Al Nejmeh vs Al Ahed: match statistics
Al Nejmeh vs Al Ahed: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Nejmeh play Al Ahed in Lebanese Premier League (Lebanon). The match date is 12 June 2026 at 20:30. Venue: Bourj Hammoud Stadium. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Al Nejmeh: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Al Ahed: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Nejmeh scores 1.85 and concedes 0.56 goals per match. Al Ahed scores 1.54 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Nejmeh 37%, Al Ahed 38%. Over 2.5: Al Nejmeh 48%, Al Ahed 50%. League level: BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Al Nejmeh has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.32. Al Nejmeh: 7.7 shots per match, Al Ahed: 9.4.
Match halves
Al Nejmeh: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.04. Al Ahed: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Al Nejmeh: 76-90+ (13 goals). Al Ahed: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Lebanese Premier League: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Al Nejmeh shows a strong home defence — conceding 0.44 goals per game and keeping a clean sheet in 56% of appearances, while Al Ahed concedes 0.6 goals away and records 50% clean sheets. Offensively both teams are similar (Al Nejmeh scores 1.89 goals per home game, Al Ahed 1.9 away), but in the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 10 goals (2.0 per game) and conceded 5, whereas the visitors have only 3 goals (0.6 per game) and conceded 4. Al Ahed generates more chances by xG — 1.37 xG away versus the hosts' 1.08 xG — and averages 9.7 shots per game versus 6.75 for Nejmeh, but shot conversion favours the hosts (26% vs 20%). Short-term form also favours the hosts: Al Nejmeh has 1.8 points per game in the last 5, Al Ahed 1.0, despite the visitors having an 80% win rate away across the season. Therefore I rate a home win as the most likely outcome, while the comparable quality of chances also creates a real risk of a draw or a narrow away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Nejmeh | Al Ahed | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.58 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Nejmeh is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Al Nejmeh · 1.4 pts / match - Al Ahed
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Nejmeh is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.85 goals / match - Al Nejmeh · 1.54 goals / match - Al Ahed
Al Nejmeh is 120% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.56 goals / match - Al Nejmeh · 1.23 goals / match - Al Ahed
Al Nejmeh scores in 81% of matches (22 of 27 matches), while Al Ahed keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 matches).
Al Ahed scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Al Nejmeh keeps a clean sheet in 56% (15 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Al Nejmeh
Over / Under — Al Ahed
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Nejmeh is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.81 pts / match - Al Nejmeh · 1.5 pts / match - Al Ahed
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Nejmeh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Al Ahed - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Nejmeh
Al Ahed
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Lebanese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Al Nejmeh | Liga | Al Ahed | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.41 | 2.44 | ▲ 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 37% | 33% | ▲ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 43% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 56% | 39% | • 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 59% | 57% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 77% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Al Nejmeh 2 - 0 - 0 Al Ahed. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Nejmeh vs Al Ahed?
The Lebanese Premier League match finished Al Nejmeh 1:0 Al Ahed. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Al Nejmeh and Al Ahed?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Al Nejmeh won 2, Al Ahed won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Nejmeh vs Al Ahed?
Al Nejmeh score 1.85 goals per game on average and Al Ahed 1.54. The Lebanese Premier League average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Al Nejmeh's matches and 38% of Al Ahed's.
What form are Al Nejmeh and Al Ahed in?
Over the last 5 games Al Nejmeh have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Al Ahed 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Nejmeh vs Al Ahed?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Al Nejmeh vs Al Ahed: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.