Al Najma vs Al Akhdoud: match statistics
Al Najma, despite a weak position in the table, holds a clear advantage as the host in this clash of two teams fighting for survival. The hosts present better scoring efficiency (1.18 goals per match at home) compared to just 0.45 goals scored by Al Akhdoud away. A key factor is the abysmal form of the visitors, who have lost 91% of away matches and have not won a single game on foreign turf all season. Al Najma possesses better xG indicators (1.13 vs 0.82) and possession (47% vs 38%), suggesting greater control over the game. Although neither team impresses with form, Al Akhdoud notes just 0.2 points per match in the last five meetings, making them an even weaker opponent. A draw is a real option due to the defensive problems of both squads, but the host's advantage in a direct clash of bottom-table teams should tip the scales of victory in their favor.
Al Najma vs Al Akhdoud: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Najma played Al Akhdoud in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Al Najma: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Al Akhdoud: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Najma scores 0.91 and concedes 2.22 goals per match. Al Akhdoud scores 0.83 and concedes 2.13. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Najma 65%, Al Akhdoud 57%. Over 2.5: Al Najma 65%, Al Akhdoud 57%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Al Najma has higher xG: 1.06 vs 0.93. Al Najma: 9.2 shots per match, Al Akhdoud: 8.4.
Match halves
Al Najma: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.65. Al Akhdoud: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Al Najma: 46-60 (8 goals). Al Akhdoud: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Professional League: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Najma, despite a weak position in the table, holds a clear advantage as the host in this clash of two teams fighting for survival. The hosts present better scoring efficiency (1.18 goals per match at home) compared to just 0.45 goals scored by Al Akhdoud away. A key factor is the abysmal form of the visitors, who have lost 91% of away matches and have not won a single game on foreign turf all season. Al Najma possesses better xG indicators (1.13 vs 0.82) and possession (47% vs 38%), suggesting greater control over the game. Although neither team impresses with form, Al Akhdoud notes just 0.2 points per match in the last five meetings, making them an even weaker opponent. A draw is a real option due to the defensive problems of both squads, but the host's advantage in a direct clash of bottom-table teams should tip the scales of victory in their favor.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Najma | Al Akhdoud | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Najma is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Al Najma · 0.2 pts / match - Al Akhdoud
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Najma is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
0.91 goals / match - Al Najma · 0.83 goals / match - Al Akhdoud
Al Najma scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Al Akhdoud keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 23 matches).
Al Akhdoud scores in 61% of matches (14 of 23 matches), while Al Najma keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Najma
Over / Under - Al Akhdoud
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Najma is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.74 pts / match - Al Najma · 0.7 pts / match - Al Akhdoud
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Najma - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 4%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Akhdoud - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 9%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -10 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Najma
Al Akhdoud
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).
Teams vs league
| Al Najma | Liga | Al Akhdoud | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.13 | 2.99 | • 2.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 58% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 23% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 73% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 81% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Najma 0 - 0 - 1 Al Akhdoud. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Najma vs Al Akhdoud?
The Professional League match finished Al Najma 1:3 Al Akhdoud. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Najma vs Al Akhdoud?
Al Najma score 0.91 goals per game on average and Al Akhdoud 0.83. The Professional League average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Al Najma's matches and 57% of Al Akhdoud's.
What form are Al Najma and Al Akhdoud in?
Over the last 5 games Al Najma have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Al Akhdoud 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Najma vs Al Akhdoud?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.