Al Merreikh vs Rutsiro: match statistics
Al Merreikh vs Rutsiro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Merreikh play Rutsiro in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 4 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Al Merreikh: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Rutsiro: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Merreikh scores 1.21 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Rutsiro scores 0.88 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Merreikh 41%, Rutsiro 53%. Over 2.5: Al Merreikh 32%, Rutsiro 47%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Al Merreikh has higher xG: 1.21 vs 1.12. Al Merreikh: 6.9 shots per match, Rutsiro: 6.7.
Match halves
Al Merreikh: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.79. Rutsiro: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Al Merreikh: 76-90+ (11 goals). Rutsiro: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1): Al Merreikh have 13 wins, 9 draws and only 2 losses this season, winning 55% of home matches and holding a +7 goal difference at home (28 scored, 14 conceded). Current form is strong — over the last 5 matches the hosts scored 6 goals, recorded 3 wins and 2 draws, conceded just 1 goal and average 2.2 points per game. Rutsiro are inferior statistically: only 4 wins, 8 draws and 13 losses this season, 23% wins away, averaging 0.92 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per away match, and in their last 5 matches they have only 1 win and 1.0 pts/match. Al Merreikh create significantly more chances and have better expected goals — 9.1 shots and 4.3 on target at home versus 5.46 and 2.15 for the visitors, xG 1.38 versus 0.98; additionally the hosts finish matches goalless less often (9% vs 38%) and keep clean sheets more frequently (36% vs 23%). Given the higher chance volume, superior xG and lower average goals conceded (0.82 for the hosts vs 1.31 for the visitors), I assess Al Merreikh’s win probability at 70%, draw 18% and Rutsiro win 12%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Merreikh | Rutsiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.47 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rutsiro is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Al Merreikh · 0.8 pts / match - Rutsiro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Merreikh is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Al Merreikh · 0.88 goals / match - Rutsiro
Al Merreikh is 94% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.71 goals / match - Al Merreikh · 1.38 goals / match - Rutsiro
Al Merreikh scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while Rutsiro keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
Rutsiro scores in 53% of matches (18 of 34 matches), while Al Merreikh keeps a clean sheet in 44% (15 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Al Merreikh
Over / Under — Rutsiro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Merreikh is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Al Merreikh · 0.91 pts / match - Rutsiro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Merreikh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rutsiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Merreikh
Rutsiro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Al Merreikh | Liga | Rutsiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.91 | 2.12 | ▲ 2.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 46% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 38% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 34% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 61% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Merreikh 1 - 0 - 0 Rutsiro. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Merreikh vs Rutsiro?
The National Soccer League match finished Al Merreikh 0:0 Rutsiro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Merreikh vs Rutsiro?
Al Merreikh score 1.21 goals per game on average and Rutsiro 0.88. The National Soccer League average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Al Merreikh's matches and 53% of Rutsiro's.
What form are Al Merreikh and Rutsiro in?
Over the last 5 games Al Merreikh have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Rutsiro 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Merreikh vs Rutsiro?
The statistical background for Al Merreikh vs Rutsiro — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.