Al Najma vs Neom SC: match statistics
Al Najma vs Neom SC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Najma played Neom SC in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Al Najma: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Neom SC: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Najma scores 0.93 and concedes 2.44 goals per match. Neom SC scores 1.29 and concedes 1.39. League average: 3.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Najma 67%, Neom SC 61%. Over 2.5: Al Najma 70%, Neom SC 54%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Neom SC has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.06. Al Najma: 9.2 shots per match, Neom SC: 12.4.
Match halves
Al Najma: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.63. Neom SC: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Al Najma: 46-60 (10 goals). Neom SC: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Professional League: 3.06 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Neom SC is the favorite: Al Najma sits 18th with just 1 win this season, while Neom has 11 wins and is 8th. The hosts have serious defensive issues — Al Najma conceded 66 goals this season, averaging 2.38 goals conceded per home match, and allowed 20 goals in their last 5 matches (4.0 per game). Neom shows superior offensive efficiency and chance quality: the visitors scored 36 goals this season, averaging 1.43 goals away with xG 1.37, versus Al Najma who score 1.15 at home with xG 1.21. Additionally, Neom attempts more shots (12.36 vs 10.69) and more shots on target (4.86 vs 3.31), has higher possession (52% vs 48%) and 14% clean sheets away compared to 0% for the hosts, all favoring the visitors. Considering Al Najma's 0 points in the last 5 matches and Neom's 1.4 points on average in that period, I predict an away win; pick 2 with a probability of 65%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The "Both Teams To Score" scenario appears more likely: Al Najma has a season BTTS of 57% while Neom has 64%, the league records 59% of matches with both teams scoring, and in the last 5 fixtures both teams have BTTS at 60%. Recent form strongly favors goals: Al Najma averages 0.8 scored and 4.0 conceded in the last 5 matches (total 4 scored and 20 conceded), whereas Neom averages 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded (8-8). xG and shot metrics confirm chance creation: offensive xG 1.38 vs 1.37 and xG conceded 1.41 for Al Najma vs 1.21 for Neom; shots on target 4.64 vs 4.86 with conversion 9% vs 12%. Season totals reinforce the picture — Al Najma 25 scored/66 conceded vs Neom 36 scored/39 conceded; although clean sheet percentage is 29% vs 14%, Al Najma’s last 5 matches (avg 4.0 conceded) increase the likelihood of conceding. Considering BTTS 57%/64%, last5 BTTS 60%/60% and Al Najma’s significant defensive issues, I assess BTTS at 75% vs 25% and recommend the "Yes" (BTTS - Yes) selection.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model and current form indicate a higher-scoring meeting: home xG 1.38 and away 1.37, while xG conceded is 1.41 (Al Najma) and 1.21 (Neom), yielding estimated goals of 1.30 for Al Najma and 1.39 for Neom (total 2.69). Seasonal metrics show Over 1.5 in 71% of Al Najma’s matches and 64% of Neom’s, and Over 2.5 in 64% and 43% (average 54%); additionally BTTS is 57% and 64%, so both teams score frequently. Al Najma’s form is particularly susceptible to conceding: in the last 5 matches their average goals scored is 0.8 and conceded 4.0 (total 4.8 goals per match in their games), which increases the likelihood of high-scoring games. By a Poisson model with total xG=2.69 the probability of at least 2 goals is about 75%, and at least 3 goals about 50%; considering seasonal and recent trends I lift the chance of Over 2.5 to ~56%. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 (≈75% probability), therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the best line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time the most common score is a draw: hosts were level at the break in 50% of matches and visitors in 57%, with average goals at the break 1.07 (home) vs 1.14 (away). In the second half the visitors score more — on average 0.79 goals after the break compared to 0.57 for the hosts, and second-half goal balance is −6 for the hosts versus 0 for the visitors. Form and efficiency are highlighted by the numbers: season points averages 1.57 for the visitors vs 1.21 for the hosts, shot conversion 12% vs 9% and expected goals against 1.21 for the visitors versus 1.41 for the hosts, suggesting better defensive resilience from the visitors. Additionally the hosts have lost all of their last 5 matches (100% losses in the last 5), while the visitors have a 40% win rate in that period, therefore the most likely and strongest signal is half-time draw and visitors to win at full-time (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Najma | Neom SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neom SC is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
0.93 goals / match - Al Najma · 1.29 goals / match - Neom SC
Neom SC is 76% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.44 goals / match - Al Najma · 1.39 goals / match - Neom SC
Al Najma scores in 67% of matches (18 of 27 matches), while Neom SC keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
Neom SC scores in 79% of matches (22 of 28 matches), while Al Najma keeps a clean sheet in 7% (2 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Najma
Over / Under - Neom SC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neom SC is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.7 pts / match - Al Najma · 1.39 pts / match - Neom SC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Najma - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 4%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Neom SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -11 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (23). Late-goal balance (76-90): -19 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Najma
Neom SC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).
Teams vs league
| Al Najma | Liga | Neom SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.37 | 3.06 | ▼ 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 57% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 7% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 81% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Najma 0 - 0 - 1 Neom SC. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Najma vs Neom SC?
The Professional League match finished Al Najma 2:1 Neom SC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Najma vs Neom SC?
Al Najma score 0.93 goals per game on average and Neom SC 1.29. The Professional League average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Al Najma's matches and 61% of Neom SC's.
What form are Al Najma and Neom SC in?
Over the last 5 games Al Najma have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Neom SC 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Najma vs Neom SC?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Al Najma vs Neom SC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.