Al Nasr vs Al Ittihad Kalba: match statistics
Al Nasr vs Al Ittihad Kalba: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Nasr play Al Ittihad Kalba in Arabian Gulf League (United Arab Emirates). The match date is 11 May 2026 at 16:10. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Al Nasr: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Al Ittihad Kalba: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Nasr scores 1.38 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Al Ittihad Kalba scores 1.12 and concedes 1.73. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Nasr 69%, Al Ittihad Kalba 69%. Over 2.5: Al Nasr 50%, Al Ittihad Kalba 65%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Al Nasr has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.22. Al Nasr: 11.9 shots per match, Al Ittihad Kalba: 11.5.
Match halves
Al Nasr: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.73. Al Ittihad Kalba: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Al Nasr: 0-15 (9 goals). Al Ittihad Kalba: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Arabian Gulf League: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Al Nasr appears to be the favorite — they have scored 32 goals this season versus 27 for Al Ittihad and conceded 31 compared to 41, i.e. a +5 goal difference advantage and 10 fewer goals conceded. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 8 goals and recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, averaging 1.6 points per game, while the visitors have 7 goals in five matches, 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss and only 0.8 points per game. At home Al Nasr averages 4.08 shots on target and maintains 56% possession with an average xG of 1.4, whereas Al Ittihad away posts 3.18 shots on target, 45% possession and xG 1.28, indicating higher quality chances created by the hosts. Defensively Al Nasr also performs better — conceding 1.5 goals on average at home versus 2.0 conceded by Al Ittihad away — however the hosts have a high home draw rate (50%), so a draw is a realistic outcome. Considering the advantage in goal difference (+5), superior xG and greater number of shots on target, and the visitors’ lack of wins in their last 5 matches, I predict a home win; suggested probabilities are 55% for Al Nasr, 30% for a draw and 15% for Al Ittihad.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Nasr | Al Ittihad Kalba | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Nasr is 400% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Al Nasr · 0.4 pts / match - Al Ittihad Kalba
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Nasr is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Al Nasr · 1.12 goals / match - Al Ittihad Kalba
Al Nasr is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.31 goals / match - Al Nasr · 1.73 goals / match - Al Ittihad Kalba
Al Nasr scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while Al Ittihad Kalba keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).
Al Ittihad Kalba scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Al Nasr keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Al Nasr
Over / Under — Al Ittihad Kalba
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Nasr is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Al Nasr · 0.88 pts / match - Al Ittihad Kalba
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Nasr - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Al Ittihad Kalba - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Nasr
Al Ittihad Kalba
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Arabian Gulf League).
Teams vs league
| Al Nasr | Liga | Al Ittihad Kalba | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.69 | 2.82 | • 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 55% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 25% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 70% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 81% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Nasr 1 - 0 - 0 Al Ittihad Kalba. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Nasr vs Al Ittihad Kalba?
The Arabian Gulf League match finished Al Nasr 2:1 Al Ittihad Kalba. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Nasr vs Al Ittihad Kalba?
Al Nasr score 1.38 goals per game on average and Al Ittihad Kalba 1.12. The Arabian Gulf League average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Al Nasr's matches and 69% of Al Ittihad Kalba's.
What form are Al Nasr and Al Ittihad Kalba in?
Over the last 5 games Al Nasr have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Al Ittihad Kalba 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Nasr vs Al Ittihad Kalba?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.