Saudi Arabia - Professional LeagueAl-Awwal ParkData current as of 21 October 2026

Al Nassr vs Abha: match statistics

Al Nassr crest
Al Nassr
2 : 1half-time 1:0
Abha crest
Abha

Al Nassr vs Abha: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Al Nassr played Abha in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The match was played on 9 September 2026. Venue: Al-Awwal Park. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Al Nassr: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Abha: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Al Nassr scores 2.60 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Abha scores 0.80 and concedes 2.20. League average: 2.65 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Al Nassr 60%, Abha 60%. Over 2.5: Al Nassr 100%, Abha 60%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Al Nassr has higher xG: 1.94 vs 1.26. Al Nassr: 16.2 shots per match, Abha: 10.8.

Match halves

Al Nassr: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.40. Abha: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.60.

Goals by minute

Al Nassr: 31-45+ (5 goals). Abha: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Professional League: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Al Nassr have won all 4 of their league matches so far, and have recorded a perfect 5 wins in their last five games, with a 16:4 goal difference. At home, the hosts score an average of 2.5 goals, create chances worth 2.04 xG and allow opponents just 0.83 xG, conceding only 0.5 goals per match. Abha sit in 18th place, have failed to win any of their 5 matches this season and have scored just 3 goals in their last five games, conceding 9. The away disparity is particularly pronounced: Abha have lost 100% of their away matches, concede an average of 3.5 goals on the road and fail to score in half of those fixtures. Al Nassr’s advantage in game control, with 59% average possession compared to the visitors’ 48%, as well as their superiority in the quality and volume of chances, should translate into a convincing home win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Abha have scored just 0.6 goals per game in their last 5 matches and failed to score in 50% of their appearances this season. Al Nassr are enjoying an excellent five-match winning streak, conceding only 0.8 goals per game during this period while averaging 3.2 goals scored. The hosts should nevertheless find the net, as Abha have conceded an average of 1.8 goals in their last five matches and as many as 3.5 goals per away game in the season data. The lack of clean sheets on both sides and Abha's xG of 1.49 across their last five matches support the Goal/Goal scenario, but their poor finishing and Al Nassr's defensive strength make a failure to score by the visitors more likely.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Al Nassr are on an outstanding five-match winning streak and have averaged 3.2 goals scored in their last 5 matches, finding the net 16 times in total. Over the same period, Abha conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game, with just 3 goals scored and 9 conceded across 5 appearances. The hosts are also creating chances worth an average of 1.80 xG, while the visitors’ defense allows opponents 1.35 xG. At least 3 goals were scored in all 5 of Al Nassr’s most recent matches, while Abha recorded Over 1.5 goals in 100% of their away matches so far. Over 1.5 goals remains the strongest option, as the hosts’ excellent attacking form and Abha’s defensive weaknesses clearly support a minimum of two goals.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest scenario is Al Nassr leading at the break and winning the match, as the hosts have won all of their last five games, scoring an average of 3.2 goals and conceding just 0.8. During this period, Al Nassr led at half-time in 60% of matches and scored an average of 1.6 goals before the break, while Abha failed to take the lead even once. The visitors have not won any of their last five games, scoring just 0.6 goals per match and losing in 60% of cases. Their poor first-half offensive output is particularly significant: an average of 0.2 goals and no goal scored in 80% of those halves. After the break, the hosts maintain a high level, averaging 1.6 goals and conceding none in their last five second halves, further supporting the 1/1 option.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

67Possession (%)33
Al NassrAbha
19Shots5
Al NassrAbha
6Shots on target2
Al NassrAbha
2.07xG0.64
Al NassrAbha
4Corners1
Al NassrAbha
64Dangerous attacks25
Al NassrAbha
16Fouls8
Al NassrAbha
0Cards1
Al NassrAbha

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.6Goals scored / match0.8
Al NassrAbha
1Goals conceded / match2.2
Al NassrAbha
54%Average possession50%
Al NassrAbha
7.4Shots on target / match3.6
Al NassrAbha

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.2Shots per match10.8
Al NassrAbha
7.4Shots on target3.6
Al NassrAbha
16%Shot conversion7.4%
Al NassrAbha
54%Possession50%
Al NassrAbha
1.94xG for1.26
Al NassrAbha
1.14xG against1.27
Al NassrAbha

Shooting quality

Al Nassr: AttackingAbha: Balanced
Al NassrAbha
Accuracy (shots on target)46%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Al Nassr is 1100% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Al Nassr · 0.2 pts / match - Abha

Al Nassr
WWWWL
Season result split
80% W0% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Last 5 at home
2-0-0
WW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.94Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 100%
Abha
LLDLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W20% D80% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 away
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Al Nassr is 225% better for: goals scored per match.

