Al Merreikh vs Rayon Sports: match statistics
Al Merreikh presents solid home form with 63% of home matches won and only 13% lost, making them the favorite for this meeting. The hosts have recorded an impressive unbeaten streak in their last five home matches, and their goal difference at their own stadium (+4) along with a low average conceded goals rate (0.75) testify to defensive stability. Rayon Sports shows significantly weaker away disposition—only 38% away wins, a negative goal difference (-4), and a high average of conceded goals (1.63 per match). The visitors' recent results are inconsistent, and their away form is characterized by volatility. Given the hosts' advantage in home play and Rayon Sports' struggles on the road, the most likely result is a victory for Al Merreikh, though a draw scenario cannot be ruled out due to the hosts' recent series of four draws.
Al Merreikh vs Rayon Sports: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Merreikh played Rayon Sports in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 21 January 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Al Merreikh: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Rayon Sports: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Merreikh scores 1.07 and concedes 0.53 goals per match. Rayon Sports scores 1.20 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.03 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Merreikh 33%, Rayon Sports 40%. Over 2.5: Al Merreikh 20%, Rayon Sports 40%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Rayon Sports has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.26. Al Merreikh: 8.1 shots per match, Rayon Sports: 8.3.
Match halves
Al Merreikh: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.60. Rayon Sports: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Al Merreikh: 16-30 (3 goals). Rayon Sports: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.03 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Merreikh presents solid home form with 63% of home matches won and only 13% lost, making them the favorite for this meeting. The hosts have recorded an impressive unbeaten streak in their last five home matches, and their goal difference at their own stadium (+4) along with a low average conceded goals rate (0.75) testify to defensive stability. Rayon Sports shows significantly weaker away disposition—only 38% away wins, a negative goal difference (-4), and a high average of conceded goals (1.63 per match). The visitors' recent results are inconsistent, and their away form is characterized by volatility. Given the hosts' advantage in home play and Rayon Sports' struggles on the road, the most likely result is a victory for Al Merreikh, though a draw scenario cannot be ruled out due to the hosts' recent series of four draws.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Merreikh | Rayon Sports | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rayon Sports is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.07 goals / match - Al Merreikh · 1.2 goals / match - Rayon Sports
Al Merreikh is 126% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.53 goals / match - Al Merreikh · 1.2 goals / match - Rayon Sports
Al Merreikh scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Rayon Sports keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 matches).
Rayon Sports scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Al Merreikh keeps a clean sheet in 53% (8 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Merreikh
Over / Under - Rayon Sports
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Merreikh is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Al Merreikh · 1.27 pts / match - Rayon Sports
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Merreikh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rayon Sports - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Merreikh
Rayon Sports
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Al Merreikh | Liga | Rayon Sports | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.60 | 2.03 | ▲ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 40% | • 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 34% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 37% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 62% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 53% | 67% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Merreikh vs Rayon Sports?
The National Soccer League match finished Al Merreikh 2:2 Rayon Sports. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Merreikh vs Rayon Sports?
Al Merreikh score 1.07 goals per game on average and Rayon Sports 1.20. The National Soccer League average is 2.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Al Merreikh's matches and 40% of Rayon Sports's.
What form are Al Merreikh and Rayon Sports in?
Over the last 5 games Al Merreikh have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Rayon Sports 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Merreikh vs Rayon Sports?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.