Al Mabarrah vs Shabab Al Sahel: match statistics
Shabab Al Sahel displays better form in the last five matches with a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, giving them 2 points per game. Al Mabarrah sits only in 9th place in the table and has weaker home form with just 33% wins at home and a high rate of ineffectiveness (33% FTS%). The visitors hold the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.06 vs 0.83) and an impressive clean sheet rate away (50%), which evidences a solid defense. The visitors' goal difference stands at 0 away, while the hosts have -1 in home matches. Considering all statistics, Shabab Al Sahel has a higher chance of victory, although a draw is also probable due to the even nature of both teams.
Al Mabarrah vs Shabab Al Sahel: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Mabarrah played Shabab Al Sahel in Lebanese Premier League (Lebanon). The match was played on 23 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Al Mabarrah: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Shabab Al Sahel: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Mabarrah scores 0.55 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Shabab Al Sahel scores 0.91 and concedes 0.73. League average: 2.32 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Mabarrah 27%, Shabab Al Sahel 27%. Over 2.5: Al Mabarrah 27%, Shabab Al Sahel 27%. League level: BTTS 32%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Shabab Al Sahel has higher xG: 0.99 vs 0.93. Al Mabarrah: 6.1 shots per match, Shabab Al Sahel: 7.2.
Match halves
Al Mabarrah: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.36. Shabab Al Sahel: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Al Mabarrah: 31-45+ (2 goals). Shabab Al Sahel: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Lebanese Premier League: 2.32 goals per match, BTTS 32%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Shabab Al Sahel displays better form in the last five matches with a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, giving them 2 points per game. Al Mabarrah sits only in 9th place in the table and has weaker home form with just 33% wins at home and a high rate of ineffectiveness (33% FTS%). The visitors hold the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.06 vs 0.83) and an impressive clean sheet rate away (50%), which evidences a solid defense. The visitors' goal difference stands at 0 away, while the hosts have -1 in home matches. Considering all statistics, Shabab Al Sahel has a higher chance of victory, although a draw is also probable due to the even nature of both teams.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Mabarrah | Shabab Al Sahel | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shabab Al Sahel is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Al Mabarrah · 2 pts / match - Shabab Al Sahel
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shabab Al Sahel is 65% better for: goals scored per match.
0.55 goals / match - Al Mabarrah · 0.91 goals / match - Shabab Al Sahel
Shabab Al Sahel is 62% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - Al Mabarrah · 0.73 goals / match - Shabab Al Sahel
Al Mabarrah scores in 36% of matches (4 of 11 matches), while Shabab Al Sahel keeps a clean sheet in 55% (6 of 11 matches).
Shabab Al Sahel scores in 55% of matches (6 of 11 matches), while Al Mabarrah keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Mabarrah
Over / Under - Shabab Al Sahel
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shabab Al Sahel is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.64 pts / match - Al Mabarrah · 1 pts / match - Shabab Al Sahel
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Mabarrah - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Shabab Al Sahel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Mabarrah
Shabab Al Sahel
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Lebanese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Al Mabarrah | Liga | Shabab Al Sahel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.73 | 2.32 | ▼ 1.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 32% | ▼ 27% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 42% | ▼ 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 36% | 41% | ▲ 55% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 64% | 56% | ▼ 36% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 77% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Mabarrah 0 - 1 - 0 Shabab Al Sahel. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Mabarrah vs Shabab Al Sahel?
The Lebanese Premier League match finished Al Mabarrah 1:0 Shabab Al Sahel. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Mabarrah vs Shabab Al Sahel?
Al Mabarrah score 0.55 goals per game on average and Shabab Al Sahel 0.91. The Lebanese Premier League average is 2.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Al Mabarrah's matches and 27% of Shabab Al Sahel's.
What form are Al Mabarrah and Shabab Al Sahel in?
Over the last 5 games Al Mabarrah have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Shabab Al Sahel 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Mabarrah vs Shabab Al Sahel?
The statistical background for Al Mabarrah vs Shabab Al Sahel — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.