2.6 goals / match - Al Nassr · 0.8 goals / match - Abha

Al Nassr is 120% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Al Nassr · 2.2 goals / match - Abha

Al Nassr scoring profile: very strong

Al Nassr scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Abha keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).

Abha scoring profile: mixed

Abha scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Al Nassr keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

13Goals scored (season)4
Al NassrAbha
5Goals conceded (season)11
Al NassrAbha
3.6Average goals in match3
Al NassrAbha
13Goals scored (last 5)4
Al NassrAbha
5Goals conceded (last 5)11
Al NassrAbha

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal60%
Al NassrAbha
80%2 goals20%
Al NassrAbha
60%3 goals0%
Al NassrAbha
20%4 goals0%
Al NassrAbha

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal100%
Al NassrAbha
40%2 goals60%
Al NassrAbha
0%3 goals40%
Al NassrAbha
0%4 goals20%
Al NassrAbha

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

40%BTTS at half-time20%
Al NassrAbha
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Al NassrAbha
60%Scored in both halves0%
Al NassrAbha

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
Al NassrAbha
40%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
Al NassrAbha
60%BTTS - last 560%
Al NassrAbha

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Al NassrAbha
100%Min. 2 goals before half-time60%
Al NassrAbha
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Al NassrAbha

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Al NassrAbha
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
Al NassrAbha
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Al NassrAbha

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Al Nassr is 250% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.4 pts / match - Al Nassr · 0.4 pts / match - Abha

Al Nassr - half-time state
40% leading20% draw40% trailing
Abha - half-time state
0% leading40% draw60% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.4Points per match (1st half)0.4
Al NassrAbha
1.2Goals scored (1st half)0.2
Al NassrAbha
1Goals conceded (1st half)1.2
Al NassrAbha
2.2Average goals (1st half)1.4
Al NassrAbha
40%Clean sheet before half-time20%
Al NassrAbha
20%No goal before half-time80%
Al NassrAbha

After half-time (2nd half)

2.6Points per match (2nd half)1
Al NassrAbha
1.4Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
Al NassrAbha
0Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Al NassrAbha
1.4Average goals (2nd half)1.6
Al NassrAbha
100%Clean sheet after half-time40%
Al NassrAbha
20%No goal after half-time60%
Al NassrAbha

Al Nassr - second-half results

80% W20% D0% L
7
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-1.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Abha - second-half results

20% W40% D40% L
2
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.40
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Al Nassr - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.60
Goals scored / match1.21.4
Goals conceded / match1.00.0
Average goals in match2.21.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals100%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+1+7
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
Abha - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.00
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match1.21.0
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-5-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Al Nassr
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
5
2
31-45
2
0
46-60
2
0
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Abha
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
1
1
16-30
0
2
31-45
0
3
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.30
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.4 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
125%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Al Nassr

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.80
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.80
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.66
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
190%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Abha

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.93
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
62%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
161%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).

Teams vs league

Al NassrLigaAbha
Average goals in match▲ 3.602.65▲ 3.00
Both teams scored▲ 60%46%▲ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 100%52%▲ 60%
Clean sheets▲ 40%35%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%69%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▲ 80%65%▲ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
35%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / match
1.29
Away goals / match
+6%
Home attack advantage
+6%
Home defence advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Al Nassr vs Abha?

The Professional League match finished Al Nassr 2:1 Abha. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Al Nassr vs Abha?

Al Nassr score 2.60 goals per game on average and Abha 0.80. The Professional League average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Al Nassr's matches and 60% of Abha's.

What form are Al Nassr and Abha in?

Over the last 5 games Al Nassr have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Abha 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Nassr vs Abha?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.