Al Mabarrah vs Safa: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Al Mabarrah played Safa in Lebanese Premier League (Lebanon). The match was played on 25 December 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Al Mabarrah: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Safa: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Al Mabarrah scores 0.50 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Safa scores 1.22 and concedes 0.78. League average: 2.24 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Al Mabarrah 30%, Safa 33%. Over 2.5: Al Mabarrah 30%, Safa 22%. League level: BTTS 31%, Over 2.5 41%.

xG, shots and style

Al Mabarrah has higher xG: 0.96 vs 0.77. Al Mabarrah: 6.4 shots per match, Safa: 3.1.

Match halves

Al Mabarrah: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.30. Safa: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Al Mabarrah: 31-45+ (2 goals). Safa: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Lebanese Premier League: 2.24 goals per match, BTTS 31%, Over 2.5 41%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

56Possession (%)44
Al MabarrahSafa
3Shots8
Al MabarrahSafa
3Shots on target2
Al MabarrahSafa
0.68xG1.1
Al MabarrahSafa
2Corners4
Al MabarrahSafa
38Dangerous attacks63
Al MabarrahSafa
-1Fouls-1
Al MabarrahSafa
-1Cards-1
Al MabarrahSafa

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.5Goals scored / match1.22
Al MabarrahSafa
1.3Goals conceded / match0.78
Al MabarrahSafa
45%Average possession45%
Al MabarrahSafa
2.1Shots on target / match1.44
Al MabarrahSafa

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.4Shots per match3.11
Al MabarrahSafa
2.1Shots on target1.44
Al MabarrahSafa
7.8%Shot conversion39.3%
Al MabarrahSafa
45%Possession45%
Al MabarrahSafa
0.96xG for0.77
Al MabarrahSafa
1.09xG against1.19
Al MabarrahSafa

Shooting quality

Al Mabarrah: BalancedSafa: Counter-attacking
Al MabarrahSafa
Accuracy (shots on target)33%46%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.25
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.85

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Safa is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Al Mabarrah · 1.8 pts / match - Safa

Al Mabarrah
DLDWL
Season result split
10% W50% R40% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-5-4
0.80 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-3-1
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DDLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.06Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Safa
WWWLL
Season result split
33% W22% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-4
1.22 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 away
1-1-2
DLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 0.81Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Safa is 144% better for: goals scored per match.

0.5 goals / match - Al Mabarrah · 1.22 goals / match - Safa

Safa is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.3 goals / match - Al Mabarrah · 0.78 goals / match - Safa

Al Mabarrah scoring profile: mixed

Al Mabarrah scores in 30% of matches (3 of 10 matches), while Safa keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).

Safa scoring profile: mixed

Safa scores in 44% of matches (4 of 9 matches), while Al Mabarrah keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).

5Goals scored (season)11
Al MabarrahSafa
13Goals conceded (season)7
Al MabarrahSafa
1.8Average goals in match2
Al MabarrahSafa
4Goals scored (last 5)10
Al MabarrahSafa
8Goals conceded (last 5)4
Al MabarrahSafa

How often they score at least...

30%1 goal44%
Al MabarrahSafa
20%2 goals33%
Al MabarrahSafa
0%3 goals11%
Al MabarrahSafa
0%4 goals11%
Al MabarrahSafa

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal78%
Al MabarrahSafa
50%2 goals0%
Al MabarrahSafa
10%3 goals0%
Al MabarrahSafa
0%4 goals0%
Al MabarrahSafa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time0%
Al MabarrahSafa
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Al MabarrahSafa
20%Scored in both halves22%
Al MabarrahSafa

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS22%
Al MabarrahSafa
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Al MabarrahSafa
40%BTTS - last 540%
Al MabarrahSafa

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time22%
Al MabarrahSafa
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time11%
Al MabarrahSafa
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
Al MabarrahSafa

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
Al MabarrahSafa
20%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Al MabarrahSafa
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
Al MabarrahSafa

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Safa is 140% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.6 pts / match - Al Mabarrah · 1.44 pts / match - Safa

Al Mabarrah - half-time state
10% leading30% draw60% trailing
Safa - half-time state
22% leading78% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.6Points per match (1st half)1.44
Al MabarrahSafa
0.2Goals scored (1st half)0.56
Al MabarrahSafa
0.9Goals conceded (1st half)0
Al MabarrahSafa
1.1Average goals (1st half)0.56
Al MabarrahSafa
40%Clean sheet before half-time100%
Al MabarrahSafa
80%No goal before half-time78%
Al MabarrahSafa

After half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points per match (2nd half)1.22
Al MabarrahSafa
0.3Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
Al MabarrahSafa
0.4Goals conceded (2nd half)0.78
Al MabarrahSafa
0.7Average goals (2nd half)1.44
Al MabarrahSafa
70%Clean sheet after half-time22%
Al MabarrahSafa
70%No goal after half-time56%
Al MabarrahSafa

Al Mabarrah - second-half results

20% W60% R20% P
6
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 10%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Safa - second-half results

33% W22% R44% P
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Al Mabarrah - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.20
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-3-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Safa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.80
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.8
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+5+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Al Mabarrah
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
0
5
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
2
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Safa
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
4
0
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.90
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.6 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
85%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
32%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
13%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
39%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 3 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Al Mabarrah

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.67
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
47%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

Safa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.42
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.86
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.58
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Lebanese Premier League).

Teams vs league

Al MabarrahLigaSafa
Average goals in match 1.802.24 2.00
Both teams scored 30%31% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 30%41% 22%
Clean sheets 30%42% 22%
Goal before half-time 70%55% 22%
Goal after half-time 50%74% 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.24
Average goals per match
31%
Both teams scored
41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
42%
Clean sheets
1.07
Home goals / match
1.17
Away goals / match
+-9%
Home attack advantage
+-9%
Home defence advantage
+2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
55%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Al Mabarrah vs Safa?

The Lebanese Premier League match finished Al Mabarrah 1:0 Safa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Al Mabarrah vs Safa?

Al Mabarrah score 0.50 goals per game on average and Safa 1.22. The Lebanese Premier League average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Al Mabarrah's matches and 33% of Safa's.

What form are Al Mabarrah and Safa in?

Over the last 5 games Al Mabarrah have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Safa 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Mabarrah vs Safa?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Al Mabarrah vs Safa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.