Al Masry vs Zamalek: match statistics
Al Masry vs Zamalek: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Masry played Zamalek in Egyptian Premier League (Egypt). The match was played on 5 April 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Al Masry: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Zamalek: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Masry scores 1.45 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Zamalek scores 1.60 and concedes 0.65. League average: 2.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Masry 50%, Zamalek 45%. Over 2.5: Al Masry 45%, Zamalek 35%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Zamalek has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.26. Al Masry: 11.1 shots per match, Zamalek: 13.9.
Match halves
Al Masry: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.00. Zamalek: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Al Masry: 61-75 (8 goals). Zamalek: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Egyptian Premier League: 2.00 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match favorite is Zamalek: the team sits 1st and has 13 wins this season versus Al Masry’s 8, and overall conceded only 13 goals this season compared to the opponent’s 20, indicating a clear defensive advantage for the visitors. In the last 5 matches Zamalek is 3-1-1, scoring 5 and conceding 3, averaging 2 points per game; Al Masry over the same period is 1-3-1 with 5 scored and 4 conceded and an average of 1.2 points per game. The home side’s strengths are strong home form: Al Masry wins 60% of home matches, scores on average 2 goals per game, records 53% possession and a shot conversion rate of 17% versus Zamalek’s 14% on the road. Zamalek away averages 4.4 shots on target (vs 3.5 for Al Masry at home) and has a higher average xG (1.36 vs 1.27), suggesting better quality of created chances; additionally Zamalek conceded only 3 goals in the last 5 matches. Considering the superior defense (13 vs 20 goals conceded) and stronger recent form (2 vs 1.2 points average), I forecast a Zamalek win, although the hosts—with 60% home efficiency and a 40% clean sheet rate—remain dangerous.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics favor No BTTS: Al Masry has a seasonal clean sheet rate of 70% and concedes only 0.3 goals per match on average, while Zamalek concedes 1.0 goal per match. Zamalek’s season BTTS rate is higher at 60% versus Al Masry’s 30%, but the league trend shows 68% of matches with a clean sheet, which weakens the away signal. Offensively both teams are similar — Al Masry xG 1.68 vs Zamalek 1.36, and goals per game 1.5 vs 1.7 — however the hosts register more shots (15.4 vs 12.4) and shots on target (5.4 vs 4.4) with lower conversion (10% vs 14%). In the last 5 matches both teams produced BTTS in 40% of cases and scored on average 1.0 goals each, yielding a neutral form picture, but the hosts’ defensive advantage (0.3 vs 1.0 average goals conceded) reduces the likelihood of BTTS. Therefore I estimate BTTS probability at 30% for Yes and 70% for No and recommend a No bet (No Goal / clean sheet expected).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and statistical analysis I estimate approximately 1.47 goals for Al Masry (home attack xG 1.68 vs Zamalek defense xG 1.26 → avg 1.47) and approximately 1.15 for Zamalek (away attack xG 1.36 vs home defense xG 0.93 → ~1.15), yielding a total of ~2.62 expected goals. With lambda=2.62 the Poisson distribution gives probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) around 74% and at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) around 49%. Seasonal data reinforce this signal: Over 1.5 occurred in 60% of Al Masry matches and 80% of Zamalek matches, while the league average is 2.0 goals per game; however Al Masry has 70% clean sheets and concedes only 0.3 goals on average, which lowers the chance of a very high score. Support for Over 2.5 is mixed (seasonal 20% for the home side vs 50% for the away side, last 5 matches of both teams total 5 goals each, i.e. 1.0 per team), and Over 3.5 is unlikely (only 10% seasonally for each side). Consequently the strongest selection from the data is Over 1.5 (line 1.5, side: Over) based on the 2.62 expected goals and seasonal 60%/80% Over 1.5 rates giving ~74% probability.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seasonally Al Masry led at the break in 6 matches (60%), scoring an average of 0.7 goals by half-time and conceding none (average first-half goals conceded 0.0), giving them 100% clean sheets at the break. Over the full match the hosts have the higher xG 1.68 versus Zamalek’s 1.36, more shots (15.4 vs 12.4) and more shots on target (5.4 vs 4.4), and a seasonal clean sheet rate of 70% for Al Masry versus 30% for Zamalek suggests a clear defensive edge for the hosts. Zamalek score an average of 1.7 goals per season and 0.8 by half-time, but concede an average of 1.0 goals per season and 0.7 goals after the break, which indicates their susceptibility to conceding in the second half. The last 5 matches introduce some uncertainty — Al Masry were level at half-time in 80% of their last five games, and Zamalek led at the break in 40% of their last five — yet the xG advantage, higher shot volume and a points-per-game average of 2.4 for the hosts versus 1.9 for the visitors make the strongest signal from the data the 1/1 scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Masry | Zamalek | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Zamalek is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Al Masry · 2.4 pts / match - Zamalek
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zamalek is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.45 goals / match - Al Masry · 1.6 goals / match - Zamalek
Zamalek is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Al Masry · 0.65 goals / match - Zamalek
Al Masry scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Zamalek keeps a clean sheet in 50% (10 of 20 matches).
Zamalek scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Al Masry keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Masry
Over / Under - Zamalek
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Zamalek is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Al Masry · 2.15 pts / match - Zamalek
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Masry - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Zamalek - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Masry
Zamalek
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Egyptian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Al Masry | Liga | Zamalek | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.45 | 2.00 | ▲ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 33% | ▲ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 34% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 57% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 70% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Masry 0 - 0 - 1 Zamalek. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Masry vs Zamalek?
The Egyptian Premier League match finished Al Masry 1:4 Zamalek. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Masry vs Zamalek?
Al Masry score 1.45 goals per game on average and Zamalek 1.60. The Egyptian Premier League average is 2.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Al Masry's matches and 45% of Zamalek's.
What form are Al Masry and Zamalek in?
Over the last 5 games Al Masry have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Zamalek 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Masry vs Zamalek?
The statistical background for Al Masry vs Zamalek — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.