Al Merreikh vs Gasogi United: match statistics
Al Merreikh displays significantly better form and statistics than Gasogi United. The hosts sit in 2nd place with an impressive record of 11 wins, 7 draws, and only 2 losses this season, while the visitors are ranked 12th with a negative record of 6-6-9. In the last five matches, Al Merreikh earned 11 points (3 wins, 2 draws), whereas Gasogi United managed just 5 points (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). The key advantage for the hosts is visible in home matches – 56% win rate, only 11% loss rate, and an average of 1.33 goals per match with a 14% conversion rate. Gasogi United has weaker efficiency in away matches (24% conversion with only 2.33 shots on target per match) and fails to score in 40% of games. The difference in xG quality (1.42 for hosts vs 0.86 for visitors in their respective matches) further confirms Al Merreikh's advantage, making them the clear favorite for this encounter.
Al Merreikh vs Gasogi United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Merreikh played Gasogi United in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 27 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Al Merreikh: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Gasogi United: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Merreikh scores 1.15 and concedes 0.65 goals per match. Gasogi United scores 0.76 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Merreikh 45%, Gasogi United 33%. Over 2.5: Al Merreikh 25%, Gasogi United 29%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Al Merreikh has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.09. Al Merreikh: 8.1 shots per match, Gasogi United: 5.7.
Match halves
Al Merreikh: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.70. Gasogi United: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Al Merreikh: 76-90+ (6 goals). Gasogi United: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.05 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Merreikh displays significantly better form and statistics than Gasogi United. The hosts sit in 2nd place with an impressive record of 11 wins, 7 draws, and only 2 losses this season, while the visitors are ranked 12th with a negative record of 6-6-9. In the last five matches, Al Merreikh earned 11 points (3 wins, 2 draws), whereas Gasogi United managed just 5 points (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). The key advantage for the hosts is visible in home matches – 56% win rate, only 11% loss rate, and an average of 1.33 goals per match with a 14% conversion rate. Gasogi United has weaker efficiency in away matches (24% conversion with only 2.33 shots on target per match) and fails to score in 40% of games. The difference in xG quality (1.42 for hosts vs 0.86 for visitors in their respective matches) further confirms Al Merreikh's advantage, making them the clear favorite for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Merreikh | Gasogi United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Merreikh is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Al Merreikh · 1 pts / match - Gasogi United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Merreikh is 51% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - Al Merreikh · 0.76 goals / match - Gasogi United
Al Merreikh is 83% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.65 goals / match - Al Merreikh · 1.19 goals / match - Gasogi United
Al Merreikh scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Gasogi United keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
Gasogi United scores in 52% of matches (11 of 21 matches), while Al Merreikh keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Merreikh
Over / Under - Gasogi United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Merreikh is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Al Merreikh · 1.29 pts / match - Gasogi United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Merreikh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gasogi United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Merreikh
Gasogi United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Al Merreikh | Liga | Gasogi United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.80 | 2.05 | • 1.95 |
| Both teams scored | • 45% | 44% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 34% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 34% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 62% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 69% | ▲ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Merreikh 1 - 0 - 0 Gasogi United. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Merreikh vs Gasogi United?
The National Soccer League match finished Al Merreikh 1:1 Gasogi United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Merreikh vs Gasogi United?
Al Merreikh score 1.15 goals per game on average and Gasogi United 0.76. The National Soccer League average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Al Merreikh's matches and 33% of Gasogi United's.
What form are Al Merreikh and Gasogi United in?
Over the last 5 games Al Merreikh have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Gasogi United 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Merreikh vs Gasogi United?
The statistical background for Al Merreikh vs Gasogi United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.