Al Nejmeh vs Al Hikma: match statistics
Al Nejmeh vs Al Hikma: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Nejmeh played Al Hikma in Lebanese Premier League (Lebanon). The match was played on 15 May 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Al Nejmeh: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Al Hikma: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Nejmeh scores 1.81 and concedes 0.56 goals per match. Al Hikma scores 1.13 and concedes 1.27. League average: 2.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Nejmeh 38%, Al Hikma 40%. Over 2.5: Al Nejmeh 50%, Al Hikma 53%. League level: BTTS 31%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Al Nejmeh has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.04. Al Nejmeh: 5.9 shots per match, Al Hikma: 6.9.
Match halves
Al Nejmeh: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.00. Al Hikma: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Al Nejmeh: 61-75 (8 goals). Al Hikma: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Lebanese Premier League: 2.21 goals per match, BTTS 31%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win ('1'). Al Nejmeh holds a clear statistical edge: 9 wins this season versus 6 for Al Hikma, 28 goals scored compared to 17, and only 8 conceded versus 19 for the visitors. At home Al Nejmeh averages 2.0 goals per match and concedes just 0.29, keeping a clean sheet in 71% of games and winning 71%; their average xG per match is 1.08 versus 0.46 xG against, indicating control and high-quality chances. Al Hikma away average 0.75 goals per match, 1.13 conceded, a shot conversion rate of 12% and fail to score in 50% of away fixtures, which significantly limits their prospects. The difference in chance quality is evident: the hosts record on average 4.0 shots on target per match versus 2.75 for the visitors and have 55% possession compared to 48% for Al Hikma, and the hosts’ positive goal differential (+12 at home vs −3 for the visitors) confirms that the most likely outcome is an Al Nejmeh victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I select BTTS - No with a 70% probability versus 30% for Yes. Al Nejmeh averages 1.57 goals per game and records 4.29 shots on target with a 21% conversion rate, while Al Hikma manages just 0.75 goals per game, 2.75 shots on target and a 12% conversion. Seasonal BTTS rates show a disparity: the home side has BTTS in 57% of matches versus only 25% for the visitors, meaning Al Hikma do not participate in Goal/Goal in 75% of their games. Additionally, the league features a low BTTS level at 30% and a high clean sheet expected rate of 84%, and in the last 5 matches both teams produced BTTS in only 40% of cases, which weakens the signal for Yes. Considering Al Nejmeh’s xG advantage (1.13 vs 0.97) and superior efficiency, any goals are expected to come mainly from them, so the No scenario is more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate a total of approximately 2.23 goals in the match: about 1.37 for Al Nejmeh and 0.86 for Al Hikma, based on a combination of seasonal goal averages and xG. Al Nejmeh scores 1.57 goals per match on average and has an xG of 1.13, while Al Hikma averages 0.75 goals and has an xG of 0.97; additionally the hosts register 4.29 shots on target versus 2.75 for the visitors and have a higher conversion rate of 21% vs 12%, which boosts their real scoring potential. A Poisson model for total λ=2.23 yields roughly a 65% chance for Over 1.5, 39% for Over 2.5 and 19% for Over 3.5. Seasonal stats support this conclusion: Over 1.5 occurred for the hosts in 86% of matches and for the visitors in 75%, while Over 2.5 is less certain (71% hosts vs 38% visitors). Based on this, the best and strongest signal from the data is a bet on Over 1.5 (over), as it has the highest cumulative probability and aligns with the hosts' offensive advantage.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Al Nejmeh are the favorites: they average 1.57 goals per match versus 0.75 for Al Hikma, and their xG is 1.13 versus 0.97 for the visitors, indicating higher-quality created chances. The hosts led at the break in 3 matches (43%) and have a half-time goals average of 0.71 vs 0.5 for Al Hikma, so they open the scoring in the first half more often. Al Nejmeh average 4.29 shots on target with a conversion rate of 21%, while Al Hikma have 2.75 shots on target and 12% conversion; the hosts score an average of 0.86 goals after the break versus 0.25 for the visitors, which reduces Al Hikma’s chances of a turnaround. The hosts win 57% of matches, the visitors 25%; the visitors lead at half-time in only 25% and are trailing at the break in 50% of their games. Therefore I assess the scenario of Al Nejmeh maintaining their lead (1/1) as the strongest (~34%), while alternatives such as a draw at half-time/full-time (X/X ~12%) or the visitors winning having started with the lead (2/2 ~19%) have lower probabilities.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Nejmeh | Al Hikma | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 51% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.66 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Nejmeh is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
1.81 goals / match - Al Nejmeh · 1.13 goals / match - Al Hikma
Al Nejmeh is 127% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.56 goals / match - Al Nejmeh · 1.27 goals / match - Al Hikma
Al Nejmeh scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Al Hikma keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 matches).
Al Hikma scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Al Nejmeh keeps a clean sheet in 50% (8 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Nejmeh
Over / Under - Al Hikma
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Nejmeh is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / match - Al Nejmeh · 1.27 pts / match - Al Hikma
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Nejmeh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Al Hikma - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Nejmeh
Al Hikma
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Lebanese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Al Nejmeh | Liga | Al Hikma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.38 | 2.21 | ▲ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 38% | 31% | ▲ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 39% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 56% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 73% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Al NejmehGoalAli Mohamad Kassas
- Al NejmehGoalAli Naim El-Fadl
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Nejmeh 1 - 0 - 0 Al Hikma. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Nejmeh vs Al Hikma?
The Lebanese Premier League match finished Al Nejmeh 2:1 Al Hikma. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Nejmeh vs Al Hikma?
Al Nejmeh score 1.81 goals per game on average and Al Hikma 1.13. The Lebanese Premier League average is 2.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Al Nejmeh's matches and 40% of Al Hikma's.
What form are Al Nejmeh and Al Hikma in?
Over the last 5 games Al Nejmeh have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Al Hikma 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Nejmeh vs Al Hikma?
The statistical background for Al Nejmeh vs Al Hikma — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.