Al Nassr vs Neom SC: match statistics
Al Nassr displays dominant form, occupying 1st place in the table with an impressive record of 20 victories and just 3 defeats. The hosts are in phenomenal disposition, having won all of their last 5 matches, scoring 15 goals while conceding only 1. In home matches, Al Nassr boasts a staggering 91% win rate, averaging 2.91 goals scored per match with just 0.73 conceded. Neom SC, despite decent away form (42% wins), is a class below—their average xG (1.39) and scoring efficiency (11%) are significantly lower than Al Nassr's. The difference in possession (60% vs 54%), shots on target (8 vs 4.83), and overall quality of play speaks for a decisive victory for the league leader. Taking all statistics into account, Al Nassr should confidently defeat Neom SC at their own stadium.
Al Nassr vs Neom SC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Nassr played Neom SC in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Al Nassr: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Neom SC: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Nassr scores 2.71 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. Neom SC scores 1.21 and concedes 1.38. League average: 3.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Nassr 50%, Neom SC 63%. Over 2.5: Al Nassr 71%, Neom SC 54%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Al Nassr has higher xG: 2.13 vs 1.35. Al Nassr: 18.4 shots per match, Neom SC: 12.1.
Match halves
Al Nassr: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 1.58. Neom SC: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Al Nassr: 76-90+ (21 goals). Neom SC: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Professional League: 3.01 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Nassr displays dominant form, occupying 1st place in the table with an impressive record of 20 victories and just 3 defeats. The hosts are in phenomenal disposition, having won all of their last 5 matches, scoring 15 goals while conceding only 1. In home matches, Al Nassr boasts a staggering 91% win rate, averaging 2.91 goals scored per match with just 0.73 conceded. Neom SC, despite decent away form (42% wins), is a class below—their average xG (1.39) and scoring efficiency (11%) are significantly lower than Al Nassr's. The difference in possession (60% vs 54%), shots on target (8 vs 4.83), and overall quality of play speaks for a decisive victory for the league leader. Taking all statistics into account, Al Nassr should confidently defeat Neom SC at their own stadium.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Nassr | Neom SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Nassr is 114% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Al Nassr · 1.4 pts / match - Neom SC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Nassr is 124% better for: goals scored per match.
2.71 goals / match - Al Nassr · 1.21 goals / match - Neom SC
Al Nassr is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.79 goals / match - Al Nassr · 1.38 goals / match - Neom SC
Al Nassr scores in 100% of matches (24 of 24 matches), while Neom SC keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
Neom SC scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Al Nassr keeps a clean sheet in 50% (12 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Nassr
Over / Under - Neom SC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Nassr is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.17 pts / match - Al Nassr · 1.38 pts / match - Neom SC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Nassr - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Neom SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +10 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +17 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Nassr
Neom SC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).
Teams vs league
| Al Nassr | Liga | Neom SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.50 | 3.01 | ▼ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 57% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 73% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 81% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Nassr 1 - 0 - 0 Neom SC. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Nassr vs Neom SC?
The Professional League match finished Al Nassr 1:0 Neom SC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Nassr vs Neom SC?
Al Nassr score 2.71 goals per game on average and Neom SC 1.21. The Professional League average is 3.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Al Nassr's matches and 63% of Neom SC's.
What form are Al Nassr and Neom SC in?
Over the last 5 games Al Nassr have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Neom SC 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Nassr vs Neom SC?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Al Nassr vs Neom SC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.