Al Najma vs Al Taawon: match statistics
Al Najma vs Al Taawon: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Najma played Al Taawon in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The match was played on 23 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Al Najma: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Al Taawon: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Najma scores 0.96 and concedes 2.39 goals per match. Al Taawon scores 1.79 and concedes 1.32. League average: 3.04 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Najma 68%, Al Taawon 64%. Over 2.5: Al Najma 71%, Al Taawon 54%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Al Taawon has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.05. Al Najma: 9.0 shots per match, Al Taawon: 10.9.
Match halves
Al Najma: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.64. Al Taawon: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Al Najma: 46-60 (11 goals). Al Taawon: 61-75 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Professional League: 3.04 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Taawon is the clear favorite: they sit 5th in the table with 13 wins this season versus just 2 wins for Al Najma (18th). The hosts concede 2.29 goals per home game on average and have shipped 67 goals this season, conceding 16 in the last 5 matches (3.2 avg), while Al Taawon concedes 1.29 on the road and have 37 goals against. In attack the visitors score 1.64 goals away with 4.07 shots on target and a 17% conversion rate, whereas the hosts score 1.21 at home with 3.36 shots on target and a 12% conversion, indicating superior efficiency from the visitors. Despite similar average xG (1.18 xG for Al Najma at home vs 1.12 xG for Al Taawon away), the difference in conversion and the higher clean sheet rate for the visitors (14% vs 0%) gives Al Taawon the edge. Considering goal difference (-15 for the hosts vs +5 for the visitors) and last 5 matches points average (0.6 for Al Najma vs 1.2 for Al Taawon), I predict an Al Taawon victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a season BTTS rate of 64%, which already provides a solid baseline signal for BTTS. The last-5 trend is even stronger: Al Najma has BTTS in 80% of matches, and Al Taawon in all 5 (100%); over that period Al Najma scored 6 and conceded 16 goals (avg 1.2 scored and 3.2 conceded), while Al Taawon scored 9 and conceded 9 (avg 1.8 and 1.8). xG metrics show Al Najma with xG 1.35 versus Al Taawon 1.12, with xG against 1.29 (Al Najma) and 1.76 (Al Taawon), indicating both teams create chances and Al Taawon concedes relatively more high-quality opportunities. Additionally, shots on target are similar (4.0 vs 4.07), and clean sheets are rare (29% for Al Najma and 14% for Al Taawon), although Al Taawon failed to score in 21% of their season matches, which leaves a smaller but real chance of No Goal. Considering these figures and the league average of 3.04 goals per match, I assess BTTS probability at 78% vs 22% and select "BTTS - Yes".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects a total of 2.77 goals: Al Najma 1.56 and Al Taawon 1.21, calculated as the average of attacking xG (1.35 for Al Najma, 1.12 for Al Taawon) and xG conceded to the opponent (1.76 for Al Taawon, 1.29 for Al Najma). Season-long data strongly support Over 1.5 — Al Najma have 86% of matches over 1.5, Al Taawon 71%, and both teams show BTTS at 64%, which increases the likelihood of at least two goals. The 2.5 line also presents value: seasonally Over 2.5 is 50% for Al Najma and 57% for Al Taawon, while in the last 5 matches it's 100% (Al Najma) and 80% (Al Taawon), so recent form boosts the probability of Over 2.5. Over 3.5 is less convincing — season Over 3.5 sits at 43%/36% (home/away) and Under 3.5 predominates overall (57%/64%). Therefore the best single pick from the data is Over 1.5 (strongest signal: 86% vs 71%), with consideration of Over 2.5 as a value bet given xG=2.77.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal from the data is the scenario where Al Taawon leads at the break and Al Najma completes a turnaround to win (HT/FT 2/1). Al Taawon led at half-time in 43% of their matches versus only 36% for Al Najma, and visitors average 0.93 goals by the break compared to 0.64 for the hosts. Nevertheless, the hosts dominate after the break: Al Najma averages 1.29 second-half goals versus 0.71 for Al Taawon, has 24 points gained in second halves compared to 17 for the visitors, and scores most of their goals in minutes 46–60 (7 goals) and 76–90 (6 goals) versus 1 and 2 goals for the visitors in those periods. Over the full match the seasonal averages and xG favor the hosts — 1.93 goals per match and xG 1.35 for Al Najma versus 1.64 and xG 1.12 for Al Taawon, while Al Taawon concedes an average xG of 1.76 per match compared to 1.29 conceded by Al Najma. A downside is Al Najma’s recent form (4 losses in 5 matches, 80% defeats), so the 2/1 scenario receives the highest but moderate probability; alternatives are 1/1 and X/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Najma | Al Taawon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Taawon is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Al Najma · 1.2 pts / match - Al Taawon
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Taawon is 86% better for: goals scored per match.
0.96 goals / match - Al Najma · 1.79 goals / match - Al Taawon
Al Taawon is 81% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.39 goals / match - Al Najma · 1.32 goals / match - Al Taawon
Al Najma scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while Al Taawon keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
Al Taawon scores in 86% of matches (24 of 28 matches), while Al Najma keeps a clean sheet in 7% (2 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Najma
Over / Under - Al Taawon
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Taawon is 95% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.79 pts / match - Al Najma · 1.54 pts / match - Al Taawon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Najma - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 7%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Taawon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -9 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (23). Late-goal balance (76-90): -19 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Najma
Al Taawon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).
Teams vs league
| Al Najma | Liga | Al Taawon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.36 | 3.04 | • 3.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 59% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 57% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 7% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 74% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 81% | • 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Najma 0 - 0 - 1 Al Taawon. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Najma vs Al Taawon?
The Professional League match finished Al Najma 1:2 Al Taawon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Najma vs Al Taawon?
Al Najma score 0.96 goals per game on average and Al Taawon 1.79. The Professional League average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Al Najma's matches and 64% of Al Taawon's.
What form are Al Najma and Al Taawon in?
Over the last 5 games Al Najma have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Al Taawon 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Najma vs Al Taawon?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Al Najma vs Al Taawon: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.