Al Mabarrah vs Al Ahed: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Mabarrah played Al Ahed in Lebanese Premier League (Lebanon). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Al Mabarrah: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Al Ahed: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Mabarrah scores 0.54 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Al Ahed scores 1.71 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Mabarrah 23%, Al Ahed 29%. Over 2.5: Al Mabarrah 23%, Al Ahed 50%. League level: BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Al Ahed has higher xG: 1.39 vs 0.95. Al Mabarrah: 5.5 shots per match, Al Ahed: 10.1.
Match halves
Al Mabarrah: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.31. Al Ahed: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.93.
Goals by minute
Al Mabarrah: 31-45+ (3 goals). Al Ahed: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Lebanese Premier League: 2.19 goals per match, BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ahed clearly dominates in this clash in terms of all key statistics. The visitors occupy 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 10 wins and only 4 defeats, achieving an 88% win rate on the road. Al Mabarrah are only in 8th position with a very modest goal tally – just 7 goals in the entire season and an average of 1 goal per match at home. Al Ahed score an average of 2.13 goals away from home with a 22% conversion rate and ball possession dominance at 60%, which translates into a qualitative advantage also visible in xG (1.38 vs 0.88). The visitors' form confirms their strength – a series of "wwwwlwww" on the road and a goal difference of +13 in away matches point to a clear favorite. Considering all statistical data, an Al Ahed victory is the most likely scenario for this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Mabarrah | Al Ahed | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Mabarrah is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Al Mabarrah · 1.8 pts / match - Al Ahed
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ahed is 217% better for: goals scored per match.
0.54 goals / match - Al Mabarrah · 1.71 goals / match - Al Ahed
Al Mabarrah scores in 38% of matches (5 of 13 matches), while Al Ahed keeps a clean sheet in 57% (8 of 14 matches).
Al Ahed scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while Al Mabarrah keeps a clean sheet in 46% (6 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Mabarrah
Over / Under - Al Ahed
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ahed is 119% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.85 pts / match - Al Mabarrah · 1.86 pts / match - Al Ahed
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Mabarrah - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Al Ahed - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Mabarrah
Al Ahed
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Lebanese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Al Mabarrah | Liga | Al Ahed | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.54 | 2.19 | ▲ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 23% | 30% | • 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 23% | 37% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 42% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 62% | 55% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 46% | 72% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Mabarrah 0 - 0 - 1 Al Ahed. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Mabarrah vs Al Ahed?
The Lebanese Premier League match finished Al Mabarrah 1:0 Al Ahed. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Mabarrah vs Al Ahed?
Al Mabarrah score 0.54 goals per game on average and Al Ahed 1.71. The Lebanese Premier League average is 2.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 23% of Al Mabarrah's matches and 29% of Al Ahed's.
What form are Al Mabarrah and Al Ahed in?
Over the last 5 games Al Mabarrah have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Al Ahed 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Mabarrah vs Al Ahed?
The statistical background for Al Mabarrah vs Al Ahed — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.