Al Nassr vs Al Shabab: match statistics
Al Nassr clearly dominates this matchup in every statistical aspect. The hosts sit in 2nd place with an impressive record of 86% home wins, averaging 3.14 goals scored per match while conceding just 0.86. Conversely, Al Shabab is in 14th position with catastrophic away results—0% wins, 71% matches without scoring, and an average of only 0.29 goals per game. The gap in quality is drastic: Al Nassr holds the advantage in possession (62% vs 39%), shots on target (8.14 vs 2.29), and efficiency (16% vs 3%). Current form further confirms the hosts' superiority—Al Nassr is on a 5-match winning streak at home, while Al Shabab has lost 4 of their last 5 matches. A goal difference of +16 for the hosts compared to -7 for the visitors in away games points unequivocally to a certain victory for Al Nassr.
Al Nassr vs Al Shabab: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Nassr played Al Shabab in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Al Nassr: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Al Shabab: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Nassr scores 2.79 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. Al Shabab scores 0.86 and concedes 1.57. League average: 3.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Nassr 64%, Al Shabab 57%. Over 2.5: Al Nassr 79%, Al Shabab 29%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Al Nassr has higher xG: 2.21 vs 1.33. Al Nassr: 19.8 shots per match, Al Shabab: 12.1.
Match halves
Al Nassr: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.64. Al Shabab: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Al Nassr: 76-90+ (11 goals). Al Shabab: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Professional League: 3.05 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Nassr clearly dominates this matchup in every statistical aspect. The hosts sit in 2nd place with an impressive record of 86% home wins, averaging 3.14 goals scored per match while conceding just 0.86. Conversely, Al Shabab is in 14th position with catastrophic away results—0% wins, 71% matches without scoring, and an average of only 0.29 goals per game. The gap in quality is drastic: Al Nassr holds the advantage in possession (62% vs 39%), shots on target (8.14 vs 2.29), and efficiency (16% vs 3%). Current form further confirms the hosts' superiority—Al Nassr is on a 5-match winning streak at home, while Al Shabab has lost 4 of their last 5 matches. A goal difference of +16 for the hosts compared to -7 for the visitors in away games points unequivocally to a certain victory for Al Nassr.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Nassr | Al Shabab | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Nassr is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Al Nassr · 0.6 pts / match - Al Shabab
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Nassr is 224% better for: goals scored per match.
2.79 goals / match - Al Nassr · 0.86 goals / match - Al Shabab
Al Nassr is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.07 goals / match - Al Nassr · 1.57 goals / match - Al Shabab
Al Nassr scores in 100% of matches (14 of 14 matches), while Al Shabab keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 matches).
Al Shabab scores in 64% of matches (9 of 14 matches), while Al Nassr keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Nassr
Over / Under - Al Shabab
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Nassr is 223% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.07 pts / match - Al Nassr · 0.64 pts / match - Al Shabab
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Nassr - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Shabab - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -7 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Nassr
Al Shabab
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).
Teams vs league
| Al Nassr | Liga | Al Shabab | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.86 | 3.05 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 60% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 79% | 56% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 22% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 80% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Nassr vs Al Shabab?
The Professional League match finished Al Nassr 3:2 Al Shabab. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Nassr vs Al Shabab?
Al Nassr score 2.79 goals per game on average and Al Shabab 0.86. The Professional League average is 3.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Al Nassr's matches and 57% of Al Shabab's.
What form are Al Nassr and Al Shabab in?
Over the last 5 games Al Nassr have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Al Shabab 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Nassr vs Al Shabab?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Al Nassr vs Al Shabab: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.