Al Nasr vs Al Jazira: match statistics
Al Nasr vs Al Jazira: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Nasr played Al Jazira in Arabian Gulf League (United Arab Emirates). The match was played on 24 April 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Al Nasr: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Al Jazira: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Nasr scores 1.27 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Al Jazira scores 1.73 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Nasr 64%, Al Jazira 50%. Over 2.5: Al Nasr 41%, Al Jazira 55%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Al Jazira has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.33. Al Nasr: 11.4 shots per match, Al Jazira: 12.4.
Match halves
Al Nasr: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.59. Al Jazira: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Al Nasr: 0-15 (8 goals). Al Jazira: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Arabian Gulf League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win: Al Jazira sit 3rd versus Al Nasr 6th and have 12 wins this season compared to the home side’s 7. In the last 5 matches Al Jazira scored 15 goals and won 4 (record 4-0-1), averaging 2.4 points per game, while Al Nasr scored 7 in their last 5 with a 2-3-0 record (1.8 PPG). In efficiency terms Al Jazira average 12.09 shots per game with 3.73 on target and a 12% conversion, averaging 1.45 goals scored away and 1.00 conceded, whereas Al Nasr at home average 11.64 shots and 4.00 on target (11% conversion) with 1.27 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. The xG differential supports the visitors’ edge: Al Nasr xG for 1.39 and xG against 1.54 (deficit -0.15), Al Jazira xG for 1.31 and xG against 1.24 (surplus +0.07); additionally the visitors fail to score in only 9% of away games versus 18% of home matches for hosts. Considering 15 vs 7 goals in the last 5, superior point average 2.4 vs 1.8, lower away goals conceded (1.00 vs 1.45) and a higher away win rate (45% vs 18% home wins), I assess Al Jazira’s chances at 55% to win, 25% draw, 20% Al Nasr win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because recent form strongly supports both teams scoring: Al Nasr and Al Jazira each have 80% of matches with both teams scoring in their last 5 games. Seasonal signals are mixed: Al Nasr has a season BTTS rate of 36% and averages 2.0 goals scored per match with 1.09 conceded, while Al Jazira has a season BTTS rate of 64% and averages 1.45 scored and 1.0 conceded. In terms of chance quality combined xG for both teams is 1.47 + 1.31 = 2.78, and xG against is about 1.2 and 1.24, which suggests both sides generate ~1.3–1.5 xG and are vulnerable to conceding. Additionally Al Jazira scored 15 goals in the last 5 matches (3.0 avg) versus Al Nasr’s 7 goals (1.4 avg); on-target shots 4.91 vs 3.73 and conversion rates 16% vs 12% further increase the likelihood of at least one goal from each side. Considering these numbers and the league BTTS average of 54%, I assess BTTS probability at 70% for 'yes' and 30% for 'no' — the 'yes' pick is driven mainly by the very strong 80% signal in the last 5 matches for both teams and the combined xG of 2.78.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project a total goals figure of approximately 2.62 (Al Nasr 1.36, Al Jazira 1.26), calculated by averaging home xG 1.47 with away xG against 1.24 and away xG 1.31 with home xG against 1.20. Al Nasr scores 2.0 goals per match on average and registers 4.91 shots on target, while Al Jazira averages 1.45 goals and 3.73 shots on target; in the last 5 matches Al Jazira has scored 15 goals (3.0 per match). Seasonal metrics indicate a propensity for overs: Over 1.5 occurred in 64% of Al Nasr’s matches and 73% of Al Jazira’s, with the league average at 2.75 goals per game — therefore I assess Over 1.5 at 76%. I price Over 2.5 at 56% considering season rates of 64% (home) vs 45% (away) and the fact Al Jazira has Over 2.5 in 100% of their last 5 matches; Over 3.5 is less likely (around 28%) consistent with seasonal 36%/18%. Consequently the strongest signal is Over 1.5 — high xG, frequent seasonal overs and the visitors’ strong scoring form justify backing Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Al Nasr has a clear advantage at the break: the home side led at half-time in 6 matches this season (55%) and score on average 1.36 goals by half-time versus 0.64 for Al Jazira, strongly favoring an Al Nasr lead after 45 minutes. The advantage persists over the full match: Al Nasr averages 2.00 goals per game compared to 1.45 for the visitors, posts an average xG of 1.47 versus 1.31, registers more shots on target (4.91 vs 3.73) with conversion rates of 16% vs 12%, and the hosts have won 64% of matches versus 45% for Al Jazira. Caution is required regarding the visitors’ form — Al Jazira have won 80% of their last 5 matches and during that period average 2.0 goals by half-time, with their games showing a high incidence of both teams scoring (BTTS 64%). Therefore the strongest signal is a home lead at the break and a home win at full-time (1/1), though I assign meaningful probability to half-time draws and to scenarios in which the visitors also score.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Nasr | Al Jazira | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Jazira is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Al Nasr · 2.4 pts / match - Al Jazira
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Jazira is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.27 goals / match - Al Nasr · 1.73 goals / match - Al Jazira
Al Jazira is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.23 goals / match - Al Nasr · 1.05 goals / match - Al Jazira
Al Nasr scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Al Jazira keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
Al Jazira scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Al Nasr keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Nasr
Over / Under - Al Jazira
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Jazira is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Al Nasr · 1.59 pts / match - Al Jazira
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Nasr - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 32%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Al Jazira - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Nasr
Al Jazira
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Arabian Gulf League).
Teams vs league
| Al Nasr | Liga | Al Jazira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.75 | • 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 50% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 25% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 69% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | • 82% | 81% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Al Nasr 0 - 1 - 2 Al Jazira. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Nasr vs Al Jazira?
The Arabian Gulf League match finished Al Nasr 3:2 Al Jazira. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Al Nasr and Al Jazira?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Al Nasr won 0, Al Jazira won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Nasr vs Al Jazira?
Al Nasr score 1.27 goals per game on average and Al Jazira 1.73. The Arabian Gulf League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Al Nasr's matches and 50% of Al Jazira's.
What form are Al Nasr and Al Jazira in?
Over the last 5 games Al Nasr have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Al Jazira 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Nasr vs Al Jazira?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.