Al Merreikh vs Police: match statistics
The match promises to be tightly contested, pointing towards a draw. Al Merreikh displays impressive home form with an 83% win rate and a five-match winning streak at home; however, Police leads the table with an excellent away defensive record (71% clean sheets, only 0.29 goals conceded on average). The hosts average 1.33 goals per home game, but Police fails to score in 57% of away matches, indicating a cautious tactical approach. A key factor is Police's tendency to draw 43% of their away fixtures, which, combined with their solid defense and possession advantage (62%), suggests a stalemate scenario. While the xG balance favors the hosts slightly (1.32 vs 0.98), the visitors' outstanding defensive organization should neutralize this margin.
Al Merreikh vs Police: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Merreikh play Police in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 8 January 2026 at 17:30. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Al Merreikh: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Police: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Merreikh scores 1.21 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Police scores 0.82 and concedes 0.56. League average: 2.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Merreikh 41%, Police 35%. Over 2.5: Al Merreikh 32%, Police 18%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Al Merreikh has higher xG: 1.21 vs 1.13. Al Merreikh: 6.9 shots per match, Police: 6.1.
Match halves
Al Merreikh: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.79. Police: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Al Merreikh: 76-90+ (11 goals). Police: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
The match promises to be tightly contested, pointing towards a draw. Al Merreikh displays impressive home form with an 83% win rate and a five-match winning streak at home; however, Police leads the table with an excellent away defensive record (71% clean sheets, only 0.29 goals conceded on average). The hosts average 1.33 goals per home game, but Police fails to score in 57% of away matches, indicating a cautious tactical approach. A key factor is Police's tendency to draw 43% of their away fixtures, which, combined with their solid defense and possession advantage (62%), suggests a stalemate scenario. While the xG balance favors the hosts slightly (1.32 vs 0.98), the visitors' outstanding defensive organization should neutralize this margin.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Merreikh | Police | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.47 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Police is 600% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Al Merreikh · 1.4 pts / match - Police
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Merreikh is 48% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Al Merreikh · 0.82 goals / match - Police
Police is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.71 goals / match - Al Merreikh · 0.56 goals / match - Police
Al Merreikh scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while Police keeps a clean sheet in 47% (16 of 34 matches).
Police scores in 59% of matches (20 of 34 matches), while Al Merreikh keeps a clean sheet in 44% (15 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Al Merreikh
Over / Under — Police
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Merreikh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Police - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Merreikh
Police
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Al Merreikh | Liga | Police | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.91 | 2.12 | ▼ 1.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 46% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 38% | ▼ 18% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 34% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 61% | ▼ 47% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Merreikh 1 - 0 - 0 Police. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Merreikh vs Police?
The National Soccer League match finished Al Merreikh 1:1 Police. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Merreikh vs Police?
Al Merreikh score 1.21 goals per game on average and Police 0.82. The National Soccer League average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Al Merreikh's matches and 35% of Police's.
What form are Al Merreikh and Police in?
Over the last 5 games Al Merreikh have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Police 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Merreikh vs Police?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.